Background and aims Limited data are available on long-term disease outcomes in elderly-onset (EO) inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) from well-defined population-based cohorts. Our aim was to analyze incidence, disease course, surgery rates, and therapeutic strategies of EO IBD in a prospective population-based cohort. Methods Elderly-onset inflammatory bowel diseases were defined if diagnosis was established at >= 60 years of age. Patient inclusion lasted between 1977 and 2018. Study endpoints were compared between elderly- and adult-onset (AO) patients and different therapeutic eras. Data from medical records were prospectively collected and regularly reviewed, as part of the well-established Veszprem IBD cohort. Results Data from 946 Crohn's disease (CD) and 1370 ulcerative colitis (UC) patients were analyzed. The proportion of EO CD and UC patients was 6.1% (58/946) and 13.4% (183/1370) in the total cohort. Biological therapy exposure was significantly lower in EO CD compared to AO [pLogRank = 0.003], but similar exposure was seen amongst UC patients [pLogRank = 0.770]. Early surgery rates (<= 1 year from diagnosis) were significantly higher in EO CD patients compared to AO (27.6% vs 15.6%; P < .001). However, there was no statistically significant difference in overall resective surgery rates between the EO and AO cohorts in CD [pLogRank = 0.838], nor colectomy rates differed in UC [pLogRank = 0.435]. Disease phenotype progression in CD and UC were both lower in EO disease [pLogRank = 0.015; pLogRank = 0.022]. Conclusion Elderly-onset inflammatory bowel diseases represents an increasing proportion of IBD patients, with high exposure to biologicals in EO UC. Overall surgery rates were similar in EO and AO cohorts, however, early surgeries in CD were higher in EO patients.

BACKGROUND:The number of population-based studies on unclassified inflammatory bowel disease (IBD-U) is very limited. AIM:To evaluate the long-term incidence, disease course and surgery rates of IBD-U in a prospective population-based cohort. METHODS:The present study is a continuation of the well-established Veszprem IBD cohort with patient inclusion between 1977 and 2018. Both in-hospital and outpatient records were collected. The source of age- and gender-specific demographic data was derived from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office. Medical therapy, surgery and change in disease phenotype were analyzed. RESULTS:Data of 119 incident IBD-U patients were analyzed [male/female: 55/64; median age at diagnosis: 34 years (interquartile range: 24-47.5)]. Adjusted mean incidence rate was 0.76 (95%CI: 0.63-0.9)/105 person-years in the total study period. Disease extent at diagnosis was extensive (pancolitis) in 56.3%. Twenty-two of 119 (18.5%) patients were reclassified to Crohn's disease during follow up, the probability of developing terminal ileum involvement was 6.8%, while perianal disease developed in 5% (n = 6). The probability of receiving biological therapy in patients diagnosed after the year 2000 (n = 62), was 15.5% (SD: 4.8) at 5 years. The overall resective surgery rate was 16.8%. Segment resection was performed in 5.0% of the patients, and 11.8% underwent subtotal or total colectomy. The cumulative probability of resective surgery was 7.6% (SD: 2.4) at 1 year, 9.3% (SD: 2.7) at 5 years, 13.5% (SD: 3.3) at 10 years, and 18.5% (SD: 3.9) at 20 years. CONCLUSION:These data extend our knowledge on the overall burden of IBD-U. Colonic involvement was extensive in a high proportion of IBD-U. Disease reclassification to Crohn's disease was relatively high. High rates of biological therapy and surgery rates support a relatively severe disease course of IBD-U.

