Sequential Probability Ratio Test for Collision Avoidance Maneuver Decisions

When facing a conjunction between space objects, decision makers must choose whether to maneuver for collision avoidance or not. We apply a well-known decision procedure, the sequential probability ratio test, to this problem. We propose two approaches to the problem solution, one based on a frequentist method, and the other on a Bayesian method. The frequentist method does not require any prior knowledge concerning the conjunction, while the Bayesian method assumes knowledge of prior probability densities. Our results show that the frequentist method is inferior to the Bayesian method.