The Beijing Healthy Aging Cohort Study (BHACS) was established to supplement the limited data of a large representative cohort of older people based on the general population and was designed to evaluate the prevalence, incidence, and natural history of cognitive decline, functional disability, and conventional vascular risk factors. The aim was to determine the evolution of these conditions by estimating the rates and determinants of progression and regression to adverse outcomes, including dementia, cardiovascular events, cancer, and all-cause death. It can therefore provide evidence to help policy makers develop better policies to promote healthy aging in China. BHACS consisted of three cohorts (BLSA, CCHS-Beijing, and BECHCS) in Beijing with a total population of 11 235 (6281 in urban and 4954 in rural areas) and an age range of 55 years or older (55–101 years) with a mean age of 70.35 ± 7.71 years (70.69 ± 7.62 years in urban and 69.92 ± 7.80 years in rural areas). BHACS-BLSA conducted the baseline survey in 2009 with a multistage stratification-random clustering procedure for people aged 55 years or older; BHACS-CCHS-Beijing conducted the baseline survey in 2013–2015 with a stratified multistage cluster random sampling method for people aged 55 years or older; and BHACS-BECHCS conducted the baseline survey in 2010–2014 with two-stage cluster random sampling method for people aged 60 years or older. Data were collected through questionnaires, physical measurements, and laboratory analyses. Topics covered by BHACS include a wide range of physical and mental health indicators, lifestyles and personal, family, and socio-economic determinants of health. There are no immediate plans to make the cohort data freely available to the public, but specific proposals for further collaboration are welcome. For further information and collaboration, please contact the corresponding author Yao He (e-mail: yhe301@x263.net).

BACKGROUND:Cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) increases the risk of cognitive decline, but the extent to which this can be offset by adherence to an active integrated lifestyle is unknown. METHODS:This prospective study used the baseline and 2-year follow-up data of 2537 dementia-free elderly ≥60 from PINDEC Project. Lifestyle factors (including physical exercise, social interaction, leisure activities, sleep quality, smoking, and alcohol consumption) were collected and the integrated score was calculated. Participants were divided into three groups based on integrated score tertiles (inactive, ≤3 score; intermediate, 4 score; and active, ≥5). Logistic regression was used in data analysis. RESULTS:35.2 % participants had 5-6 healthy components, while only 5.4 % had all 6 healthy lifestyles. The multiadjusted odds ratios (ORs, 95 % confidence interval) of early cognitive decline was 1.223 (0.799-1.871) and 1.832 (1.140-2.943) for participants with only one CMD and any two or more CMDs, respectively. An inverse dose-response relationship was found between lifestyle scores and early cognitive decline (Ptrend = 0.017). In participants with active lifestyle, the OR for early cognitive decline comparing the CMDs status of any two or more CMDs vs. CMDs-free was 0.778 (95%CI: 0.302-2.007). Participants with inactive lifestyle and any two or more CMDs had a near 3.4-fold increased risk of early cognitive decline than those without CMDs who had intermediate to active lifestyle (OR = 3.422, 95%CI: 1.764-6.638). LIMITATIONS:Our research lacks information about nutrition. CONCLUSIONS:A dose-response relationship exists between CMDs status and risk of early cognitive decline. However, adherence to an active integrated lifestyle may mitigate this risk.

