Association of hypertension severity and control with risk of incident atrial fibrillation: The REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study

Background: The association of hypertension (HTN) severity and control with the risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. Hypothesis: Increased HTN severity and poorer blood pressure control would be associated with an increased risk of incident AF. Methods: This analysis included 9485 participants (mean age 63 +/- 8 years; 56% women; 35% Black). Participants were stratified into six mutually exclusive groups at baseline-normotension (n = 1629), prehypertension (n = 704), controlled HTN (n = 2224), uncontrolled HTN (n = 4123), controlled apparent treatment-resistant hypertension (aTRH) (n = 88), and uncontrolled aTRH (n = 717). Incident AF was ascertained at the follow-up visit, defined by either electrocardiogram or self-reported medical history of a physician diagnosis. Multivariable logistic regression analyses adjusted for demographic and clinical variables. Results: Over an average of 9.3 years later, 868 incident AF cases were detected. Compared to those with normotension, incident AF risk was highest for those with aTRH (controlled aTRH: odds ratio (OR) 2.95; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60, 5.43, & uncontrolled aTRH: OR 2.47; 95% CI 1.76, 3.48). The increase in AF risk was smaller for those on no more than three antihypertensive agents regardless of their blood pressure control (controlled OR 1.72; 95% CI 1.30, 2.29 and uncontrolled OR 1.56; 95% CI 1.14, 2.13). Conclusions: The risk of developing AF is increased in all individuals with HTN. Risk is highest in those aTRH regardless of blood pressure control. A more aggressive approach that focuses on lifestyle and pharmacologic measures to either prevent HTN or better control HTN during earlier stages may be particularly beneficial in reducing related AF risk.