Background: Data from population-based studies investigating trends in environmental factors associated with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is lacking. We aimed to assess long-term time trends of environmental and socioeconomic factors in IBD patients from a well-defined population-based cohort from Veszprem, Hungary. Methods: Patients were included between 1 January 1977, and 31 December 2020. Trends of environmental and socioeconomic factors were evaluated in three periods based on the decade of diagnosis, representing different therapeutic eras: cohort-A,1977–1995; cohort-B,1996–2008 (immunomodulator era); and cohort-C, 2009–2020 (biological era). Results: A total of 2240 incident patients with IBD were included (ulcerative colitis (UC) 61.2%, male 51.2%, median age at diagnosis: 35 years (IQR 29–49)). Rates of active smoking significantly decreased over time in Crohn’s disease (CD): 60.2%, 49.9%, and 38.6% in cohorts A/B/C (p < 0.001). In UC, the rates were low and stable: 15.4%, 15.4%, and 14.5% in cohorts A/B/C (p = 0.981). Oral contraceptive use was more common in CD compared to UC (25.0% vs. 11.6%, p < 0.001). In UC, prevalence of appendectomy before diagnosis decreased over time: 6.4%, 5.5%, and 2.3% in cohorts A/B/C (p = 0.013). No significant changes were found in the socio-geographic characteristics of the IBD population (urban living: UC, 59.8%/64.8%/ 62.5% (p = 0.309) and CD, 62.5%/ 62.0%/ 59.0% (p = 0.636), in cohorts A/B/C). A greater percentage of patients had completed secondary school as the highest education level in later cohorts in both UC (42.9%/50.2%/51.6%, p < 0.001) and CD (49.2%/51.7%/59.5%, p = 0.002). A higher percentage of skilled workers (34.4%/36.2%/38.9%, p = 0.027) was found in UC, but not in CD (p = 0.454). Conclusion: The association between trends of known environmental factors and IBD is complex. Smoking has become less prevalent in CD, but no other major changes occurred in socioeconomic factors over the last four decades that could explain the sharp increase in IBD incidence.

Summary Background Few population‐based studies have investigated the prevalence and disease course of perianal manifestation in Crohn's disease. Aims To analyse the prevalence and outcomes of perianal Crohn's disease including medical therapies and need for perianal surgery, over different therapeutic eras based on the time of diagnosis; cohort A (1977–1995), cohort B (1996–2008), and cohort C (2009–2018) Methods Patient inclusion lasted between 1977 and 2018. We followed patients prospectively, and regularly reviewed both in‐hospital and outpatient records. We defined a perianal surgical procedure as any perianal incision and excision, fistulotomy, or abscess drainage. Results We included 946 incident patients. Perianal disease at diagnosis was present in 17.4% ( n = 165) of the total cohort, with a declining prevalence in cohorts A/B/C, respectively (24.7%/18.5%/13.2%; p = 0.001). By the end of follow‐up, an additional 9.3% ( n = 88) of the total cohort developed perianal disease. Cumulative immunosuppressive and biologic exposure increased over time; biologic use was higher in patients with perianal disease [ p Log Rank < 0.001]. The overall rate of perianal surgery was 44.7% (113/253), with a probability of 28.3% (95% CI: 25.4–31.2) after 10 years, 41.0% (95% CI: 37.5–44.5) after 20 years, and 64.1% (95% CI: 59–69.2) after 30 years. There was no statistically significant difference in the probability of first perianal surgery among cohorts A/B/C [Log Rank = 0.594]. Conclusions The burden of perianal disease and perianal surgery rates were high in this cohort. Therapeutic strategy was accelerated in patients with perianal Crohn's over time with higher exposure to immunosuppressives and biologics. Surgical management of perianal disease remained unchanged amongst the cohorts.

Background and Aims Few population-based studies have investigated long-term surgery rates for Crohn's disease [CD]. Our aim was to analyse disease progression and surgery rates in a population-based cohort over different therapeutic eras, based on the time of diagnosis: cohort-A [1977-1995], cohort-B [1996-2008], and cohort-C [2009-2018]. Methods A total of 946 incident CD patients were analysed (male/female: 496/450; median age at diagnosis: 28 years [y]; interquartile range [IQR]: 22-40]). Patient inclusion lasted between 1977 and 2018. Immunomodulators have become widespread in Hungary since the mid-1990s and biologic therapies since 2008. Patients were followed prospectively, with both in-hospital and outpatient records reviewed regularly. Results The probability of disease behaviour progression from inflammatory [B1] to stenosing or penetrating phenotype [B2/B3] significantly decreased (27.1 & PLUSMN; 5.3%/21.5 & PLUSMN; 2.5%/11.3 & PLUSMN; 2.2% in cohorts A/B/C, respectively, after 5 years; 44.3 & PLUSMN; 5.9%/30.6 & PLUSMN; 2.8%/16.1 & PLUSMN; 2.9% after 10 years, respectively; [pLogRank <0.001]). The probability of first resective surgery between cohorts A/B/C were 33.3 & PLUSMN; 3.8%/26.5 & PLUSMN; 2.1%/28.1 & PLUSMN; 2.4%, respectively, after 5 years; 46.1 & PLUSMN; 4.1%/32.6 & PLUSMN; 2.2%/33.0 & PLUSMN; 2.7% after 10 years, respectively; and 59.1 & PLUSMN; 4.0%/41.4 & PLUSMN; 2.6% [cohorts A/B] after 20 years. There was a significant decrease in first resective surgery risk between cohorts A and B [plog rank = 0.002]; however, no further decrease between cohorts B and C [plog rank = 0.665]. The cumulative probability of re-resection in cohorts A/B/C was decreasing over time (17.3 & PLUSMN; 4.1%/12.6 & PLUSMN; 2.6%/4.7 & PLUSMN; 2.0%, respectively, after 5 years [plog rank = 0.001]). Conclusion We report a continuous decline in reoperation rates and disease behaviour progression in CD over time, with the lowest values in the biologic era. In contrast, there was no further decrease in the probability of first major resective surgery after the immunosuppressive era.

