Preoperative pancreatic radiologic characteristics predict pancreatic-specific complications before pancreaticoduodenectomy: the pancreatic acinar radiologic score.

BACKGROUND:High acinar pancreatic contents are associated with a higher rate of postpancreatectomy acute pancreatitis and pancreatic fistula formation (POPF). Predicting acinar contents preoperatively might identify those at high risk of developing postoperative complications. METHODS:A multivariable analysis was performed to identify radiological factors associated with high pancreatic acinar content at histology in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy. Clinical and radiological variables identified were used to build a composite score predicting low, moderate, and high acinar pancreatic contents. RESULTS:Pancreatic density, wirsung caliber, and pancreatic thickness on preoperative CT-scan predicted acinar contents. These three variables predicted low, moderate, and high acinar content in 94 (26%), 122 (33.6%), and 147 (40.5%) patients, respectively. Patients with high radiological acinar scores compared with patients with intermediate-low risk scores were more frequently male (73.4% vs. 54.1%; p = 0.0003), obese (14% vs. 6%; p = 0.01), and had a statistically significant higher rate of pancreatic-specific complications (23.8% vs. 8.33%; p = 0.01), POPF (12.9% vs. 4.63%; p = 0.005) and pancreaticogastrostomy bleeding (10.8% vs. 4.17%; p = 0.01). CONCLUSION:A simple radiological score combining pancreatic thickness, density, and wirsung caliber at CT scan preoperatively predicts patients with pancreatic parenchyma that are at higher risk of postoperative pancreatic-specific complications.