The Impact of Climate-Driven Lake Level Changes on Mantle Melting in Continental Rifts

Climate cycles fundamentally control surface processes that affect the distribution of water and sediment, and their associated loads, across the Earth's surface. Here, we use a geodynamic model to examine how water loading can affect mantle melt generation in continental rift settings covered by deep lakes. Our modeling results suggest that lake level fluctuations can modulate the timing and rate of mantle melting. A rapid lake level drop of 800 m has the potential to increase mantle melt volumes by enhancing mantle upwelling beneath the rift, whereas a lake level rise can lead to a reduction of mantle melting. The volume of melt produced driven by lake level fluctuations is also dependent on crustal rheology, extension rate, mantle potential temperature, and lithosphere thickness. Our study identifies the importance of water loading for controlling rift processes, while also demonstrating critical links between changing climate, rift evolution and mantle melting. The break-up of continents produces subsidence and the formation of rift valleys and where the climate is favorable, rift lakes. Changes in effective moisture in response to climate changes drive water level fluctuations in rift lakes, and their associated loads. But our understanding of the interaction between hydroclimate changes and rift basin evolution remains limited. To address this, we employed a geodynamic model to explore how water loading can influence mantle melt production in continental rift environments. Our model suggests that lake level fluctuations can have a detectable effect on the timing and pace of mantle melting. A lake level drop can increase mantle melt volume by enhancing mantle upwelling underneath the rift, while a lake level rise can lead to a reduction in mantle melting. Additionally, the amount of melt produced by these fluctuations depends on factors such as crustal rheology, extension rate, thermal gradient, and lithosphere thickness. Our findings reveal the significance of water loading in governing rift processes and highlight the potential links between changing climate, rift evolution, and mantle melting. Lake level drops of 800 m can enhance decompressive mantle meltingA case study for the Turkana Rift shows a correlation between lake level drops and enhanced volcanism over the last 4 MyrSensitivity of mantle melting to lake loading is controlled by extension rate, mantle potential temperature, and lithosphere thickness