Monetary and fiscal interplay: does it work both ways?

António Afonso, Alexandre Sousa

Economic Systems(2024)

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摘要
We study whether the interplay between monetary and fiscal policies work both ways, in EU countries, for the period 1995-2019. Our results show notably that: i) the inflation rate has a relevant impact over the central banks’ decision making; ii) the cyclically adjusted primary balance reacts positively to increases in the level of government debt; iii) monetary policy reaction functions do not seem to take into consideration the cyclically adjusted primary balance; iv) fiscal policy, via the cyclically adjusted primary balance, seem to be affected by the short-term interest rate in a negative way. The global economic and financial crisis impacted negatively both the short-term nominal interest rates and the cyclically adjusted primary balance, however with a higher degree in the euro area.
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关键词
E52,E62,E63,E65,H62
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