Objective:To investigate the preventive effect of distal perfusion catheters (DPCs) on vascular complications in patients undergoing venous artery extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO).Methods:Patients who underwent VA-ECMO through a femoral approach in our hospital were included in this study, and they were divided into two groups according to their use of DPC. Clinical indicators were compared between the two groups, including the ECMO running time, intensive care unit (ICU) time, length of hospital stay, ECMO auxiliary results, the incidence of limb ischemia and vascular complications.Results:In total, 250 patients were included in this study, including the DPC group (age: 48 [32-62] years old, 58.4% male, n = 125) and the non-DPC group (age: 51 [36-63] years old, 65.6% male, n = 125). The DPC group was less likely to have limb complications than the non-DPC group (6.4% vs 17.6%, P = 0.006), mainly resulting from distal ischemia (4.0% vs 15.2%, P = 0.003) and necrosis (1.6% vs 9.6%, P = 0.006). The ECMO duration had a median of 92.3 (75.7-109) h in the DPC group and 71.2 (59.4-82.8) h in the DPC group, with a difference close to the statistical threshold (P = 0.054). There was no significant difference in ICU time or length of hospital stay between the two groups. The multivariate analysis showed that the DPC implantation was negatively associated with limb complications (odds ratio: 0.265, 95% confidence interval: 0.107-0.657, P = 0.004) after adjustment for confounding factors.Conclusion:Distal perfusion catheter placement might be associated with a decreased risk of vascular complications and limb ischemia in patients undergoing femoral VA-ECMO cannulation. Further randomised studies are still needed to verify its benefit on clinical outcomes.

Background Cardiovascular disease has become the leading cause of death worldwide, but there is a lack of data on whether cardiovascular health (CVH) is associated with elderly mortality in China. We investigated the relationship between the ideal CVH score of Chinese elderly and the all-cause mortality. Methods The Beijing Elderly Comprehensive Health Cohort Study included a total of 4,499 participants aged 60 years and above. The CVH metric was calculated at baseline and had a score ranging from 0 to 12. The relationship of CVH metrics with all-cause mortality was investigated using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. The robustness of results was tested using subgroup and sensitivity analysis. Results The median CVH score among participants was 8.00 (2.00), with only 8.0% scoring 11–12 points. 667 deaths were observed during an average follow-up time of 8.2 years. Participants with a CVH score of 11–12 had a decreased risk of all-cause mortality when compared to those with a CVH score of 0–4(HR = 0.584, 95% CI: 0.373–0.913). Participants had a 7.5% lower risk of all-cause death with each unit higher CVH score (HR = 0.925, 95%CI: 0.885–0.967) with a linearly decreasing trend (P nonlinear = 0.575). The relationships were greater in younger elderly people and stroke patients (P interaction = 0.011 and 0.037. respectively). The consistency of significant trends in sensitivity analysis shows the robustness of association (P trend < 0.001). Conclusions Among the Chinese elderly, there was a linear relationship between improving CVH scores and a lower risk of all-cause mortality. Because of the enormous benefits brought by one point, strategies are essential for improving cardiovascular health attainment. Trial registration This study was registered at China Clinical Trial Registration Center (ChiCTR2100049866).

Background As the focal point of epidemic prevention and control, the mental health of COVID-19 patients cannot be ignored. Online Mindfulness-Based Stress Reduction (MBSR) allows for the provision of conveniently accessible, effective and low-cost interventions on a large scale. We aim to evaluate the effectiveness of an online MBSR intervention in alleviating anxiety and depression among asymptomatic/mild patients limited by COVID-19-related restrictions. Methods Fifty-eight patients treated in Sanya Fangcang hospital were randomly allocated to either to the experimental group (n = 29) following daily, for 5 days, an online-based mindfulness intervention or to the control group (n = 29). Patients from both groups underwent online questionnaires including assessment of anxiety and depression status at pre- and post-tests using Self-rating Anxiety Scale and Self-Rating Depression Scale. Results After the online-based MBSR program, the anxiety and depression scores of the patients in the MBSR group decreased significantly in comparison to the scores of those in the control group (respectively η2 = 0.175, η2 = 0.215, p < 0.001). And the proportion of severe anxiety and depression patients in the MBSR group decreased to 0% which lower than the control group, and the proportion of light anxiety and depression patients was significantly more than that in the control group after the MBSR intervention. Conclusion The online-based MBSR intervention appears to be an effective way of alleviating anxiety and depression symptoms among COVID-19 patients with associated quarantine in Fangcang hospital. Given the seriousness of mental health threat that could be posed by this ongoing pandemic, our study provides a new idea and method for cost-effective and time-efficient interventions in the future of epidemic prevention and control.

