BACKGROUND:Women with prior gestational diabetes (GDM) are at higher risk of developing dysglycaemia postpartum. We evaluated whether the 1-h glucose on the postpartum OGTT predicts dysglycaemia and metabolic changes. METHODS:Secondary analysis of a multicentre randomised controlled trial evaluating a mobile-based lifestyle intervention early postpartum in women with prediabetes after GDM (WHO 2013 criteria). Women were categorised by their 1-h glucose value at 3 months postpartum (baseline), using 8.6 mmol/L as the high-risk threshold following International Diabetes Federation criteria. A subgroup underwent a repeat OGTT at 12 months. RESULTS:At 3 months postpartum, 28.0% (334/1193) had dysglycaemia based on the 2-h OGTT and 34.2% (408/1193) based on the 1-h glucose value. Women identified only by the 1-h glucose were less insulin resistant but showed similar β-cell dysfunction compared with those identified only by the 2-h OGTT. Among 166 women with baseline prediabetes defined by the 2-h OGTT, 63.9% (106) had 1-h glucose ≥ 8.6 mmol/L. At 1 year postpartum, women with baseline 1-h glucose ≥ 8.6 mmol/L accounted for all eight (7.3%) diagnoses of type 2 diabetes (p = 0.036), more dysglycaemia (61.5 vs. 40.4%, p = 0.010), greater β-cell impairment (lower ISSI-2, p = 0.001) and greater insulin resistance (lower Matsuda, p = 0.049) compared with those with 1-h glucose < 8.6 mmol/L. CONCLUSION:In women with a recent history of GDM and subsequent prediabetes, a 1-h glucose value ≥ 8.6 mmol/L in early postpartum was associated with an increased risk for future type 2 diabetes, greater insulin resistance and impaired β-cell function, supporting its potential value as an early marker of metabolic risk. TRIAL REGISTRATION:MELINDA Trial, NCT03559621.
CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVE:To evaluate treatment adherence and satisfaction of a blended mobile health (mHealth) lifestyle intervention among women with prediabetes following gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). METHODS:Secondary analysis of the mobile-based lifestyle intervention in women with glucose intolerance after a recent history of gestational diabetes trial evaluating a mHealth lifestyle intervention in women with postpartum prediabetes after GDM. Treatment satisfaction was assessed with the self-designed treatment satisfaction questionnaire. High treatment adherence was defined as app use ≥1 in 5 days and ≥80% attendance at monthly telephonic coaching sessions. RESULTS:Eighty-two participants with complete data at baseline and 1 year postrandomization were included. The most frequently used app components were the step tracker (61.5%), dietary tips (59.5%), and recipes (34.9%). Telephone coaching was valued by 75.6% of participants, and 84.1% found the app easy to use. High treatment adherence was achieved by 54.9%, and high treatment satisfaction by 41.5% of the participants. Participants with both high treatment adherence and high treatment satisfaction showed the most favorable metabolic outcomes, including lower BMI (23.7 vs 27.7 kg/m², P = .031), smaller waist circumference (80.5 vs 89.7 cm, P = .010), and greater postpartum weight reduction (-3.8 kg vs + 0.95 kg, P = .047). CONCLUSION:The blended mHealth intervention was feasible and generally well accepted. Women with both high treatment adherence and high treatment satisfaction showed the most favorable metabolic outcomes.
Background/Objectives: To evaluate diabetes risk perception in women with prior gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and prediabetes in early postpartum. Methods: Secondary analysis of a multi-center randomized controlled trial assessing the effectiveness of a mobile-based postpartum lifestyle intervention in women with prediabetes after GDM. Data were collected from the Risk Perception Survey for Developing Diabetes at baseline (6-16 weeks postpartum) and one year post-randomization. Logistic regression was used to analyze the difference between the intervention and control groups on diabetes risk estimation. Results: Among 165 women with prediabetes in early postpartum (mean age: 32.1 years, mean BMI: 27.3 kg/m2), 58.9% (96) adequately estimated their diabetes risk (moderate or high chance) at baseline. These women smoked less often [2.06% (2) vs. 10.3% (7), p = 0.034], reported less anxiety (11.6 ± 3.0 vs. 12.6 ± 3.5, p = 0.040), and reported fewer symptoms of depression [30.9% (21) vs. 15.6% (15), p = 0.023] compared to women who underestimated their risk. At one year, 58.3% (95) of all women adequately estimated their diabetes risk. In the intervention group, 50.6% (41) adequately estimated their risk at baseline, increasing to 56.8% (46) by the end of the intervention after one year (p = 0.638). In the control group, a higher proportion of women adequately estimated their risk at baseline [67.1% (55), (p = 0.039)], which decreased to 59.8% (49) at one year (p = 0.376), with no significant difference in risk perception between the groups at one year (p = 0.638). Conclusions: Almost 60% of this high-risk population adequately estimated their diabetes risk, with no significant impact of the lifestyle intervention on risk perception.
