Abstract The analysis of eye‐tracking data has been shown to be useful in supporting inferences about the underlying processes of test takers responding to multiple‐choice questions (MCQs; Yaneva et al.), especially when framed as one piece of evidence within an overall validity argument. The same type of eye‐tracking data can also be collected with other item formats such as short‐answer questions (SAQs). In the present study, we leveraged eye‐tracking data to evaluate the extent to which test takers engage in different processes when responding to MCQs and SAQs. We randomly assigned medical students matched test items presented in either MCQ or SAQ format and collected eye‐tracking data as they responded to each item. We then compared various eye‐tracking measures (sequencing order, location, and duration of visual fixations) across the two item formats. The results provided little evidence of differences in the response process for the two item formats.
This study examines vulnerabilities in transformer-based automated short-answer grading systems used in medical education, with a focus on how these systems can be manipulated through adversarial gaming strategies. Our research identifies three main types of gaming strategies that exploit the system's weaknesses, potentially leading to false positives. To counteract these vulnerabilities, we implement several adversarial training methods designed to enhance the systems' robustness. Our results indicate that these methods significantly reduce the susceptibility of grading systems to such manipulations, especially when combined with ensemble techniques like majority voting and ridge regression, which further improve the system's defense against sophisticated adversarial inputs. Additionally, employing large language models such as GPT-4 with varied prompting techniques has shown promise in recognizing and scoring gaming strategies effectively. The findings underscore the importance of continuous improvements in AI-driven educational tools to ensure their reliability and fairness in high-stakes settings.
Methods for detecting item parameter drift may be inadequate when every exposed item is at risk for drift. To address this scenario, a strategy for detecting item parameter drift is proposed that uses only unexposed items deployed in a stratified random method within an experimental design. The proposed method is illustrated by investigating unexpected score increases on a high-stakes licensure exam. Results for this example were suggestive of item parameter drift but not significant at the .05 level.
Recent developments in the use of large-language models have led to substantial improvements in the accuracy of content-based automated scoring of free-text responses. The reported accuracy levels suggest that automated systems could have widespread applicability in assessment. However, before they are used in operational testing, other aspects of their performance warrant examination. In this study, we explore the potential for examinees to inflate their scores by gaming the ACTA automated scoring system. We explore a range of strategies including responding with words selected from the item stem and responding with multiple answers. These responses would be easily identified as incorrect by a human rater but may result in false-positive classifications from an automated system. Our results show that the rate at which these strategies produce responses that are scored as correct varied across items and across strategies but that several vulnerabilities exist.
Multiple-choice questions have become ubiquitous in educational measurement because the format allows for efficient and accurate scoring. Nonetheless, there remains continued interest in constructed-response formats. This interest has driven efforts to develop computer-based scoring procedures that can accurately and efficiently score these items. Early procedures were typically based on surface features of the responses or simple matching procedures, but recent developments in natural language processing have allowed for much more sophisticated approaches. This paper reports on a state-of-the-art methodology for scoring short answer questions supported by a large language model. Responses were collected in the context of a high-stakes test for medical students. More than 35,000 responses were collected across 71 studied items. Aggregated across all responses the proportion of agreement with human scores ranged from .97 to .99 (depending on specifics such as training sample size). In addition to reporting detailed results, the paper discusses practical issues that require consideration when adopting this type of scoring system.
This paper reports findings from the First Shared Task on Automated Prediction of Difficulty and Response Time for Multiple-Choice Questions. The task was organized as part of the 19th Workshop on Innovative Use of NLP for Building Educational Applications (BEA'24), held in conjunction with NAACL 2024, and called upon the research community to contribute solutions to the problem of modeling difficulty and response time for clinical multiple-choice questions (MCQs). A set of 667 previously used and now retired MCQs from the United States Medical Licensing Examination (USMLE (R)) and their corresponding difficulties and mean response times were made available for experimentation. A total of 17 teams submitted solutions and 12 teams submitted system report papers describing their approaches. This paper summarizes the findings from the shared task and analyzes the main approaches proposed by the participants.
PURPOSE:In late 2022 and early 2023, reports that ChatGPT could pass the United States Medical Licensing Examination (USMLE) generated considerable excitement, and media response suggested ChatGPT has credible medical knowledge. This report analyzes the extent to which an artificial intelligence (AI) agent's performance on these sample items can generalize to performance on an actual USMLE examination and an illustration is given using ChatGPT. METHOD:As with earlier investigations, analyses were based on publicly available USMLE sample items. Each item was submitted to ChatGPT (version 3.5) 3 times to evaluate stability. Responses were scored following rules that match operational practice, and a preliminary analysis explored the characteristics of items that ChatGPT answered correctly. The study was conducted between February and March 2023. RESULTS:For the full sample of items, ChatGPT scored above 60% correct except for one replication for Step 3. Response success varied across replications for 76 items (20%). There was a modest correspondence with item difficulty wherein ChatGPT was more likely to respond correctly to items found easier by examinees. ChatGPT performed significantly worse ( P < .001) on items relating to practice-based learning. CONCLUSIONS:Achieving 60% accuracy is an approximate indicator of meeting the passing standard, requiring statistical adjustments for comparison. Hence, this assessment can only suggest consistency with the passing standards for Steps 1 and 2 Clinical Knowledge, with further limitations in extrapolating this inference to Step 3. These limitations are due to variances in item difficulty and exclusion of the simulation component of Step 3 from the evaluation-limitations that would apply to any AI system evaluated on the Step 3 sample items. It is crucial to note that responses from large language models exhibit notable variations when faced with repeated inquiries, underscoring the need for expert validation to ensure their utility as a learning tool.
