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Trends in global ambient fine particulate matter pollution and diabetes mortality rates attributable to it in the 1990-2019: 30 years systematic analysis of global burden of disease

SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT(2024)

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摘要
Aim: To analyze the trends in ambient fine particulate matter pollution (PM2.5) and the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of diabetes attributable to it from 1990 to 2019 by region, country, and socio-economic development status.Methods: The main data, including the summary exposure value (SEV) of ambient PM2.5 and the ASMR of diabetes due to ambient PM2.5, was collected from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 database. The socio-demographic index (SDI) was employed for assessing a particular region or country's degree of socio-economic development. Join point regression analysis was used to assess the changes of ambient PM2.5 and ASMR of diabetes attributable to it.Results: Globally, the SEV of ambient PM2.5 increased from 15.65 mu g/m(3) in 1990 to 26.22 mu g/m(3) in 2019, with an annual average percent change (AAPC) of 1.788 (95 % CI 1.687-1.889) mu g/m(3). The ASMR of diabetes attributable to ambient PM2.5 increased from 1.57 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 2.47 per 100.000 population in 2019 (AAPC = 1.569 [95 % CI 1.42-1.718]). Most regions and countries had an increase of SEV of ambient PM2.5 and ASMR of diabetes attributable to ambient PM2.5. The largest increase of SEV of ambient PM2.5 was observed in South Asia (AAPC = 3.556 [95 % CI 3.329-3.875]), while the largest increase of ASMR of diabetes was in Central Asia (AAPC = 5.170 [95%CI 4.696-5.647]). Moreover, the increase of SEV of ambient PM2.5 and ASMR of diabetes attributable to it were positively associated with SDI in low SDI countries (SDI < 0.46), whereas the opposite result was observed when SDI >= 0.46.Conclusion: From 1990 to 2019, the population's exposure to ambient PM2.5 and ASMR of diabetes attributable to it increased generally, especially in low-middle SDI regions. Ambient PM2.5 remains a threat to global health. Greater investment in ambient PM2.5 and the mortality attributable to it are needed.
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关键词
Fine particulate matter pollution,Air pollution,Diabetes mellitus,Epidemiology,Mortality,Global burden of disease
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