The suitability of the United States National Academy of Medicine guidelines for gestational weight gain in women with gestational diabetes remains uncertain, raising global concerns. This study aimed to evaluate the association of gestational weight gain with pregnancy and birth outcomes and to determine optimal ranges for gestational weight gain per pre-pregnancy body mass index category in women with gestational diabetes. An epidemiological analysis between 2009–2018 analyzed a large Belgian cohort of singleton pregnancies with gestational diabetes and gestational age 38–40 weeks. Multivariate logistic regression assessed associations between gestational weight gain and relevant pregnancy and birth outcomes, with and without adjustment for confounding variables, including maternal age, origin, education, mode of conception, parity, gestational age at delivery, social deprivation, and year of delivery. Potential optimal weight gain ranges were calculated by minimizing the combined risk of small- and large-for-gestational-age infants (SGA, LGA). A total of 13,060 women with gestational diabetes were included. Compared to recommended weight gain, gestational weight gain above guidelines occurred in 26.9
Aims: To examine the association between depressive symptoms and metabolic profile in women with prior gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and early postpartum prediabetes, and to explore whether a mobile-based lifestyle intervention affected mental health outcomes. Methods: Secondary, exploratory analysis of a multi-centric randomized controlled trial (MELINDA), evaluating a mobile-based lifestyle intervention versus standard follow-up (control group) in women with prediabetes after GDM. The analysis included 166 participants who completed the Center for Epidemiologic Studies–Depression (CES-D) questionnaire [score of ≥16 being suggestive for (sub)clinical depression] at baseline (6–16 weeks postpartum) and one year post-randomization. Results: At one year, 26.5% of women (n = 44) reported depressive symptoms, with no significant difference between the intervention and control groups (30.5% vs. 22.6%, p = 0.293). Women with depressive symptoms (symptomatic women) were younger (30.9 ± 4.9 vs. 32.5 ± 3.8 years, p = 0.033) and were less often highly educated (61.4% vs. 80.3%, p = 0.028). At baseline, symptomatic women had a higher rate of metabolic syndrome (38.6% vs. 21.9%, p = 0.044), higher LDL-cholesterol [3.2 ± 0.8 vs. 2.8 ± 0.8 mmol/L, p = 0.009], lower quality of life (lower SF-36 scores, p < 0.050) and a higher level of anxiety based on the STAI-6 questionnaire (14.5 ± 3.6 vs. 11.2 ± 2.6, p < 0.001). These differences persisted at one year postpartum with worse metabolic profile, more anxiety and lower quality of life in symptomatic women. Conclusions: Depressive symptoms are common in women with prediabetes in early postpartum after GDM and are associated with a persistent worse metabolic profile, increased anxiety and lower quality of life postpartum. The mobile-based lifestyle intervention did not improve mental health.
OBJECTIVES:To determine risk factors for early postpartum weight retention (PPWR) and glucose intolerance (GI) in women with gestational diabetes (GDM).DESIGN & METHODS:Prospective, multicenter (n=8) cohort study in 1201 women with a recent history of GDM. Pregnancy and postpartum characteristics, and data from self-administered questionnaires were collected at the 6-16 weeks postpartum 75g OGTT.RESULTS:Of all participants, 38.6% (463) had moderate (>0 and ≤5 kg) and 15.6% (187) had high (>5kg) PPWR. Independent predictors for early PPWR were excessive gestational weight gain (GWG), lack of breastfeeding, higher dietary fat intake, insulin use during pregnancy, multiparity, lower prepregnancy BMI, and lower education degree. Compared to PPWR <5 kg, women with high PPWR had a more impaired postpartum metabolic profile, breastfed less often, had higher depression rates [23.1% (43) vs. 16.0% (74), p=0.035] and anxiety levels, and lower quality of life. Of all participants, 28.0% (336) had GI [26.1% (313) prediabetes and 1.9% (23) diabetes]. Women with high PPWR had more often GI compared to women without PPWR [33.7% (63) vs. 24.9% (137), p=0.020]. Only 12.9% (24) of women with high PPWR perceived themselves at high risk for diabetes but they were more often willing to change their lifestyle than women with moderate PPWR.CONCLUSIONS:Modifiable risk factors such as lifestyle, prepregnancy BMI, GWG, and mental health can be used to identify a subgroup of women with GDM at the highest risk of developing early PPWR, allowing for a more personalized follow-up.