This paper shows that using non-linear functions for equating and score transformations leads to consequences that are not commensurable with classical test theory (CTT). More specifically, a well-known theorem from calculus shows that the expected value of a non-linearly transformed variable does not equal the transformed expected value of this variable. Translated to CTT this implies that the transformed observed test score does not have an unbiased expectation, i.e., is different from the transformed true score. In order to quantify the bias, second-order Taylor expansions are used in this work to show that non-linear equating and scale transformations do not only lead to variability of SEMs but also to predictable bias in the expected values of the transformed observed scores. In line with Lord's finding that is often described as "Equating is either unnecessary or impossible," this bias due to non-linear equating vanishes either for perfectly reliable tests, or if the equating function is indeed linear, i.e., the tests are congeneric.
Recent advances in automated scoring technology have made it practical to replace multiple-choice questions (MCQs) with short-answer questions (SAQs) in large-scale, high-stakes assessments. However, most previous research comparing these formats has used small examinee samples testing under low-stakes conditions. Additionally, previous studies have not reported on the time required to respond to the two item types. This study compares the difficulty, discrimination, and time requirements for the two formats when examinees responded as part of a large-scale, high-stakes assessment. Seventy-one MCQs were converted to SAQs. These matched items were randomly assigned to examinees completing a high-stakes assessment of internal medicine. No examinee saw the same item in both formats. Items administered in the SAQ format were generally more difficult than items in the MCQ format. The discrimination index for SAQs was modestly higher than that for MCQs and response times were substantially higher for SAQs. These results support the interchangeability of MCQs and SAQs. When it is important that the examinee generate the response rather than selecting it, SAQs may be preferred. The results relating to difficulty and discrimination reported in this paper are consistent with those of previous studies. The results on the relative time requirements for the two formats suggest that with a fixed testing time fewer SAQs can be administered, this limitation more than makes up for the higher discrimination that has been reported for SAQs. We additionally examine the extent to which increased difficulty may directly impact the discrimination of SAQs.
In this chapter we describe INCITE, an NLP-based system for scoring free-text responses. We emphasize the importance of context and the system's intended use and explain how each component of the system contributed to its accuracy. The system was developed to score responses produced as part of the USMLE Step 2 Clinical Skills Examination, a licensing test for physicians. The specifics of that application make our system unique in several ways because: (1) the INCITE was intended for use as part of physician licensure and must therefore function with a specialized medical vocabulary; (2) the scores for the written responses were based entirely on the content of the response, as well-structured and complete sentences are not required and spelling is secondary; (3) the scores from the examination were used to make high-stakes decisions, hence accuracy is critical; and (4) the procedures used for scoring must be transparent so that it is possible to identify the specific scorable features of the text that the algorithm identified in each response. The primary goal with this chapter is to describe the scoring system and report on how each component of that system impacts the accuracy with which scorable concepts can be identified. The development of that system was, however, shaped by the specifics of the application, and the results must be interpreted in that context.
This article provides an overview of the past, present, and future of educational measurement. We begin by examining the historical events in the 1800s that led to the development of a coherent mathematical theory of test scores in the first half of the 20th century. In this section we describe the contributions of Francis Galton, Karl Pearson, Charles Spearman, Truman Kelley, and Lee Cronbach. In addition to outlining the theoretical contributions of these researchers, we describe the rise of large-scale testing beginning with the Army Alpha test in 1917 and the administration of IQ tests to millions of school children in the decade that followed. We continue by discussing the current state of educational measurement theory and practice including the development and widespread use of item response theory, generalizability theory, validity theory, and large-scale national and international achievement testing to evaluate educational systems. Finally, we consider directions and developments that are likely to define the future of the field. These directions include increased use of computational power in assessment, the use of new sources of data (referred to as process data), automated systems to create test materials, and an increased emphasis on fairness.
While score comparability across test forms typically relies on common (or randomly equivalent) examinees or items, innovations in item formats, test delivery, and efforts to extend the range of score interpretation may require a special data collection before examinees or items can be used in this way-or may be incompatible with common examinee or item designs altogether. When comparisons are necessary under these nonroutine conditions, forms still must be connected by something and this article focuses on these form-invariant connective somethings. A conceptual framework for thinking about the problem of score comparability in this way is given followed by a description of three classes of connectives. Examples from the history of innovations in testing are given for each class.
