The main objective of this work is to investigate non-linear errors and pairwise summation using stochastic rounding (SR) in variance computation algorithms. We estimate the forward error of computations under SR through two methods: the first is based on a bound of the variance and Bienaym{\'e}-Chebyshev inequality, while the second is based on martingales and Azuma-Hoeffding inequality. The study shows that for pairwise summation, using SR results in a probabilistic bound of the forward error proportional to log(n)u rather than the deterministic bound in O(log(n)u) when using the default rounding mode. We examine two algorithms that compute the variance, called ''textbook'' and ''two-pass'', which both exhibit non-linear errors. Using the two methods mentioned above, we show that these algorithms' forward errors have probabilistic bounds under SR in O($\sqrt$ nu) instead of nu for the deterministic bounds. We show that this advantage holds using pairwise summation for both textbook and two-pass, with probabilistic bounds of the forward error proportional to log(n)u.

Stochastic rounding (SR) offers an alternative to the deterministic IEEE-754 floating-point rounding modes. In some applications such as PDEs, ODEs and neural networks, SR empirically improves the numerical behavior and convergence to accurate solutions while no sound theoretical background has been provided. Recent works by Ipsen, Zhou, Higham, and Mary have computed SR probabilistic error bounds for basic linear algebra kernels. For example, the inner product SR probabilistic bound of the forward error is proportional to $\sqrt$ nu instead of nu for the default rounding mode. To compute the bounds, these works show that the errors accumulated in computation form a martingale. This paper proposes an alternative framework to characterize SR errors based on the computation of the variance. We pinpoint common error patterns in numerical algorithms and propose a lemma that bounds their variance. For each probability and through Bienaym{\'e}-Chebyshev inequality, this bound leads to better probabilistic error bound in several situations. Our method has the advantage of providing a tight probabilistic bound for all algorithms fitting our model. We show how the method can be applied to give SR error bounds for the inner product and Horner polynomial evaluation.

Recently, stochastic rounding (SR) has been implemented in specialized hardware but most current computing nodes do not yet support this rounding mode. Several works empirically illustrate the benefit of stochastic rounding in various fields such as neural networks and ordinary differential equations. For some algorithms, such as summation, inner product or matrixvector multiplication, it has been proved that SR provides probabilistic error bounds better than the traditional deterministic bounds. In this paper, we extend this theoretical ground for a wider adoption of SR in computer architecture. First, we analyze the biases of the two SR modes: SR-nearness and SR-up-or-down. We demonstrate on a case-study of Euler's forward method that IEEE-754 default rounding modes and SR-up-or-down accumulate rounding errors across iterations and that SR-nearness, being unbiased, does not. Second, we prove a O($\sqrt$ n) probabilistic bound on the forward error of Horner's polynomial evaluation method with SR, improving on the known deterministic O(n) bound.