Objective To investigate the anxiety and depression status of asymptomatic and light COVID-19 patients admitted to Fangcang shelter hospitals in Hainan during the COVID-19 outbreak,and analyze the related influencing factors.Methods From August to October 2022,an online survey of anxiety and depression status using the Questionnaire Star program was conducted.The severity of anxiety and depression were assessed by Self-Rating Anxiety Scale and Self-Rating Depression Scale,respectively.A multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors.Results Of the 569 patients included,14.9％and 55.4％had COVID-19-related anxiety and depression symptoms,mainly mild and moderate.Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that female sex,being married,alcohol consumption and past medical history were independent risk factors for anxiety symptoms(all P＜0.05).Additionally,being married,manual occupation and living alone were risk factors,while frequent physical exercises appeared as protective factors(all P＜0.05)related to depression symptoms.Conclusions The COVID-19 outbreak resulted in a related widespread increase in anxiety and depression in patients admitted to Fangcang shelter hospitals,and early identification and intervention of adverse psychological status in high-risk groups should be achieved.

Importance: Little evidence on the association between adiposity measures and all-cause mortality was observed among centenarians, and no targeted development of optimal weight recommendations for them.Objective: To comprehensively assess the association between adiposity indices and all-cause mortality among centenarians.Design setting, and participants: This prospective population-based cohort study included 1002 centenarians registered in 18 counties and cities in Hainan Province from June 2014 to May 2021. The age of participants at baseline was provided by the civil affairs bureau and verified before enrollment. Main outcomes and measures: All-cause mortality was rigorously confirmed as the primary outcome. BMI was calculated by height and weight. BRI was calculated by height and waist circumference.Results: At baseline, the mean (SD) age was 102.8 & PLUSMN; 2.7 years, and 180 participants (18.0%) were men. The median follow-up time was 5.0 (4.8-5.5) years, with 522 deaths. In BMI categories, compared with the lowest group (mean BMI = 14.2 kg/m2), the highest group (mean BMI = 22.2 kg/m2) had lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.61; 95%CI, 0.47-0.79) (P for trend = 0.001). In BRI categories, compared with the lowest group (mean BRI = 2.3), the highest group (mean BRI = 5.7) had lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.66; 95%CI, 0.51-0.85) (P for trend = 0.002), and the risk did not decrease after BRI exceeded 3.9 in women. Higher BRI was associated with lower HRs after adjusting for interaction with comorbidities status. E-values analysis suggested robustness to unmeasured confounding.Conclusions and relevance: BMI and BRI were inverse linear associated with mortality risk in the whole population, while BRI was observed to be J-shaped in women. The interaction of lower multiple complication incidence and BRI had a significant effect on the reduced risk of all-cause mortality.& COPY; 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

Background Although hypoalbuminemia was associated with high risk of mortality in community-dwelling older adults, as well as in the hospitalized older adults, little is known among centenarians. And there are limited data on whether having cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) is associated with additive effects. Methods Baseline examinations including a determination of albumin levels were performed in 1002 Chinese centenarians from January 2014 through to December 2016, and the survival status was subsequently ascertained until 31 May 2021. Cox proportional risk model was performed to assess the risk of all-cause mortality associated with albumin levels and hypoalbuminemia combined with CMDs. Results Of 1002 participants included in the analysis, the mean level of albumin was 38.5 g/L (± standard deviation, 4.0 g/L), and 174 (17.4%) had hypoalbuminemia (albumin < 35 g/L). The multivariable analyses showed that albumin level was negatively associated with all-cause mortality ( P trend < 0.05). Compared to normoalbuminemia, hypoalbuminemia was associated with an increased mortality risk in the overall participants (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.55, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22–1.97). Furthermore, the HR (95% CI) of hypoalbuminemia combined with multiple CMDs was 2.15 (1.14–4.07). There was evidence of an additive deleterious dose effect of an increasing number of CMDs ( P trend = 0.001). Conclusions Hypoalbuminemia is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in Chinese centenarians, and this risk is more pronounced among centenarians with multiple cardiometabolic diseases. Our findings suggest that older adults with hypoalbuminemia, especially comorbid multiple CMDs warrant early identification and management.

