Hydroclimatic variation over central China during the 4.2 ka event and its implications for cultural transformation

The 4.2 ka climate event, which marks the start of the late Holocene (Meghalayan), is linked to disruption to human cultures across a wide belt from the eastern Mediterranean to the Yangtze River Valley. Here we present a high-resolution stalagmite δ13C record for the middle Yangtze Valley from 4.4 to 3.0 ka BP, and identify two humid pulses and two dry episodes associated with the 4.2 ka event. Similar hydroclimate fluctuations associated with the 4.2 ka event also occur in the Chinese Loess Plateau and Central Plains of China, and may be at least partly responsible for the decline of the Neolithic culture in these regions. Although the 4.2 ka event marks the internationally recognised boundary between the middle and late Holocene, our stalagmite-based evidence shows that regime shift in hydrological variability occurred at ∼3.5 ka BP in the middle Yangtze Valley. Regime shift correlates with inflection points of temperature in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere and tropical El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) systems, indicating teleconnections between local and global climate change at this time. Following regime shift, precipitation fluctuated with a larger amplitude. Two dry events and one humid rebound event correspond to the early, late, and middle phases of the Shang Dynasty, respectively. In summary, we propose that frequent climatic alternations and their increased amplitudes impacted late Holocene cultural evolution in China.