Impact of Successive Office Blood Pressure Measurements During a Single Visit on Cardiovascular Risk Prediction: Analysis of CARTaGENE

BACKGROUND:Multiple office blood pressure (BP) readings correlate more closely with ambulatory BP than single readings. Whether they are associated with long-term outcomes and improve cardiovascular risk prediction is unknown. Our objective was to assess the long-term impact of multiple office BP readings.METHODS:We used data from CARTaGENE, a population-based survey comprising individuals aged 40 to 70 years. Three BP readings (BP1, BP2, and BP3) at 2-minute intervals were obtained using a semiautomated device. They were averaged to generate BP1-2, BP2-3, and BP1-2-3 for systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP. Cardiovascular events (major adverse cardiovascular event [MACE]: cardiovascular death, stroke, and myocardial infarction) during a 10-year follow-up were recorded. Associations with MACE were obtained using adjusted Cox models. Predictive performance was assessed with 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease scores and their associated C statistics.RESULTS:In the 17 966 eligible individuals, 2378 experienced a MACE during follow-up. Crude SBP values ranged from 122.5 to 126.5 mm Hg. SBP3 had the strongest association with MACE incidence (hazard ratio, 1.10 [1.05-1.15] per SD) and SBP1 the weakest (hazard ratio, 1.06 [1.01-1.10]). All models including SBP1 (SBP1, SBP1-2, and SBP1-2-3) were underperformed. At a given SBP value, the excess MACE risk conferred by SBP3 was 2x greater than SBP1. In atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease scores, SBP3 yielded the highest C statistic, significantly higher than most other SBP measures. In contrast to SBP, all diastolic BP readings yielded similar results.CONCLUSIONS:Cardiovascular risk prediction is improved by successive office SBP values, especially when the first reading is discarded. These findings reinforce the necessity of using multiple office BP readings.