Bayesian improvements to 210Pb dating

crossref(2021)

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摘要
<p>Dating with <sup>210</sup>Pb has been instrumental in providing chronologies for sedimentary deposits back to around 100-150 years ago &#8212; a key period for recent environmental events such as increased pollution caused by industry developments. However, currently available <sup>210</sup>Pb age-models often disagree with and/or cannot incorporate other types of dates, depend highly on the correct estimation of background <sup>210</sup>Pb, often underestimate uncertainties and are limited by unrealistic assumptions of sediment accumulation over time. Plum is open-source Bayesian age-modelling software that solves the above problems. It can integrate other dates, produce realistic uncertainty estimates, and extend <sup>210</sup>Pb chronologies several decades further back in time. Our method thus enables much more robust chronologies for studies of recent environmental change.</p>
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