A multi-omics classifier achieves high sensitivity and specificity for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma in a case-control study of 146 subjects

Abstract Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is currently the 3rd leading cause of cancer-related deaths in the US. Although the all-stage 5-year survival rate is ~10%, early-stage 5-year survival is markedly superior and in excess of 40%. Hence, early detection of PDAC via blood-based liquid biopsies holds promise to reduce morbidity and mortality. PrognomiQ’s multi-omics platform performs deep and unbiased molecular profiling of blood samples to detect proteins, metabolites, lipids, mRNA, miRNA, cfDNA fragmentation and copy-number, and CpG methylation. Here we report results from training and validation of a classifier on a subset of that multi-omic data with the potential to enable the development of high sensitivity and specificity tests for early detection of PDAC.We conducted a case-control study comprising 146 subjects across 16 clinical sites, including 63 pathology-confirmed, untreated PDAC cases (12 stage I, 8 stage II, 4 stage III, 36 stage IV, and 3 stage unknown) and 83 age- and gender- matched controls without any known cancer. For each subject, venous blood samples including plasma were collected. Unbiased LCMS was used to detect and quantify proteins, and targeted, multiplexed MRM-LCMS assays were used for both metabolites and lipids. After data processing, we detected 54,114 proteomic features, 898 lipids, and 373 metabolites. 445 proteomic features, 170 lipids, and 37 metabolites were found to be significantly different as determined by Bonferroni-corrected Wilcoxon tests with FWER < 0.05. For classification, the dataset was split into training (37 cases and 37 controls) and validation (26 cases and 46 controls) sets, with control for collection site and date, age, and gender. XGBoost models were constructed for each analyte class using ten repeats of 10-fold cross-validation. To improve specificity to PDAC, all proteomic features which mapped to GOBP terms associated with acute-phase response, inflammation, and immune response were excluded prior to training. The best-performing hyperparameters were used for a final model built on the full training set and then used for inference on the validation set. At 99% specificity, the proteomic classifier had sensitivities of 77%, 57%, and 88% for Stages 1-4, Stages 1-2, and Stages 3-4, respectively, estimated by bootstrap re-sampling of the validation results. Metabolomics had sensitivities of 81%, 71%, and 88%. Lipidomics had sensitivities of 65%, 71%, and 65%. A joint, multi-omic model was constructed by averaging the scaled probabilities of all models. This joint model improved performance at 99% specificity with sensitivities of 92%, 86%, and 94%, highlighting the synergy of multi-omics data, particularly phenotypically related omics such as those described here. Multi-omic classifiers such as these can serve as the foundation for blood-based liquid biopsies for the early detection of PDAC. Citation Format: John Blume, Ghristine Bundalian, Jessica Chan, Connie Chao-Shern, Jinlyung Choi, Rea Cuaresma, Kevin Dai, Sara N. Golmaei, Jun Heok Jang, Manoj Khadka, Ehdieh Khaledian, Thidar Khin, Yuya Kodama, Ajinkya Kokate, Joon-Yong Lee, Manway Liu, Hoda Malekpour, Megan Mora, Nithya Mudaliar, Preethi Prasad, Madhuvanthi Ramaiah, Saividya Ramaswamy, Peter Spiro, Kavya Swaminathan, Dijana Vitko, James Yee, Brian Young, Susan Zhang, Chinmay Belthangady, Bruce Wilcox, Brian Koh, Philip Ma. A multi-omics classifier achieves high sensitivity and specificity for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma in a case-control study of 146 subjects [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 6597.