Unique genetic and risk-factor profiles in multimorbidity clusters of depression-related disease trajectories from a study of 1.2 million subjects

Abstract The heterogeneity and complexity of symptom presentation, comorbidities and genetic factors pose challenges to the identification of biological mechanisms underlying complex diseases. Current approaches used to identify biological subtypes of major depressive disorder (MDD) mainly focus on clinical characteristics that cannot be linked to specific biological models. Here, we examined multimorbidities to identify MDD subtypes with distinct genetic and environmental factors. We leveraged dynamic Bayesian network approaches to determine a minimal set of multimorbidities relevant to MDD and identified seven clusters of disease-burden trajectories throughout the lifespan among 1.2 million participants from transnational cohorts. The clusters had clear protective- and risk-factor profiles as well as age-specific clinical courses mainly driven by inflammatory processes, and a comprehensive map of heritability and genetic correlations among these clusters was revealed. Our results can guide the development of personalized treatments for MDD based on the unique genetic, clinical and modifiable risk-factor profiles of patients.