Understanding public support for COVID-19 pandemic mitigation measures over time: Does it wear out?

COVID-19 mitigation measures intend to protect public health, but their adverse psychological, social, and economic effects weaken popular support. Less favorable trade-offs may especially weaken support for more restrictive measures. Support for mitigation measures may also differ between population subgroups who experience different benefits and costs, and decrease over time, a phenomenon termed ‘pandemic fatigue’. We examined self-reported support for COVID-19 mitigation measures in The Netherlands over 12 consecutives waves of data collection between April 2020 – May 2021 in an open population cohort study. Participants were recruited through community panels of the 25 regional public health services, and through links to the online surveys advertised on social media. The 54,010 unique participants in the cohort study on average participated in 4 waves of data collection. Most participants were female (65%), middle-aged (57% 40-69 years), highly educated (57%), not living alone (84%), residing in an urban area (60%), and born in the Netherlands (95%). COVID-19 mitigation measures implemented in the Netherlands remained generally well-supported over time (all scores >3 on 5-point scale ranging 1 (low) – 5 (high)). During the whole period studied, support was highest for personal hygiene measures, quarantine and wearing face masks, high but somewhat lower for not shaking hands, testing and self-isolation, and restricting social contacts, and lowest for limiting visitors at home, and not traveling abroad. Women and higher educated people were more supportive of some mitigation measures than men and lower educated people. Older people were more supportive of more restrictive measures than younger people, and support for more socially restrictive measures decreased most over time in higher educated people or in younger people. This study found no support for pandemic fatigue in terms of a gradual decline in support for all mitigation measures over time. Rather, findings suggest that support for mitigation measures reflects a balancing of benefits and cost, which may change over time, and differ between measures and population subgroups.