Long term evaluation of optimized Gleason grading in a large cohort of men with prostate cancer in Canada

Objectives To evaluate the International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) 5-tier grade grouping (GG) system of prostate cancers as well as previously proposed optimizations. Patients and methods The PROCURE biobank is a prospective cohort study of patients with localized prostate cancer who underwent radical prostatectomy in Quebec province between 2005 and 2013. Surgical specimens were graded by experienced genitourinary pathologists using 2019 ISUP criteria. Follow-up was conducted until November 2021. The current 5-tier and a proposed 6-tier GG system were evaluated, the latter having two changes: 1) Gleason 3+4 and 4+3 tumors with minor/tertiary Gleason 5 patterns were upgraded to GG 3 and 4, respectively; and 2) patients in GG5 were separated based on primary Gleason pattern (4 or 5). Cox proportional hazards models and Harrell’s concordance (C) indices were used for statistical analyses. Results 2003 patients were included (median follow-up: 8.7 years). The current 5-tier GG system predicted time to recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 2.12, 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.99-2.25, C 0.717), androgen-deprivation therapy (HR 2.58, 95%CI 2.38-2.80, C 0.790), metastasis (HR 2.48, 95%CI 2.17-2.83, C 0.806), castration-resistant prostate cancer (HR 2.67, 95%CI 2.28-3.13, C 0.829), and cancer-specific mortality (HR 2.80, 95%CI 2.27-3.44, C 0.835). Goodness-of-fit further improved with the proposed 6-tier GG system, with Harrell’s C of 0.733, 0.807, 0.827, 0.853, and 0.853, respectively. Conclusions The 5-tier GG system predicted short- and long-term outcomes for patients with localized prostate cancer, and the proposed 6-tier GG system further improved its accuracy.