Long-term PM1 exposure and hypertension hospitalization: A causal inference study on a large community-based cohort in South China

Limited evidence exists on the effect of PM1 on hypertension hospitalization. Evidence based on causal inference and large cohorts is even more scarce. In 2015, 36,271 participants were enrolled in South China and followed up through 2020. Each participant was assigned single-year, lag0–1 year, and lag0–2 year moving average concentration of PM1 and PM2.5 simulated based on satellite data at a 1-km resolution. We used an inverse probability weighting approach to balance confounders and utilized a marginal structural Cox model to evaluate the underlying causal links between PM1 exposure and hypertension hospitalization, with PM2.5-hypertension association for comparison. Several sensitivity studies and the analyses of effect modification were also conducted. We found that a higher hospitalization risk from both overall (HR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.05-1.22) and essential hypertension (HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.06-1.25) was linked to each 1 µg/m3 increase in the yearly average PM1 concentration. At lag0–1 and lag0–2, we observed a 17%–21% higher risk of hypertension associated with PM1. The effect of PM1 was 6%–11% higher compared to PM2.5. Linear concentration-exposure associations between PM1 exposure and hypertension were identified, without safety thresholds. Women and participants that engaged in physical exercise exhibited higher susceptibility, with 4%–22% greater risk than their counterparts. This large cohort study identified a detrimental relationship between chronic PM1 exposure and hypertension hospitalization, which was more pronounced compared to PM2.5 and among certain groups.