Circulating Tumor Necrosis Factor-Related Biomarkers Predict Kidney Function Decline in Japanese Patients with Diabetes: an Observational Cohort Study

Aims: Tumor necrosis factor (TNF) receptors (TNFRs: TNFR1 and, TNFR2) are reportedly associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression chiefly in Caucasian patients with diabetes. We assessed the prognostic value of TNF-related biomarkers for CKD progression in Japanese patients with diabetes.Methods: We estimated TNF-related biomarkers using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in 640 patients with diabetes. Cox proportional hazards analysis was performed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) per one standard deviation (SD) increase in a log-transformed biomarker. The kidney and the composite outcome were defined as a 30% reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from baseline, and kidney outcome plus death before kidney outcome, respectively.Results: During the median follow-up of 5.4 years, 75 (11.7%) patients reached the kidney outcome and 37 (5.8%) died before reaching the kidney outcome. Each SD increase in baseline circulating TNFR1, TNFR2, and ephrin type-A receptor 2 (EphA2) was associated with a higher risk of the kidney outcome independently from baseline eGFR and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio. However, circulating osteoprotegerin was associated with the composite outcome only.Conclusions: Elevated TNFR1, TNFR2, and EphA2 were associated with both kidney and composite outcomes in Japanese patients with diabetes.