Survey Design and Geospatial Analysis using Data on Baseline Prevalence, Environmental Risk-Factors and Treatment History Drastically Reduces the Cost of STH Impact Surveys

medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)(2023)

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摘要
Soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infections are among the most common neglected tropical diseases worldwide, causing high morbidity and mortality rates in endemic areas. STH impact assessment surveys provide information on the changing epidemiological situation so that control programme managers can adapt the frequency of any continuing preventive chemotherapy (PC). The cost associated with conducting these surveys is an important factor, especially in developing countries with severely limited financial resources. Using three case studies based on historical data on baseline prevalence, environmental risk-factors and treatment history from Kenya, Sierra Leone and Zimbabwe, we show that a model-based geostatistics approach drastically reduces the cost of STH impact surveys by comparison with a survey conducted according to the current WHO guidelines, whilst maintaining the same overall accuracy. The framework that we develop is disease-agnostic and could easily be repurposed for use with other NTDs. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest. ### Funding Statement . ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: N/A I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines and uploaded the relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material as supplementary files, if applicable. Yes All data used in the manuscript are avaiable upon reasonable request to the authors.
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关键词
baseline prevalence,geospatial analysis,impact,risk-factors
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