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    Econometrica

    Econometrica

    JournalISSN 0012-9682eISSN 1468-0262中科院 经济学 1区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(8585)

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    1NewReply to Comments on ‘fisher–schultz Lecture: Contracting over Pharmaceutical Formularies and Rebates’
    Kate Ho,Robin S. Lee
    2026
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    2NewFirm‐to‐Firm Trade: Imports, Exports, and the Labor Market
    Jonathan Eaton,Samuel Kortum,Francis Kramarz

    Customs data reveal the heterogeneity and granularity of relationships among buyers and sellers, showing how more exports to a destination break down into more firms selling there and more buyers per exporter. We develop a quantitative general equilibrium model of firm‐to‐firm matching that builds on this insight to separate the roles of iceberg costs and matching frictions in gravity. In the cross section, we find matching frictions as important as iceberg costs in impeding trade, and more sensitive to distance. Because domestic and imported intermediates compete directly with labor in performing production tasks, our model also fits the heterogeneity of labor shares across French producers. Applying the framework to the 2004 expansion of the European Union, reduced iceberg costs and reduced matching frictions contributed equally to the increase in French exports to the new members. While workers benefited overall, those competing most directly with imports gained less, even losing in some countries entering the EU.

    2026
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    3NewDynamic Screening of Buyers with Heterogeneous Purchase Frequency
    Johannes Hörner, Anna Sanktjohanser

    We consider a dynamic buyer–seller interaction. Instead of the buyer's valuation, it is the frequency with which he needs to trade that is the buyer's private information. The difference matters. With commitment, full surplus extraction is possible, for instance via limited‐time offers. Without commitment, ratcheting is mitigated, as not buying is not necessarily a sign of strength. Because time is informative, the seller learns and may adjust her behavior over time. When finding a suitable alternative seller is easy, she starts with a pooling offer before permanently switching to a screening offer. When finding a suitable alternative seller takes time, she starts with a pooling offer before occasionally experimenting with separating offers.

    2026
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    4NewInformation Design in Common Value Auction with Moral Hazard: Application to OCS Leasing Auctions
    Anh Nguyen

    This paper explores the impact of information design on the auctioneer's revenue in the U.S. offshore oil/gas lease auctions where, post‐auction, the winner decides whether to explore the auctioned tract and must pay the government a royalty on its production value. I first document that there is a positive correlation between the exploration rate and publicly observed losing bids. This suggests that the winning bidder uses the rivals' bids to infer their private information about the tract's potential. I then characterize the equilibrium bidding strategy when the auctioneer designs and commits to how to reveal information on losing bids to the winning bidder. Counterfactual exercises reveal that alternative bid disclosure policies significantly improve auctioneer revenue.

    2026
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    5NewThe Equilibrium Effects of Campaign Finance Deregulation on U.S. Elections
    Christian Cox

    The U.S. Supreme Court's 2010 decision in Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission deregulated campaign finance, enabling the rise of a new political action committee (the Super PAC) with broad freedom to raise and spend money. This led to an unprecedented surge in spending in primary and general elections. To evaluate the impact of Super PACs, I estimate a multistage model of political competition using data from U.S. Congressional elections between 2010 and 2020. I find that Super PAC spending by both sides prompts offsetting responses, resulting in limited net equilibrium effects. However, by amplifying the role of donors, Super PACs still have the potential to reshape the electoral landscape.

    2026
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    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Harry Markowitz728761
    Robert F. Engle603609
    CWJ GRANGER556841
    Halbert White5348814
    Cwj Granger421294
    Jerry Hausman4023615
    Amos Tversky398733
    Richard Bellman361711
    Maurice G. Kendall318631
    Roger Koenker281029

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    eberhard fels18332
    Whitney Newey1534630
    Kenneth J. Arrow1511223
    Pcb Phillips976523
    JD SARGAN238322
    Dwk Andrews2031020
    Gerhard Tintner53819
    Victor Chernozhukov577519
    Guido Imbens998019
    Ragnar Frisch73818

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