OBJECTIVE:To explore the factors affecting short-term prognosis of circulatory failure patients undergoing venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) treatment.METHODS:A total of 136 patients undergoing VA-ECMO were enrolled in this study and subsequently divided into the death group (n=35) and the survival group (n=101) based on whether death occurred during hospitalisation. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) running time, length of intensive care unit stay, length of hospital stay, costs, and ECMO complications were then compared between the two groups.RESULTS:The average age of all patients undergoing ECMO was 47.64±16.78 years (53.2±16.20 years in the death group and 45.713±16.62 years in the survival group) (P=0.022). Patients in the survival group exhibited a clear downward trend in lactic acid value following ECMO treatment compared to those in the death group. Total hospitalisation stay was longer in the survival group (35 days) than in the death group (15.5 days) (P<0.001). In the analysis of ECMO complications, the incidence of neurological complications, renal failure, limb complications, and infection were higher in the death group than in the survival group (P<0.05 for all). Specifically, as a risk factor for patient survival and discharge, the occurrence of infection will lead to increased hospitalisation stays and costs (P<0.05 for both).CONCLUSION:Complications such as kidney failure and infection are associated with in-hospital death, and ECMO-related complications should be actively prevented to improve the survival rate of VA-ECMO treatment.

Objective Cognitive impairment (CI) has been demonstrated as a useful proxy measure of mortality in Western populations. However, the predictive value of CI in Chinese populations is unknown. We aimed to explore whether CI is independently associated with increased long-term all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in Chinese older adults and the association of performance in specific MMSE sub-domains to subsequent mortality. Methods and results A total of 4,499 older adults [mean (SD) age, 70.3(6.7) years] who received a sample investigation from 2011 to 2014 were followed up till 2021 for mortality. The Mini-Mental State Examination was used to assess cognitive function, and Cox's proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the effects of cognitive function on the risk of all-cause and CVD mortality. Demographic characteristics, lifestyle, and health status were included as covariates. During a 10-year follow-up, a total of 667 (14.8%) died. In the fully adjusted model, compared with cognitively normal participants with CI had a 1.33-fold [HR, 1.33; (95% CI, 1.10–1.61)] greater risk of all-cause mortality and a 1.45-fold [HR, 1.45; (95% CIs, 1.11–1.92)] greater risk of CVD mortality. After a similar multivariable adjustment, a per-SD increase in MMSE scores was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality [HR, 0.85; (95% CI, 0.78–0.93)] and CVD mortality [HR, 0.74; (95% CI, 0.65–0.84)]. In the unadjusted model, MMSE sub-domains (apart from immediate recall) were associated with mortality. But only orientation and calculation and attention were still independently associated with all-cause and CVD mortality in a multivariable model. Conclusion These findings confirmed that CI is a marker of all-cause and CVD mortality risk in Chinese older adults, independently of other commonly assessed risk factors, and some sub-domains of the MMSE may have stronger associations with mortality. Further research is needed to identify the mechanisms underlying the observed associations.

Objective:To explore the teaching effects and influencing factors of clinical epidemiology courses for graduates and provide reference for the reformation and innovation of teaching mode.Methods:A total of 409 graduates enrolled in 2020 were selected to investigate the learning situation before and after teaching by questionnaire survey. Using logistic regression model to analyze the influencing factors.Results:The score of overall students was (93.2±4.8). The scores of full-time students and part-time students were(94.0±4.9) and (90.2±5.1), respectively.Excellent grades(above 90) were associated with age [ OR(95% CI)=0.81(0.70~0.95)], unified enrollment [ OR(95% CI)=4.52(2.16~9.43)], case-based learning (CBL) [ OR(95% CI)=1.23(1.05~1.44)], desire to improve statistical analysis skills before study [ OR(95% CI)=7.26(1.72~33.74)], having studied the course [ OR(95% CI)=4.96(2.07~11.87)], conducting post-course review [ OR(95% CI)=2.87(1.47~5.60)], and mastery of the instructional content [ OR(95% CI)=5.60(1.34~23.44)]. Conclusions:Excellent results in the postgraduate clinical epidemiology exam.In addition to age and unified enrollment, CBL, preparation before class and review after class are also the main factors affecting the results. It is suggested that the lecture style should be adjusted according to students' needs and supervise students to develop the habit of preparation and review in order to consolidate and improve the teaching effect.

Abstract. Background:. Gallbladder and biliary tract cancer (GBTC) has greatly damaged the health of patients and is accompanied by a dismal prognosis. The worldwide distribution of GBTC shows extensive variance and the updated data in China is lacking. This study was to determine the current status, trends, and predictions in the burden of GBTC over the past 30 years in China. Methods:. This was a descriptive, epidemiological, secondary analysis of the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor Study 2019 data. Data including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of GBTC in China by year, age, and sex were assessed. Joinpoint regression analysis was conducted to evaluate trends of disease burden due to GBTC from 1990 to 2019. Nordpred age-period-cohort analysis was applied for the projection of mortality and incidence due to GBTC from 2019 to 2044. Results:. Nationally, there were 38,634 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 27,350–46,512) new cases and 47,278 (95% UI: 32,889–57,229) patients due to GBTC, causing 34,462 (95% UI: 25,220–41,231) deaths, and 763,584 (95% UI: 566,755–920,493) DALYs in 2019. Both cases and rates of burden owing to GBTC were heavier among males and at old age. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized rates of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of GBTC generally increased from 1990 to 2019, with average annual percentage change at 0.8% (95% confidential interval [CI]: 0.6–1.0%), 1.3% (95% CI: 1.1–1.5%), 0.4% (95% CI: 0.2–0.6%), and 0.2% (95% CI: 0.1–0.4%), respectively. Even though the age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate in both sexes were predicted to decline gradually from 2019 to 2044, the number of new cases and deaths were expected to grow steadily. Conclusions:. GBTC is becoming a major health burden in China, particularly among males and older individuals. Given the aging population and increasing burden, effective strategies and measurements are urged to prevent or reduce the number of new cases and deaths of GBTC.

Background and PurposeThis study aimed to investigate the arterial disease risk factors for the progression of intraplaque hemorrhage (IPH) in patients with carotid atherosclerosis using serial high-resolution magnetic resonance (MR) imaging.MethodsConsecutive symptomatic patients who had MRI evidence of intraplaque hemorrhage present in the ipsilateral carotid artery with respect to the side of the brain affected by stroke or TIA were recruited in the study. All the patients underwent follow-up MR imaging at least 6 months after baseline. The annual change in IPH and other carotid plaque morphology was calculated, and a tertile method was used to classify the plaques as progressed or not with respect to IPH volume using the software CASCADE. Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were conducted to evaluate the risk factors for the progression of IPH.ResultsA total of thirty-four symptomatic patients (mean age: 67.1 years, standard deviation [SD]: 9.8 years, 27 men) were eligible for the final analysis, and contralateral plaques containing IPH were seen in 11 of these patients (making 45 plaques with IPH in total). During mean 16.6-month (SD: 11.0 months) follow-up, the overall annual change in IPH volume in 45 plaques with IPH was mean −10.9 mm3 (SD: 49.1 mm3). Carotid plaques were significantly more likely to be classified in progressed IPH group if the patient was taking antiplatelet agent at baseline (OR: 9.76; 95%CI: 1.05 to 90.56; p = 0.045), had a baseline history of current or past smoking (OR: 9.28; 95%CI: 1.26 to 68.31; p = 0.029), or had a larger baseline carotid plaque-containing vessel wall volume (OR: 1.36 per 10 mm3; 95%CI: 1.02 to 1.81; p = 0.032) after adjustments for confounding factors. ROC analysis indicated that the combination of these three risk factors in the final model produced good discriminatory value for the progressed IPH group (area under the curve: 0.887).ConclusionsTaking an antiplatelet agent at baseline, a baseline history of current or past smoking and larger baseline carotid plaque-containing vessel wall volume were independently predictive of plaques being in the progressed IPH group. Our findings indicate that awareness and management of such risk factors may reduce the risk of intraplaque hemorrhage progression.

