Tree demographic strategies largely overlap across succession in Neotropical wet and dry forest communities

Secondary tropical forests play an increasingly important role for carbon budgets and biodiversity conservation. Understanding successional trajectories is therefore imperative for guiding forest restoration and climate change mitigation efforts. Forest succession is driven by the demographic strategies – combinations of growth, mortality and recruitment rates – of the tree species in the community. However, our understanding of demographic diversity in tropical tree species stems almost exclusively from old-growth forests. Here, we assembled demographic information from repeated forest inventories along chronosequences in two wet (Costa Rica, Panama) and two dry (Mexico) Neotropical forests to assess whether the range of demographic strategies present in a community shifts across succession. We calculated demographic rates for >500 tree species while controlling for canopy status to compare demographic diversity in early successional (0-30 years), late successional (30-120 years) and old-growth forests. We quantified demographic diversity using two-dimensional hypervolumes of pairs of demographic rates and assessed whether shifts in demographic strategies were caused by intra-specific changes in demographic rates across succession or by species turnover. We expected that demographic strategies would shift from faster life-histories (fast growth, high mortality, high recruitment) in early successional forests to slower life histories (slow growth, low mortality, low recruitment) in old-growth forests and that shifts would be stronger in wet than in dry forests due to more pronounced differences in environmental conditions between early successional and old-growth forests. We also expected that demographic diversity would increase with succession. We found that demographic strategies largely overlapped across successional stages and that early successional stages already covered the full spectrum of demographic strategies found in old-growth forests. An exception was a group of species characterized by exceptionally high mortality rates that was confined to early successional stages in the two wet forests. Demographic diversity did not increase with succession. Our results suggest that current understanding of demographic strategies of tropical tree species, which has been generated mostly from long-term forest monitoring plots in old-growth forests, is largely representative of demographic diversity in general, and that demographic diversity recovers quickly during succession. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest.