Clinical validity of plasma and urinary pellet DNA monitoring for the diagnosis of recurrent bladder cancer

The aim of this study is to evaluate the clinical validity of monitoring urine pellet DNA (upDNA) of bladder cancer (BC) by digital PCR (dPCR) as a biomarker for early recurrence prediction, treatment efficacy evaluation, and no-recurrence corroboration. Tumor panel sequencing was first performed to select patient-unique somatic mutations to monitor both upDNA and circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) by dPCR. For longitudinal monitoring using upDNA as well as plasma ctDNA, an average of 7.2 (range, 2 to 12) time points per case were performed with the dPCR assay for 32 previously treated and untreated patients with BC. Clinical recurrence based on imaging and urine cytology was compared using upDNA variant allele frequency (VAF) dynamics. A continuous increasing trend of upDNA VAF ≥1% was considered to indicate molecular recurrence. Most (30/32; 93.8%) cases showed at least one traceable somatic mutation. In 5 of 7 cases (71.4%) with clinical recurrence, upDNA VAF >1% was detected 7 to 15 months earlier than the imaging diagnosis. The upDNA VAF remained high after initial treatment for locally recurrent cases. The clinical validity of upDNA monitoring was confirmed with the observation that 26 of 30 cases (86.7%) were traceable. Local recurrences were not indicated by ctDNA alone. The results support the clinical validity of upDNA monitoring in the management of recurrent BC.