Aim: One of the most common laboratory findings in COVID-19 patients has been observed to be hypercoagulability with elevated D-dimer levels. An activation of thrombosis may be generated by hyperglycemia. We aimed to explore the association between D-dimer and in-hospital outcomes, and evaluate the synergistic effect between elevated D-dimer and hyperglycemia on COVID-19 prognosis.Methods: A retrospective cohort study was undertaken with 2467 COVID-19 inpatients. D-dimer and fasting blood glucose (FBG) on admission and adverse in-hospital outcomes (events of death and aggravated severity) were collected. Cox proportional risk model was performed to assess the association of D-dimer and adverse in-hospital outcomes, and the combined effects of D-dimer and FBG.Results: Among these COVID-19 patients, 1100 (44.6%) patients had high D-dimer (>= 0.50 mg/L). Patients with high D-dimer were older, with higher FBG (>= 7.00 mmol/L), and had significantly higher adjusted risk of adverse in-hospital outcomes when comparing with those who with D-dimer<0.50 mg/L (hazard ratio, 2.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.46-5.11). Moreover, patients with high FBG and D-dimer levels had an increasing risk (hazard ratio, 5.72; 95% confidence interval: 2.65-12.34) than those with normal FBG and D-dimer.Conclusion: Risk of adverse in-hospital outcomes is higher among patients with high D-dimer levels. Additionally, this study found for the first time that elevated D-dimer and hyperglycemia had a synergistic effect on COVID-19 prognosis, and this risk was independent of diabetes history.

Clinical epidemiology is a medical course that developed on the basis of clinical medicine and epidemiology. It is of great significance to build students' capacity of clinical research, train their innovative thinking and provide methodological support for clinical research. However, current education model and teaching methods of clinical epidemiology in domestic are still on the way of development. In order to meet the needs of the development of clinical medicine, it is necessary to improve the teaching effect and quality, promote the quality of clinical performance. This paper summarizes the basic teaching elements in current education system such as the cognition of clinical epidemiology course, teaching effect, capacity building of research in domestic medical schools, as well as the application of different teaching methods. It may provides a reference for the popularization and development of the clinical epidemiology.

Background Diabetes mellitus (DM) or cognitive impairment (CI) is known to be strongly associated with mortality. DM commonly coexists with CI and proportionally increases with age. However, little is known about the combined effect of cognitive function and diabetes on mortality. This study aimed to evaluate the combined effects of DM and CI on all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Chinese older adults. Methods This prospective population-based cohort study was based on the Beijing Elderly Comprehensive Health Cohort Study. A total of 4,499 older adults were included. Cox’s proportional hazard models were utilized to calculate the effect of DM and CI on all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality and cancer mortality, and a multiplicative term was introduced to study a potential interaction between DM and CI on outcomes. Results During a median follow-up of 6.8 years (ranging from 6.6 to 11.7 years), 667 (14.8%) participants died from all causes, 292 from CVD, and 215 from cancer. In the fully adjusted model, participants with coexisting DM and CI had the highest risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratios (HRs), 3.08; 95% confidence intervals (CIs), 2.30,4.11] and CVD mortality (HRs, 3.85; 95% CIs, 2.60,5.71) compared with individuals with normal cognition and non-DM. We also found a multiplicative interaction between DM and CI in respect to all-cause (HRs, 2.46; 95% CI, 1.87,3.22) and CVD mortality (HRs, 3.15 95% CI, 2.19,4.55). In the diabetic population, CI was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HRs, 2.09; 95% CIs, 1.51,2.89) and CVD mortality (HRs, 3.16; 95% CIs, 2.02,5.05) compared with the normal cognition group. Restricted cubic spline revealed a linear inverse association between Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score and all-cause, CVD mortality in the total sample and participants without diabetes. However, a nearly reverse J association was observed between MMSE and mortality from all causes and CVD in the diabetes group. Conclusion The findings highlighted that cognitive impairment concomitant with diabetes further increases the risk of mortality. In addition to strengthening routine screening of cognitive functioning in older adults with early-stage diabetes, more extensive assessment of prognostic risks has high clinical value for developing comprehensive treatment plans.

