Distinct response of atmospheric water cycle in China drylands

Drylands, where the water supplies are scarce relative to the atmospheric moisture demands, occupy approximately half of the area of China. With global warming, the response of atmospheric water cycle is a crucial concern for sustainable development in China’s drylands. This study investigates the characteristics of the water cycle in China’s drylands during 1980–2019, as well as future projections estimated by the Community Earth System Model (CESM) during 2020–2100. The results show that the air temperature in China’s drylands has increased significantly since 1980, especially after 2000, with greater warming in the warm season. Meanwhile, China generally tend to be drier from 1980 to 2019 as a whole, especially in the cold season. Both precipitation (P) and evapotranspiration (E) have increased, but the net effect is that drylands become drier (negative P-E) and wetlands become wetter (positive P-E), respectively. In the future, drylands are projected to become more humid due to increased precipitation, showing a pattern of “western wetter and eastern drier” during 2020–2100. These results could improve understanding of the water cycle and provide some guidance for adapting to climate change in drylands.