AimsTo determine the impact of breastfeeding on the risk of postpartum glucose intolerance in women with gestational diabetes.MethodsSub-analysis of two multi-centric prospective cohort studies (BEDIP-N and MELINDA) in 1008 women with gestational diabetes. Data were collected during pregnancy and at a mean of 12 weeks postpartum. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the effect of breastfeeding on glucose intolerance, with adjustment for ethnicity, education, income, professional activity and BMI.ResultsOf all participants, 56.3% (567) breastfed exclusively, 10.1% (102) gave mixed milk feeding and 33.6% (339) did not breastfeed. Mean breastfeeding duration was 3.8 ± 2.4 and 3.7 ± 2.1 months in the breastfeeding and mixed milk feeding groups (p=0.496). The rate of glucose intolerance was lower in both the breastfeeding [22.3% (126)] and mixed milk feeding [25.5% (26)] groups compared to the no breastfeeding group [29.5% (100)], with an adjusted OR of 0.7 (95% CI 0.5–1.0) for glucose intolerance in the breastfeeding group compared to no breastfeeding group and an adjusted OR of 0.7 (95% CI 0.4–1.2) for the mixed milk feeding group compared to the no breastfeeding group. Postpartum, breastfeeding women had a lower BMI, less often postpartum weight retention, lower fasting triglycerides, less insulin resistance and a higher insulin secretion-sensitivity index-2 than the mixed milk feeding and no breastfeeding group. The mixed milk feeding group was more often from an non-White background, had a lower blood pressure and lower fasting triglycerides compared to the no breastfeeding group.ConclusionsBreastfeeding (exclusive and mixed milk feeding) is associated with less glucose intolerance and a better metabolic profile in early postpartum in women with gestational diabetes.
Summary Background Women with glucose intolerance after gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) are at high risk to develop type 2 diabetes. Traditional lifestyle interventions in early postpartum have limited impact. We investigated the efficacy of a blended mobile-based lifestyle intervention in women with glucose intolerance after a recent history of GDM. Methods Prospective, double-arm, non-masked, multicentre randomised controlled trial (RCT) in which women with glucose intolerance, diagnosed 6–16 weeks after a GDM-complicated pregnancy, were assigned 1:1 to a one-year blended-care, telephone- and mobile-based lifestyle program (intervention) or usual care (control). Primary endpoint was the proportion of women able to achieve their weight goal (≥5% weight loss if prepregnancy BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 or return to prepregnancy weight if prepregnancy BMI < 25 kg/m2) in the intention-to-treat sample. Key secondary outcomes were frequency of glucose intolerance, diabetes and metabolic syndrome, and lifestyle-related outcomes assessed with self-administered questionnaires. The study was registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03559621). Findings Between April 10th 2019 and May 13th 2022, 240 participants were assigned to the intervention (n = 121) or control group (n = 119), of which 167 (n = 82 in intervention and n = 85 in control group) completed the study. Primary outcome was achieved by 46.3% (56) of intervention participants compared to 43.3% (52) in the control group [odds ratio (OR) 1.13, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63–2.03, p = 0.680; risk ratio 1.07, 95% CI (0.78–1.48)]. Women in the intervention group developed significantly less often metabolic syndrome compared to the control group [7.3% (6) vs. 16.5% (14), OR 0.40, CI (0.22–0.72), p = 0.002], reported less sedentary behaviour and higher motivation for continuing healthy behaviours. In the intervention group, 84.1% (69) attended at least eight telephone sessions and 70.7% (58) used the app at least once weekly. Interpretation A blended, mobile-based lifestyle intervention was not effective in achieving weight goals, but reduced the risk to develop metabolic syndrome. Funding Research fund of University Hospitals Leuven, Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, AstraZeneca, Boehringer-Ingelheim, Lilly.
