A few-shot disease diagnosis decision making model based on meta-learning for general practice

Background: Diagnostic errors have become the biggest threat to the safety of patients in primary health care. General practitioners, as the "gatekeepers" of primary health care, have a responsibility to accurately diagnose patients. However, many general practitioners have insufficient knowledge and clinical experience in some diseases. Clinical decision making tools need to be developed to effectively improve the diagnostic process in primary health care. The long-tailed class distributions of medical datasets are challenging for many popular decision making models based on deep learning, which have difficulty predicting few-shot diseases. Meta-learning is a new strategy for solving few-shot problems.Methods and materials: In this study, a few-shot disease diagnosis decision making model based on a model-agnostic meta-learning algorithm (FSDD-MAML) is proposed. The MAML algorithm is applied in a knowledge graph-based disease diagnosis model to find the optimal model parameters. Moreover, FSDD-MAML can learn learning rates for all modules of the knowledge graph-based disease diagnosis model. For n-way, k-shot learning tasks, the inner loop of FSDD-MAML performs multiple gradient update steps to learn internal features in disease classification tasks using n x k examples, and the outer loop of FSDD-MAML optimizes the meta-objective to find the associated optimal parameters and learning rates. FSDD-MAML is compared with the original knowledge graph-based disease diagnosis model and other meta-learning algorithms based on an abdominal disease dataset.Result: Meta-learning algorithms can greatly improve the performance of models in top-1 evaluation compared with top-3, top-5, and top-10 evaluations. The proposed decision making model FSDD-MAML outperforms all the other models, with a precision@1 of 90.02 %. We achieve state-of-the-art performance in the diagnosis of all diseases, and the prediction performance for few-shot diseases is greatly improved. For the two groups with the fewest examples of diseases, FSDD-MAML achieves relative increases in precision@1 of 29.13 % and 21.63 % compared with the original knowledge graph-based disease diagnosis model. In addition, we analyze the reasoning process of several few-shot disease predictions and provide an explanation for the results.Conclusion: The decision making model based on meta-learning proposed in this paper can support the rapid diagnosis of diseases in general practice and is especially capable of helping general practitioners diagnose few-shot diseases. This study is of profound significance for the exploration and application of meta-learning to few-shot disease assessment in general practice.