Abstract PO5-01-14: Genomic risk analyses in patients with clinical low risk ER-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer developing an early metastatic event

Abstract Background: Over the past decade, there have been notable changes in the definition of risk estimation in patients with early-stage breast cancer (EBC). Specifically, within the timeframe of 2000 to 2017, following Estrogen Receptor (ER) positive and HER2-negative EBC cases were classified as low risk according to the University Hospitals of Leuven (UHL) criteria of that time: if ER H-score was >200: all patients with tumors N0 and Grade (G) 1, ≤pT2; or G2-3 pT1a-b; in patients ≥40 years with tumors N0 and G2 pT1c-2 or G3 pT1c; in patients ≥ 55 years with tumors N0 G3 pT2 or N1 any Grade, pT≤2. For lower H-scores, other criteria applied. However, despite undergoing endocrine therapy, a subset of these patients with clinically low-risk tumors unexpectedly experienced metastasis within five years of initial diagnosis. This unforeseen outcome may indicate potential undertreatment, as these patients did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. We have conducted a case-cohort study of those patients with early relapse and performed the current clinical risk assessment methods and genomic risk analyses. Methods: In this study, we included patients with ER-pos, HER2-neg early-stage breast cancer diagnosed between 1-1-2000 and 31-12-2017, who were classified as low-risk tumors by UHL guidelines at that time, who were older than 35 but younger than 71 years, had an unilateral, unifocal breast tumor with tumor size up to 5 cm. These patients did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy. We selected the patients that experienced early distant recurrence, defined as distant recurrence (DR) within 5 years after the initial diagnosis. To ensure comparability for the analyses they were matched to controls for grade, menopausal status, tumor size, lymphovascular invasion, progesterone receptor status, and the year of diagnosis. For each patient, we have calculated the clinical risk score according to the criteria outlined by Mymammaprint.com, based on the modified Adjuvant Online tool used in the MINDACT trial. For the analysis, formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) breast tumor tissue samples were subjected to in-house validated targeted RNA-based Mammaprint(MP) analysis by NGS (MP Agendia). Results: Of the 3190 patients with EBC at UHL during the study period, 2476 patients were considered for this analysis and fitted the clinical low-risk criteria defined low-risk at UHL. Among those, only 42 or 1.7% of the eligible cohort had developed metastasis within 5 years. Tissue for MP analysis was available for 35 of these cases and for their matched control. Due to technical failure, the 1:1 matching was lost and MP results were known for 28 cases and 27 controls. The patient and tumor characteristics of both groups were comparable. In this UHL clinical low-risk group, 21/28 (75%) cases would be identified as clinical high-risk by MyMammaprint.com and 18/27 (67%) controls. We identified 13 patients (46.43%) with high genomic risk within the group with DR and 9 (33.33%) within the control group. There was no statistically significant difference (p=0.412) in the proportion of genomically high-risk patients within the group with DR compared to the control group. Conclusions: In a database of patients with EBC of whom 98% did not develop metastasis within 5 years, we observed in a small series of chemotherapy naïve patients with early DR and UHL-defined clinical low-risk tumors, that nearly half had a genomically high risk of distant metastasis. Albeit numerically higher than the matched-control group, this observation was not significant and would warrant a larger sample size and power to confirm these results. Table. Genomic versus Clinical Risk by MyMammaprint.com Citation Format: Josephine Van Cauwenberge, Hava Izci, Hans Wildiers, Sileny Han, Christine Desmedt, Giuseppe Floris, Sara Vander Borght, Ann Smeets, Ines Nevelsteen, Isabelle Vanden Bempt, Patrick Neven. Genomic risk analyses in patients with clinical low risk ER-positive HER2-negative early breast cancer developing an early metastatic event [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO5-01-14.