Aims To determine risk factors for 1‐year postpartum weight retention (PPWR) and glucose intolerance (prediabetes + diabetes) in women with a previous history of gestational diabetes (GDM) and prediabetes in early postpartum. Methods In this exploratory analysis of the MELINDA randomized controlled trial, we report data of 167 women with prediabetes at the 6–16 weeks (early) postpartum oral glucose tolerance test after a recent history of GDM. Results Of all participants, 45% (75) had PPWR >0 kg at 1‐year postpartum. Compared to women without PPWR, women with PPWR had higher gestational weight gain [10.5 ± 6.4 vs. 6.5 ± 4.5 kg, p < 0.001], higher BMI ( p < 0.01) and a worse metabolic profile (higher waist circumference, worse lipid profile and more insulin resistance) (all p < 0.05) both in early and late postpartum. Of all women with PPWR, 40.0% developed metabolic syndrome, compared to 18.9% of women without late PPWR ( p = 0.003). The only independent predictor for late PPWR was weight retention in early postpartum ( p < 0.001). Of all participants, 55.1% (92) had glucose intolerance (84 prediabetes, 8 diabetes) 1‐year postpartum. Independent predictors for late postpartum glucose intolerance were lower gestational age at start insulin therapy in pregnancy and delivery by caesarean section (resp. p = 0.044 and 0.014). Conclusions In women with a previous history of GDM and prediabetes in early postpartum, PPWR in early postpartum was a strong independent predictor for late PPWR, while earlier start of insulin therapy during pregnancy and delivery by caesarean section were independent predictors of glucose intolerance in late postpartum.
CONTEXT:More data are needed on the potential benefits and risks of gestational weight gain (GWG) less than recommended and excessive GWG in women with gestational diabetes (GDM) compared to women with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) during pregnancy.OBJECTIVE:This work aimed to evaluate association of gestational weight gain (GWG) as low, within, or above (excessive) according to Institute of Medicine (IOM) guidelines, with pregnancy outcomes in women with gestational diabetes (GDM) and normal glucose tolerance (NGT).METHODS:This prospective cohort study included 7 Belgian hospitals and 1843 women receiving universal GDM screening with a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. Pregnancy outcomes and postpartum characteristics were the main outcome measures.RESULTS:Women with GDM and low GWG (n = 97, 52.4%) had similar rates of small-for-gestational age infants and preterm delivery, were less often overweight or obese postpartum (35.7% [30] vs 56.5% [26]; P < .022) and less often had postpartum weight retention (PPWR) (48.8% [41] vs 87.9% [40]; P < .001) compared to GWG within range (n = 58, 31.3%). GDM with excessive GWG (n = 30, 16.2%) more often had neonatal hypoglycemia (30.8% (8) vs 5.9% [3], aOR 7.15; 95% CI, 1.52-33.63; P = .013) compared to GWG within range. NGT with excessive GWG (28.3% [383]) more often had instrumental delivery (15.9% [61] vs 11.9% [64], aOR 1.53; 95% CI, 1.03-2.27; P = .035) and more large-for-gestational age infants (19.3% [74] vs 10.4% [56], aOR 1.67; 95% CI, 1.13-2.47; P = .012) compared to GWG within range.CONCLUSION:GWG below IOM guidelines occurred frequently in GDM women, without increased risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes and with better metabolic profile postpartum. Excessive GWG was associated with increased risk for neonatal hypoglycemia and worse metabolic profile postpartum in women with GDM, and with higher rates of LGA and instrumental delivery in NGT women.
Aim: To determine the association between thyroid function and the risk of developing gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and adverse pregnancy outcomes. Methods: This case–control study was a sub-analysis of the BEDIP-N study, in which 199 GDM women were matched for age and body mass index with 398 controls. Thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH), free thyroxine (fT4), free triiodothyronine (fT3), and thyroid peroxidase (TPO) antibodies were measured at 6–14 weeks and 26–28 weeks during pregnancy. TSH and fT4 were also measured in early postpartum in GDM women. Results: The fT3-to-fT4 ratio at 26–28 weeks was positively associated with GDM risk with an adjusted odds ratio (aOR for smoking, education, parity, ethnicity, gestational weight gain, and (family) history of diabetes or GDM) of 2.12 (95% CI 1.07; 4.23), comparing the highest with the lowest tertile. Higher fT3 levels and a higher fT3-to-fT4 ratio were associated with a less favorable metabolic profile with higher BMI and more insulin resistance during pregnancy and postpartum. Women in the upper fT3 tertile and the upper fT3-to-fT4 ratio had a higher rate of preeclampsia [4.6% (10) vs. 1.0% (2), p = 0.040, and 4.4% (9) vs. 0.5% (1), p = 0.020], gestational hypertension [8.3% (18) vs. 3.1% (6), p = 0.034 and 8.9% (18) vs. 2.0% (4), p = 0.003], and caesarean sections [29.4% (63) vs. 16.1% (31), p = 0.002 and 32.2% (65) vs. 12.7% (25), p < 0.001]. Conclusion: A higher fT3-to-fT4 ratio late into pregnancy was associated with GDM, adverse pregnancy outcomes, and an adverse metabolic profile in early postpartum.
