Did immigration from Eastern Europe increase Euroscepticism in Britain? This study examines how this migration wave influenced British Euroscepticism. Using longitudinal survey data and an instrumental variable strategy, I provide causal evidence that the inflow of Eastern European migrants led to increased Eurosceptic attitudes. The migration inflow also increased comparative national attachment and perceived crime risk.
How does fiscal and administrative centralization affect the provision of public services? We address this question using a 2009 Vietnamese reform which dissolved elected district councils in some provinces and transferred authority to provincial bodies. Exploiting spatial and temporal variation in program implementation, we find that centralization reduced household education subsidies, a key public expenditure in Vietnam. Households responded by increasing out-of-pocket education spending, lowering non-recurrent consumption to offset the decline in public support and maintain enrolment levels.The replication package for this study, including the data, code, and supporting materials necessary to reproduce the reported results, is available here. The authors are responsible for the completeness and accuracy of the replication materials.
We study welfare dependency in a multigenerational horizontal framework that exploits family links among siblings and cousins. Leveraging population-wide administrative data from Switzerland, we document how family resemblance in welfare receipt is distributed between the nuclear and the extended family. Individuals with a welfare-dependent sibling show about a 22-percentage-point higher probability of welfare receipt. Conditional on sibling receipt, having a welfare-dependent cousin is associated with a further increase of about 5 percentage points. Conditional analyses indicate that most predictive content is concentrated within the nuclear family while the cousin association remains economically meaningful given a baseline prevalence of about 4 percent. Sibling resemblance is stronger for welfare receipt than for income, while the additional predictive content of cousins is similar for both outcomes, implying that this heterogeneity is confined to the nuclear family.
This paper studies how lifetime inflation exposure shapes individuals’ inflation expectations, perceptions, and financial behavior. Using a large individual-level dataset from Türkiye spanning 2014 to 2024, combined with detailed measures of past inflation experiences, we show that individuals who have lived through higher inflation consistently report higher expected and perceived inflation. They also respond more strongly to current inflation conditions. The effects are larger for less educated and lower income individuals. In additional analysis, we find that greater lifetime inflation exposure is associated with higher use of retail loans, especially fixed rate loans. These results highlight the persistent influence of past economic conditions on expectation formation and household decisions in an emerging economy with a history of volatile inflation.
