Biodegradation of Ancient Organic Carbon Fuels Seabed Methane Emission at the Arctic Continental Shelves

This study explores the carbon stability in the Arctic permafrost following the sea-level transgression since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). The Arctic permafrost stores a significant amount of organic carbon sequestered as frozen particulate organic carbon, solid methane hydrate and free methane gas. Post-LGM sea-level transgression resulted in ocean water, which is up to 20 degrees C warmer compared to the average annual air mass, inundating, and thawing the permafrost. This study develops a one-dimensional multiphase flow, multicomponent transport numerical model and apply it to investigate the coupled thermal, hydraulic, microbial, and chemical processes occurring in the thawing subsea permafrost. Results show that microbial methane is produced and vented to the seawater immediately upon the flooding of the Arctic continental shelves. This microbial methane is generated by the biodegradation of the previously frozen organic carbon. The maximum seabed methane flux is predicted in the shallow water where the sediment has been warmed up, but the remaining amount of organic carbon is still high. It is less likely to cause seabed methane emission by methane hydrate dissociation. Such a situation only happens when there is a very shallow (similar to 200 m depth) intra-permafrost methane hydrate, the occurrence of which is limited. This study provides insights into the limits of methane release from the ongoing flooding of the Arctic permafrost, which is critical to understand the role of the Arctic permafrost in the carbon cycle, ocean chemistry and climate change. Arctic permafrost stores similar to 1,700 billion tons of organic carbon. If just a fraction of that melts, the escaping methane would become one of the world's largest sources of greenhouse gas and would severely impact the environment and the climate. Over the last similar to 18,000 years, a quarter of the stored organic carbon in the Arctic permafrost has been flooded by the rising, warm seas. This has melted the ice and degraded the permafrost. But what happens to the carbon pools? This study investigates the stability of the carbon in the Arctic permafrost following the flooding using a newly developed numerical model. Results show that microbial methane is generated and emitted to the seawater immediately following the flooding. This methane is produced by the biodegradation of the previously frozen organic carbon near the seafloor. The maximum methane emission is predicted in the shallow water near the coast where the sediment has been warmed up, but the remaining amount of organic carbon is still high. This study provides insights into the limits of methane release from the ongoing flooding of the Arctic permafrost, which is critical to understand the role of the Arctic permafrost in the carbon cycle, ocean chemistry and climate change. A numerical model is developed to simulate the coupled thermal, hydraulic, microbial and chemical processes in the thawing subsea permafrost The biodegradation of the ancient organic carbon in the thawing subsea permafrost results in seabed microbial methane emission Seabed methane emission is less likely to be caused by methane hydrate dissociation at the Arctic continental shelves