Role of Edema and Shrinkage Patterns for Prediction of Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Survival Outcomes in Luminal Breast Cancer

AIMS: To explore the independent and additional value of oedema and shrinkage patterns for predicting the disease-free survival (DFS) and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) response in luminal breast cancer (BC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with luminal BC who underwent NAC were enrolled in this study from 2017 to 2022. Traditional MRI features include BI-RADS-based MRI descriptors, tumor size, and ADC values, while emerging MRI features include oedema and shrinkage patterns, all of which were evaluated before, early, and after NAC. The changes in features during NAC were also evaluated. The value of features was evaluated through univariate, multivariate analyses. RESULTS: A total of 258 patients were enrolled in this study, of which 77 responded to NAC. Diffuse oedema, stable or increased oedema during early NAC were adverse predictors for treatment response, while a greater reduction in tumor size and increase in ADC value were favorable predictors (all P<0.05). Furthermore, 20 of 60 patients who were followed up experienced recurrence. Diffuse oedema, pre-pectoral or subcutaneous oedema, and nonconcentric shrinkage patterns after NAC were risk factors for DFS, whereas a greater increase in ADC value was a protective factor. Incorporating oedema and shrinkage patterns into traditional MRI features improved the predictive performance for treatment response (AUC from 0.76-0.78 to 0.80-0.83) and DFS (C-index from 0.67-69 to 0.75-0.80). CONCLUSIONS: Oedema is an unfavorable predictor for treatment response and survival outcomes, while shrinkage patterns contribute more to the prognostic value, both of which could offer supplementary benefits for clinical outcomes in luminal BC. (c) 2024 The Royal College of Radiologists. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights are reserved, including those for text and data mining, AI training, and similar technologies.