Baseline glycated albumin level and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in Healthy individuals: a retrospective longitudinal observation in Korea

Glycated albumin (GA) reflects glycemic status for the past three weeks. GA level demonstrates a strong correlation with HbA1c level and is used as an adjunctive biomarker for diagnosis and monitoring of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). In this study, we validated the predictive performance of baseline GA for development of T2DM in healthy individuals in Korea. From August 2013 to September 2014, the medical records of 3,771 healthy Koreans were retrospectively reviewed. Each participant was categorized into tertiles based on initial GA level. During the follow-up period through May 2020, study participants were evaluated for T2DM using HbA1c, fasting glucose level, and a self-reported diagnosis history. Baseline GA level by tertile (T1 to T3) was 10.4 +/- 0.8% (mean +/- SD), 12.1 +/- 0.3%, and 13.7 +/- 0.9%, respectively. The median follow-up was 5.97 years, during which 4.9% (186 of 3,771) of the participants developed T2DM. After adjusting for confounding factors, the hazard ratio for the development of T2DM in the highest GA level group (T3) compared to the reference group (T1) was 2.46 (95% CI, 1.7 to 3.58, p < 0.001 for trend) with a Harrell's C index of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.76 to 0.83). Also, within highest group of baseline HbA1c and FG levels, higher GA levels were associated with an increased HRs for T2DM. In conclusion, Our study confirms that the risk of T2DM increases with baseline GA level. Additional follow-up of the cohort is warranted to investigate the correlations between GA and other clinical indicators including diabetic complications.