Comparison and Evaluation of Multiple Neural Network Models in Wind Power Generation Forecasting

2022 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SMART POWER & INTERNET ENERGY SYSTEMS, SPIES(2022)

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摘要
This paper constructs the prediction models of three neural networks: full connected, Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM). The actual wind power output is taken as the experimental data for prediction and analysis. Through multi-angle quantitative comparison, it is found that the three methods can achieve an accuracy rate of more than 95% and a qualification rate (relative error less than 15%) of more than 98%. The training rounds of the fully connected neural network are much higher than those of the other two methods. The LSTM has a strong single training ability. The researchers can select the appropriate super parameters on a small number of data sets to obtain an ideal learning effect quickly.
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关键词
power forecasting,deep neural network,fully connected neural network,RNN,LSTM
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