Background: Pancreatitis is a common disease of the digestive system. Acute pancreatitis is one of the most common reasons for gastrointestinal hospital admission, and chronic pancreatitis significantly reduces quality of life. However, national epidemiological data on pancreatitis in China are lacking. This study aimed to quantify the disease burden of pancreatitis in China from 1990 to 2019. Methods: This study was based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 dataset. Age-standardized rates of incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were used to describe the disease burden of pancreatitis, and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to indicate the average change in age-standardized rates. We also described the trend of pancreatitis-related mortality and DALYs, which are attributable to alcohol use by age and sex. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, and age-standardized DALYs of pancreatitis in China decreased by 10.90, 1.50, 0.49, and 15.54 per 100,000, respectively, with EAPCs of -1.35 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: -1.67, -1.02) and -0.37 (95% UI: -0.43, -0.31), -2.01 (95% UI: -2.07, -1.94) and -2.32 (95% UI: -2.37, -2.28), respectively. Recently, the numbers of incident and prevalent cases have risen, with estimates of 380,018 (95% UI: 308,669-462,767) and 493,765 (95% UI: 416,705-578,675), respectively, in 2019. Among men, the disease burden of pancreatitis was more severe than among women, and with variances in the distribution among different age groups. Age-standardized DALYs caused by alcohol-related pancreatitis have gradually worsened in the past decade, accounting for 34.09% of the total in 2019. Conclusions: The disease burden of pancreatitis in China has declined in the past 30 years, but the exacerbation of population aging poses a challenge to prevention and control of pancreatitis. Alcohol use has gradually become an important factor in the disease burden of pancreatitis in recent years.

Hypertension is associated with stroke-related mortality. However, the long-term association of blood pressure (BP) and the risk of stroke-related mortality and the influence path of BP on stroke-related death remain unknown. The current study aimed to estimate the long-term causal associations between BP and stroke-related mortality and the potential mediating and moderated mediating model of the associations.This is a 45-year follow-up cohort study and a total of 1696 subjects were enrolled in 1976 and 1081 participants died by the latest follow-up in 2020. COX proportional hazard model was used to explore the associations of stroke-related death with baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP)/diastolic blood pressure (DBP) categories and BP changes from 1976 to 1994. The mediating and moderated mediating effects were performed to detect the possible influencing path from BP to stroke-related deaths. E value was calculated in the sensitivity analysis.Among 1696 participants, the average age was 44.38 ± 6.10 years, and 1124 were men (66.3%). After a 45-year follow-up, a total of 201 (11.9%) stroke-related deaths occurred. After the adjustment, the COX proportional hazard model showed that among the participants with SBP ≥ 160 mmHg or DBP ≥ 100 mmHg in 1976, the risk of stroke-related death increased by 217.5% (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.175, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.297-4.388), and the adjusted HRs were higher in male participants. Among the participants with hypertension in 1976 and 1994, the risk of stroke-related death increased by 110.4% (HR = 2.104, 95% CI: 1.632-2.713), and the adjusted HRs of the BP changes were higher in male participants. Body mass index (BMI) significantly mediated the association of SBP and stroke-related deaths and this mediating effect was moderated by gender.In a 45-year follow-up, high BP and persistent hypertension are associated with stroke-related death, and these associations were even more pronounced in male participants. The paths of association are mediated by BMI and moderated by gender.

