In this paper, we discuss the prediction problem based on censored coherent system lifetime data when the system structure is known and the component lifetime follows the proportional reversed hazard model. Different point and interval predictors based on classical and Bayesian approaches are derived. A numerical example is presented to illustrate the prediction methods used in this paper. Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to evaluate and compare the performances of different prediction methods.
Proportional reversed hazard model and exponentiated distributions have received considerable attention in the statistical literature due to its flexibility. In this paper, we develop the tools for statistical inference of the lifetime distribution of components in an-component coherent system while the system lifetimes are observed, the system structure is known and the component lifetime follows the proportional reversed hazard model. Different point and interval estimation procedures based on frequentist and Bayesian approaches are developed. The existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimator are discussed. In addition, two statistical testing procedures, a pivotal quantity approach and a likelihood ratio test, to test whether the exponentiated parameter equals to a particular value are proposed. A numerical example is used to illustrate the methodologies developed in this paper and a Monte Carlo simulation study is employed to evaluate the performance of the statistical inferential procedures.
Based on record data, the estimation and prediction problems for normal distribution have been investigated by several authors in the frequentist set up. However, these problems have not been discussed in the literature in the Bayesian context. The aim of this paper is to consider a Bayesian analysis in the context of record data from a normal distribution. We obtain Bayes estimators based on squared error and linear-exponential (Linex) loss functions. It is observed that the Bayes estimators can not be obtained in closed forms. We propose using an importance sampling method to obtain Bayes estimators. Further, the importance sampling method is also used to compute Bayesian predictors of future records. Finally, a real data analysis is presented for illustrative purposes and Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods. It is shown that Bayes estimators and predictors are superior than frequentist estimators and predictors.