Searchable abstracts of presentations at key conferences in endocrinology ISSN 1470-3947 (print) | ISSN 1479-6848 (online)
Searchable abstracts of presentations at key conferences in endocrinology ISSN 1470-3947 (print) | ISSN 1479-6848 (online)
To determine predictors of neonatal adiposity and differences in associations by fetal sex in women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), normal-weight and overweight (BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2) normal glucose-tolerant women (NGT). Skinfold thickness was measured in 576 newborns, and cord blood leptin, c-peptide and lipids in 327 newborns in a multi-centric prospective cohort study. Compared to neonates of normal-weight NGT women (327), neonates of women with GDM (97) were more often large-for-gestational age (LGA) (16.5% vs 8.6%, p = 0.024) ,but the macrosomia rate (8.2% vs 5.8%, p = 0.388), sum of skinfolds (13.9 mm ± 2.9 vs 13.3 mm ± 2.6, p = 0.067), neonatal fat mass (1333.0 g ± 166.8 vs 1307.3 g ± 160.9, p = 0.356), and cord blood biomarkers were not significantly different. Compared to neonates of normal-weight NGT women, neonates of overweight NGT women (152) had higher rates of macrosomia (12.5% vs 5.8%, p = 0.012), LGA (17.1% vs 8.6%, p = 0.006), higher sum of skinfolds (14.3 mm ± 2.6 vs 13.2 mm ± 2.6, p < 0.001), neonatal fat mass (1386.0 g ± 168.6 vs 1307.3 g ± 160.9, p < 0.001), % neonatal fat mass > 90th percentile (15.2% vs 7.1%, p < 0.001), without significant differences in cord blood biomarkers. Maternal BMI, fasting glycemia, triglycerides, gestational weight gain, cord blood leptin ,and cord blood triglycerides were independent predictors for neonatal adiposity. Gestational weight gain was positively associated with adiposity in boys only. Compared to neonates of normal-weight NGT women, neonates of GDM women have higher LGA rates but similar adiposity, while neonates of overweight NGT women have increased adiposity. Limiting gestational weight gain might be especially important in the male fetus to reduce neonatal adiposity.
Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is a frequent medical complication during pregnancy. Screening and diagnostic practices for GDM are inconsistent across the world. This narrative review includes data from 87 observational studies and randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and aims to give an overview of the current evidence on screening strategies and diagnostic criteria for GDM. Screening in early pregnancy remains controversial and studies show conflicting results on the benefit of screening and treatment of GDM in early pregnancy. Implementing the one-step "International Association of Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups" (IADPSG) screening strategy at 24-28 weeks often leads to a substantial increase in the prevalence of GDM, without conclusive evidence regarding the benefits on pregnancy outcomes compared to a two-step screening strategy with a glucose challenge test (GCT). In addition, RCTs are needed to investigate the impact of treatment of GDM diagnosed with IADPSG criteria on long-term maternal and childhood outcomes. Selective screening using a risk-factor-based approach could be helpful in simplifying the screening algorithm but carries the risk of missing significant proportions of GDM cases. A two-step screening method with a 50g GCT and subsequently a 75g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) with IADPSG could be an alternative to reduce the need for an OGTT. However, to have an acceptable sensitivity to screen for GDM with the IADPSG criteria, the threshold of the GCT should be lowered from 7.8 to 7.2 mmol/L. A pragmatic approach to screen for GDM can be implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic, using fasting plasma glucose (FPG), HbA1c or even random plasma glucose (RPG) to reduce the number of OGTTs needed. However, usual guidelines and care should be resumed as soon as the COVID pandemic is controlled.
