Risk stratification for synchronous/metachronous recurrence after endoscopic submucosal dissection for Barrett's esophageal adenocarcinoma using the length of Barrett's esophagus.

BACKGROUND:In Japan, the standard management of Barrett's esophageal adenocarcinoma after endoscopic submucosal dissection involves follow-up; however, multifocal synchronous/metachronous lesions are sometimes observed after endoscopic submucosal dissection. Risk stratification of multifocal cancer facilitates appropriate treatment, including eradication of Barrett's esophagus in high-risk cases; however, no effective risk stratification methods have been established. Thus, we identified the risk factors for multifocal cancer and explored risk-stratified treatment strategies for residual Barrett's esophagus. METHODS:We retrospectively reviewed the data of 97 consecutive patients with superficial Barrett's esophageal adenocarcinomas who underwent curative resection with endoscopic submucosal dissection. Multifocal cancer was defined by the presence of synchronous/metachronous lesions during follow-up. We used Cox regression analysis to identify the risk factors for multifocal cancer and subsequently analyzed differences in cumulative incidences. RESULTS:The cumulative incidences of multifocal cancer at 1, 3, and 5 years were 4.4%, 8.6%, and 10.7%, respectively. Significant risk factors for multifocal cancer were increased circumferential and maximal lengths of Barrett's esophagus. The cumulative incidences of multifocal cancer at 3 years were lower for patients with circumferential length < 4 cm and maximal length < 5 cm (2.9% and 1.2%, respectively) than for patients with circumferential length ≥ 4 cm and maximal length ≥ 5 cm (51.5% and 49.1%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS:Risk stratification of multifocal cancer using length of Barrett's esophagus was effective. Further multicenter prospective studies are needed to substantiate our findings.