Monocyte Distribution Width (MDW) in Patients with COVID-19: An Indicator of Disease Severity

Identifying patients with Coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) who may have a severe illness is essential for timely intervention and decreasing the fatality rate. In the present study, we evaluated the performance of Monocyte Distribution Width (MDW) as a prognostic marker for identifying disease severity in COVID-19 patients. We included 145 patients with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 infection in the study. The performance of MDW was evaluated by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), specificity, sensitivity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value. Further analysis was conducted for the disease outcome, comparing COVID-19 patients discharged (n = 135) to deceased COVID-19 patients (n = 10). As a marker of disease severity, MDW demonstrated an AUC of 0.702 (95% CI 0.620-0.775) in ROC analysis. If MDW is considered a marker of patient outcome, AUC was 0.916 (95% CI 0.862-0.953), comparing deceased COVID-19 patients vs. those who survived. At a cut-off of > 25.4 on admission, MDW correlates well with poor disease outcomes in COVID-19 patients. MDW can be considered a helpful parameter in predicting the severity of COVID-19 disease and patient outcomes. Its role and incorporation in the standard diagnostic algorithm and management of COVID-19 patients need further validation.