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    Advances in Climate Change Research

    Advances in Climate Change Research

    JournalISSN 1674-9278eISSN 1674-9278中科院 地球科学 1区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(1665)

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    1The Diverse Influence of Topography on Snow Distribution Across Different Time Periods
    Jia-Bei Zhu,Li-Yun Dai, Chun-Feng Ma,Tao Che,Li-Juan Ma
    2027
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    2Cryospheric Hazard Research Toward Digital Twins: Scientific Foundations, Evolutionary Pathways, and Emerging Directions
    Hong-Fei MENG,Fei-Teng WANG,Lin WANG, Heng REN,Shuang-Shuang LIU, Li-Wei WANG,Jian-Xin MU,Xing-Gang MA
    2026
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    3An Extreme Precipitation Structural Dominance Index for Summer Precipitation Patterns over Eastern China
    Bi-Cheng HUANG, Ying ZHOU, Tai-Chen FENG, Jing-Yan GUO,Jun-Hu ZHAO,Rong ZHI,Jie YANG,Shu-Juan HU,Wen-Jie DONG,Jian-Ping HUANG
    2026
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    4Evaluation and Application of High-Resolution Solar Radiation Data in the Qinghai–Xizang Plateau
    Guo-Wei YANG,Yu-Ping YAN,Dong-Qian WANG
    2026
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    5Corresponding Author. .
    Zhi-Fan Chen,Ying Sun,Yu Nie,Da-Bang Jiang,Tim Li,Jin-Hua Yu

    Rapid temperature drops over a few days can seriously affect human health and socioeconomic systems. While previous studies have focused on extreme low temperatures, the characteristics of extreme (i.e., maximum) winter temperature drops and their responses to external forcings in China remain less well understood. Using station observations and CMIP6 multi-model ensembles, we assess anthropogenic influences on extreme 24-, 48-, and 72-h temperature drops across eastern China, a region highly vulnerable to cold extremes. We find that since 1961, observed winter extreme temperature drops across eastern China have exhibited two leading EOF modes: a basin-wide intensification with pronounced multi-decadal variability, and a north-south dipole pattern featuring weakening in the north, intensification in the south, and a significant long-term strengthening of this contrast. Historical simulations with all external forcings successfully reproduce the dipole structure over the period 1961-2023, indicating that anthropogenic forcing plays a dominant role in driving this long-term evolution. Further analysis shows greenhouse gases intensify drops across broader southern areas, while aerosols exert opposing effects. Future projections under the SSP5-8.5 scenario indicate enhanced north-south divergence. Attribution analysis indicates a 2.4-fold reduction in northern record-breaking event probability under anthropogenic forcing in the current climate, with minimal impact in the south. With increasing forcing under future warming, external forcing exerts a pronounced north-south contrast in event probability, decreasing eightfold in the north and doubling in the south by century's end. These findings demonstrate divergent regional responses of extreme temperature drops to external forcings, necessitating distinct adaptation strategies for future climate regimes.

    2026
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    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Panmao Zhai135721
    Dahe Qin124512
    Guoyu Ren123924
    Zongci Zhao116339
    Yihui Ding100820
    Xuejie Gao91717
    Yongping Shen84414
    Huijun Jin70520
    DeEr Zhang67111
    Yong Luo66235

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Zongci Zhao116339
    Deliang Chen52737
    Yong Luo66235
    Cunde Xiao49931
    Guoyu Ren123924
    Shichang Kang23823
    Tong Jiang50222
    Panmao Zhai135721
    Yihui Ding100820
    Huijun Jin70520

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