Oncogenic composite mutations can be predicted by co-mutations and their chromosomal location.

Genetic heterogeneity in tumors can show a remarkable selectivity when two or more independent genetic events occur in the same gene. This phenomenon, called composite mutation, points toward a selective pressure, which frequently causes therapy resistance to mutation-specific drugs. Since composite mutations have been described to occur in sub-clonal populations, they are not always captured through biopsy sampling. Here, we provide a proof of concept to predict composite mutations to anticipate which patients might be at risk for sub-clonally driven therapy resistance. We found that composite mutations occur in 5% of cancer patients, mostly affecting the PIK3CA, EGFR, BRAF, and KRAS genes, which are common precision medicine targets. Furthermore, we found a strong and significant relationship between the frequencies of composite mutations with commonly co-occurring mutations in a non-composite context. We also found that co-mutations are significantly enriched on the same chromosome. These observations were independently confirmed using cell line data. Finally, we show the feasibility of predicting compositive mutations based on their co-mutations (AUC 0.62, 0.81, 0.82, and 0.91 for EGFR, PIK3CA, KRAS, and BRAF, respectively). This prediction model could help to stratify patients who are at risk of developing therapy resistance-causing mutations.