One of the most challenging aspects of writing multiple-choice test questions is identifying plausible incorrect response options—i.e., distractors. To help with this task, a procedure is introduced that can mine existing item banks for potential distractors by considering the similarities between a new item’s stem and answer and the stems and response options for items in the bank. This approach uses natural language processing to measure similarity and requires a substantial pool of items for constructing the generating model. The procedure is demonstrated with data from the United States Medical Licensing Examination (USMLE®). For about half the items in the study, at least one of the top three system-produced candidates matched a human-produced distractor exactly; and for about one quarter of the items, two of the top three candidates matched human-produced distractors. A study was conducted in which a sample of system-produced candidates were shown to 10 experienced item writers. Overall, participants thought about 81% of the candidates were on topic and 56% would help human item writers with the task of writing distractors.
Understanding the response process used by test takers when responding to multiple-choice questions (MCQs) is particularly important in evaluating the validity of score interpretations. Previous authors have recommended eye-tracking technology as a useful approach for collecting data on the processes test taker's use to respond to test questions. This study proposes a new method for evaluating alternative score interpretations by using eye-tracking data and machine learning. We collect eye-tracking data from 26 students responding to clinical MCQs. Analysis is performed by providing 119 eye-tracking features as input for a machine-learning model aiming to classify correct and incorrect responses. The predictive power of various combinations of features within the model is evaluated to understand how different feature interactions contribute to the predictions. The emerging eye-movement patterns indicate that incorrect responses are associated with working from the options to the stem. By contrast, correct responses are associated with working from the stem to the options, spending more time on reading the problem carefully, and a more decisive selection of a response option. The results suggest that the behaviours associated with correct responses are aligned with the real-world model used for score interpretation, while those associated with incorrect responses are not. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to perform data-driven, machine-learning experiments with eye-tracking data for the purpose of evaluating score interpretation validity.
Eye-tracking technology can create a record of the location and duration of visual fixations as a test-taker reads test questions. Although the cognitive process the test-taker is using cannot be directly observed, eye-tracking data can support inferences about these unobserved cognitive processes. This type of information has the potential to support improved test design and to contribute to an overall validity argument for the inferences and uses made based on test scores. Although several authors have referred to the potential usefulness of eye-tracking data, there are relatively few published studies that provide examples of that use. In this paper, we report the results an eye-tracking study designed to evaluate how the presence of the options in multiple-choice questions impacts the way medical students responded to questions designed to evaluate clinical reasoning. Examples of the types of data that can be extracted are presented. We then discuss the implications of these results for evaluating the validity of inferences made based on the type of items used in this study.
In this article, it is shown how item text can be represented by (a) 113 features quantifying the text's linguistic characteristics, (b) 16 measures of the extent to which an information-retrieval-based automatic question-answering system finds an item challenging, and (c) through dense word representations (word embeddings). Using a random forests algorithm, these data then are used to train a prediction model for item response times and predicted response times then are used to assemble test forms. Using empirical data from the United States Medical Licensing Examination, we show that timing demands are more consistent across these specially assembled forms than across forms comprising randomly-selected items. Because an exam's timing conditions affect examinee performance, this result has implications for exam fairness whenever examinees are compared with each other or against a common standard.
In his classic 1950 text, Harold Gulliksen summarized the history of classical test theory in a single sentence, "Nearly all the basic formulas that are particularly useful in test theory are found in Spearman's early papers". Galton was the quintessential Victorian polymath. He created some of the first weather maps and discovered the phenomenon known as the anticyclone. He also was among the first to propose the use of fingerprints for identification; the three books he wrote on the topic were instrumental in the adoption of fingerprint technology. Clearly, Edgeworth was a man of considerable genius, creativity, and productivity, but for all his innovation, he seems to have had a relatively modest long-term influence in any of the fields to which he contributed. Pearson made important contributions to statistics; he is responsible for the chi-squared test and for the product moment correlation coefficient which was critical for Spearman's development of test theory.
An Angoff standard setting study generally yields judgments on a number of items by a number of judges (who may or may not be nested in panels). Variability associated with judges (and possibly panels) contributes error to the resulting cut score. The variability associated with items plays a more complicated role. To the extent that the mean item judgments directly reflect empirical item difficulties, the variability in Angoff judgments over items would not add error to the cut score, but to the extent that the mean item judgments do not correspond to the empirical item difficulties, variability in mean judgments over items would add error to the cut score. In this article, we present two generalizability-theory-based analyses of the proportion of the item variance that contributes to error in the cut score. For one approach, variance components are estimated on the probability (or proportion-correct) scale of the Angoff judgments, and for the other, the judgments are transferred to the theta scale of an item response theory model before estimating the variance components. The two analyses yield somewhat different results but both indicate that it is not appropriate to simply ignore the item variance component in estimating the error variance.