Background Multimorbidity presents an enormous problem to societal and healthcare utilization under the context of aging population in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Currently, systematic studies on the profile of multimorbidity and its characteristics among Chinese elderly are lacking. We described the temporal and spatial trends in the prevalence of multimorbidity and explored chronological changes of comorbidity patterns in a large elderly population survey. Methods Data were extracted from the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Study (CLHLS) conducted between 1998 and 2018 in a random selection of half of the counties and city districts. All the elderly aged 65 and older were included in the survey of eight waves. We used 13 investigated chronic diseases to measure the prevalence of multimorbidity by means of geography, subpopulation, and chronological changes. The patterns of multimorbidity were assessed by computing the value of relative risk (RR indicates the likelihood of certain diseases to be associated with multimorbidity) and the observed-to-expected ratio (O/E indicates the likelihood of the coexistence of a multimorbidity combination). Results From 1998 to 2018, the prevalence of multimorbidity went from 15.60 to 30.76%, increasing in the fluctuation across the survey of eight waves (p for trend = 0.020). Increasing trends were observed similarly in a different gender group (p male = 0.009; p female = 0.004) and age groups among female participants (p~80 = 0.009; p81−90 = 0.004; p91−100 = 0.035; p101~ = 0.018). The gap in the prevalence of multimorbidity between the north and the south was getting narrow across the survey of eight waves. Hypertension was the highest prevalent chronic condition while diabetes was most likely to coexist with other chronic conditions in the CLHLS survey. The most frequently occurring clusters were hypertension and heart disease, hypertension and cataract, and hypertension and chronic lung disease. And, the cancer, TB, and Parkinson's disease cluster took the domination of O/E rankings over time, which had a higher probability of coexistence in all the multimorbidity combinations. Conclusions The prevalence of multimorbidity has been increasing nationwide, and more attention should be paid to a rapid growth in the southern part of China. It demands the effective diagnosis and treatment adopted to the highly prevalent comorbidities, and strategies and measures were adjusted to strongly relevant clusters.

Background: The optimal treatment strategy for elderly patients with early gastric adenocarcinoma (EGAC) after non-curative endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) remains unclear. The purpose of this research was to explore the effectiveness of additional treatments after ESD and the factors affecting survival in elderly patients (≥60 years of age) with EGAC.Methods: A total of 639 elderly patients (≥60 years) treated with ESD for EGAC from 2006 to 2018 were retrospectively reviewed. Positive lymphatic infiltration, submucosal infiltration, and positive/indeterminate vertical resection margins are considered high risk factors in histology. According to the risk of lymph node metastasis in patients with EAGC and the treatment strategies adopted after ESD, patients were divided into three groups: there were 484 patients in group A with low risk, 121 patients in group B with high risk, without additional treatment, and 36 patients in group C with high risk, with additional treatment. The 5- and 8-year survival rate, as well as the prognostic factors of survival rate after ESD was studied.Results: The median follow-up time was 38, 40, and 49 months, respectively. There were 3, 4, and 3 deaths related to gastric adenocarcinoma in groups A, B, and C, while deaths from other diseases were 20, 5, and 3, respectively. There were significant differences in overall survival rates between groups (94.3; 86.4; 81.2%, p = 0.110), but there was no significant difference in disease-specific survival rates (98.4; 92.7; 92.4%, p = 0.016). In the multivariate analysis, the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) ≥ 2 was an independent risk factor for death after ESD (hazard ratio 2.39; 95% confidence interval 1.20–4.77; p = 0.014).Conclusions: The strategy of ESD with no subsequent additional treatment for EGAC may be a suitable option for elderly patients at high risk, especially for CCI ≥ 2.