Mortality among older adults with osteoporotic vertebral fracture

Summary We evaluated whether older adults who received kyphoplasty had reduced risk of mortality compared to those who did not. In unmatched analyses, those receiving kyphoplasty were at reduced risk of death but after matching on age and medical complications, patients who received kyphoplasty were at increased risk of death. Purpose In previous observational studies, kyphoplasty for treatment of osteoporotic vertebral fractures has been associated with decreased mortality compared to conservative management. The purpose of this research was to determine whether older adults who received kyphoplasty had reduced risk of mortality compared to matched patients who did not. Methods Retrospective cohort study of US Medicare enrollees with osteoporotic vertebral fractures between 2017–2019 comparing patients who underwent kyphoplasty to those who did not. We identified 2 control groups a priori: 1) non-augmented patients who met inclusion criteria (group 1); 2) propensity-matched patients on demographic and clinical variables (group 2). We then identified additional control groups using matching for medical complications (group 3) and age + comorbidities (group 4). We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) associated with mortality. Results A total of 235,317 patients (mean (± standard deviation) age 81.1 ± 8.3 years; 85.8% female) were analyzed. In the primary analyses, those who received kyphoplasty were at reduced risk of death compared to those who did not: adjusted HR (95% CI) in group 1 = 0.84 (0.82, 0.87); and in group 2 = 0.88 (0.85, 0.91). However, in post hoc analyses, patients who received kyphoplasty were at increased risk of death: adjusted HR (95% CI) in group 3 = 1.32 (1.25, 1.41) and 1.81 (1.58, 2.09) in group 4. Conclusion An apparent benefit of kyphoplasty on mortality among patients with vertebral fractures was not present after rigorous propensity matching, illustrating the importance of comparing similar individuals when evaluating observational data.