Aims: To determine the impact of depressive symptoms on pregnancy outcomes and postpartum quality of life in women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and normal glucose tolerance (NGT). Methods: 1843 women from a prospective cohort study received universal GDM screening with an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). The Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression questionnaire was completed before GDM diagnosis was communicated and in GDM women in early postpartum. All participants completed the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36) health survey postpartum. Results: Women who developed GDM (231; 12.5%) had significantly more often depressive symptoms than NGT (1612; 87.5%) women [21.3% (48) vs 15.1% (239), odds ratio (OR) 1.52, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.08-2.16), P=0.017]. Compared to GDM women without depressive symptoms, depressed GDM women attended less often the postpartum OGTT [68.7% (33) vs 87.6% (155), P=0.002], remained more often depressed [37.1% (13) vs 12.4% (19), P<0.001], and had lower SF-36 scores postpartum. There were no significant differences in pregnancy outcomes between both groups. Rates of labor inductions were significantly higher in the NGT group with depressive symptoms compared to the nondepressed NGT group [31.7% (75) vs 24.7% (330), adjusted OR (aOR) 1.40, 95% CI (1.01-1.93), P=0.041]. NGT women with depressive symptoms had lower SF-36 scores (P<0.001) postpartum compared to nondepressed NGT women. Conclusions: Women with antenatal symptoms of depression develop more often GDM. GDM women with depressive symptoms remain more often depressed postpartum with lower quality of life. NGT women with depressive symptoms have higher rates of labor inductions and lower quality of life postpartum compared to nondepressed NGT women.
Searchable abstracts of presentations at key conferences in endocrinology ISSN 1470-3947 (print) | ISSN 1479-6848 (online)
Aims To determine impact of mild fasting hyperglycemia in early pregnancy (fasting plasma glucose [FPG] 5.1-5.5 mmol/L) on pregnancy outcomes. Methods We measured FPG at 11.9 +/- 1.8 weeks in 2006 women from a prospective cohort study. Women with FPG >= 5.6 mmol/L (19) received treatment and were excluded from further analyses. A total of 1838 women with FPG <5.6 mmol/L received a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) between 24 and 28 weeks of pregnancy. Results Of all participants, 78 (4.2%) had FPG 5.1 to 5.5 mmol/L in early pregnancy, of which 49 had a normal OGTT later in pregnancy (high fasting normal glucose tolerance [NGT] group). Compared with the NGT group with FPG <5.1 mmol/L in early pregnancy (low fasting NGT group, n = 1560), the high fasting NGT group had a higher body mass index (BMI), higher insulin resistance with more impaired insulin secretion and higher FPG and 30 minute glucose levels on the OGTT. The admission rate to neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) was significantly higher in the high fasting NGT group than in the low fasting NGT group (20.4% [10] vs 9.3% [143], P = .009), with no difference in duration (7.0 +/- 8.6 vs 8.4 +/- 14.3 days, P = .849) or indication for NICU admission between both groups. The admission rate to NICU remained significantly higher (odds ratio 2.47; 95% confidence interval 1.18-5.19, P = .017) after adjustment for age, BMI, and glucose levels at the OGTT. Conclusions When provision of an OGTT is limited such as in the Covid-19 pandemic, using FPG in early pregnancy could be an easy alternative to determine who is at increased risk for adverse pregnancy outcomes.
We aimed to develop a prediction model based on clinical and biochemical variables for gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) based on the 2013 World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. A total of 1843 women from a Belgian multi-centric prospective cohort study underwent universal screening for GDM. Using multivariable logistic regression analysis, a model to predict GDM was developed based on variables from early pregnancy. The performance of the model was assessed by receiver-operating characteristic (AUC) analysis. To account for over-optimism, an eightfold cross-validation was performed. The accuracy was compared with two validated models (van Leeuwen and Teede). A history with a first degree relative with diabetes, a history of smoking before pregnancy, a history of GDM, Asian origin, age, height and BMI were independent predictors for GDM with an AUC of 0.72 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.69–0.76)]; after cross-validation, the AUC was 0.68 (95% CI 0.64–0.72). Adding biochemical variables, a history of a first degree relative with diabetes, a history of GDM, non-Caucasian origin, age, height, weight, fasting plasma glucose, triglycerides and HbA1c were independent predictors for GDM, with an AUC of the model of 0.76 (95% CI 0.72–0.79); after cross-validation, the AUC was 0.72 (95% CI 0.66–0.78), compared to an AUC of 0.67 (95% CI 0.63–0.71) using the van Leeuwen model and an AUC of 0.66 (95% CI 0.62–0.70) using the Teede model. A model based on easy to use variables in early pregnancy has a moderate accuracy to predict GDM based on the 2013 WHO criteria.