Bond Strength between Recycled Aggregate Concrete and Rebar: Interpretable Machine Learning Modeling Approach for Performance Estimation and Engineering Design

Recycled aggregate concrete has a large potential for application as a sustainable building material. To assist in guiding the engineering design of this low-carbon material, the complex relationship between its bond strength to the rebar and various design parameters was modeled. Comparative studies of multiple machine learning methods have shown that the extreme random tree model demonstrates outstanding performance with root mean square error of 1.982, mean absolute error of 1.202 and coefficient of determination of 0.954. To determine the role of design parameters in performance prediction, importance analysis and sensitivity analyses for parameters were used to explore the complex relationship in the model. The results indicated that rebar type, water-cement ratio, anchorage length, and compressive strength are crucial factors affecting the bond strength between recycled aggregate concrete and rebar. In addition, to further demonstrate the reliability and accuracy of machine learning models, explicit models in some specifications were used for comparative analysis. Due to variability in influencing factors, limited test data, and variability in material properties, the explicit models have limited accuracy for bond strength between recycled aggregate concrete and rebar. Therefore, the interpretable modeling approach can provide an accurate estimate of the bond strength between recycled concrete aggregates and rebar and guide the engineering design of this structure.