Abstract Background Few population-based studies have investigated rates and management of perianal disease and long-term perianal surgery rates in Crohn’s disease (CD). The present study is a continuation of the Veszprem IBD population based cohort with a follow-up osince 1977. Our aim was to analyze the long-term rates of perianal surgical procedures over different therapeutic eras in a prospective population-based database from Veszprem Province, including incident CD patients. Methods Patient inclusion was between January 1, 1977 and December 31, 2018; follow-up ended December 31, 2020. Both in-hospital and outpatient records were collected. Perianal surgical procedure was defined as any perianal surgical procedure including fistulotomy, abscess drainage or seton placement. Surgery rates were examined in three different eras based on time of diagnosis: cohort-A, 1977-1995; cohort-B, 1996-2008; and cohort-C, 2009-2018. Results Data of 946 incident CD patients were analyzed (male/female: 496/450; median age at diagnosis: 28 years(y) [IQR: 22-40]). Median follow-up time for the entire cohort was 15 years (IQR: 9-21). Table 1. Perianal disease at diagnosis was present in 17.4% (n=165) of the total cohort, and in 24.7%/ 18.5%/ 13.2% in cohorts A/B/C, respectively. By the end of follow-up, an additional 9.3% (n=88) of the total cohort developed perianal disease. Cumulative immunosuppressive and biologic therapy exposure increased by time in cohorts A/B/C (Table 2 and Figure 1), and biologic use was higher in patients with perianal disease compared to the overall population.Figure 2. The overall rate of perianal surgical procedures was 44.7% (113/253) in patients with perianal disease during the total follow-up. The cumulative probability of perianal surgical procedure in patients with perianal disease was 28.3±2.9% after 10 years, 41.0±3.5% after 20 years, and 64.1±5.1% after 30 years. No statistically significant differences have been observed in the cumulative probability of perianal intervention between cohorts A/B/C: 24.2±5.4%/ 19.9±3.5%/ 29.4±5.8% after 5 years; 33.9±6.0%/ 23.6±3.8%/ 31.7±6.1% after 10 years; [LogRank=0.594]. Figure 3. Cox-regression multivariate analysis showed that stenosing or penetrating disease (B2/B3) behavior (HR 1.81; 95%CI 1.19-2.75; p=0.005) was independent predictor of perianal surgical procedure. Table 3. Conclusion The burden of perianal disease and perianal surgical interventions was high in this cohort. Patients with perianal CD had higher exposure to biologicals. No difference was observed in perianal surgical intervention rates despite the increasing use of immunosuppressives and biologicals over time, however these procedures may partly represent a medical decision and the complex management of perianal disease.

Background and Aims Few populaion-based studies have investigated the long-term colectomy rates of ulcerative colitis [UC]. We aimed to assess the colectomy rates over 40 years of different therapeutic eras in a prospective population-based inception cohort from Veszprem Province, Western Hungary. Methods Patient inclusion lasted between January1, 1977, and December31, 2018. Patient follow-up ended December 31, 2020. Colectomy rates and disease course were examined in three different eras based on the time of UC diagnosis; cohort A [1977-1995], cohort B [1996-2008], and cohort C [2009-2018]. Results A total of 1370 incident UC patients were included [male 51.2%, median age at diagnosis 37 years]. Median follow-up was 17 years (interquartile range [IQR] 9-24); 87 patients [6.4%] underwent colectomy. The cumulative probability of colectomy in the total population was 2.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2-3.0), 4.2% [95% CI 3.6-4.8], 7.0% [95% CI 6.2-7.8], and 10.4% [95% CI 9.1-11.7] after 5, 10, 20, and 30 years, respectively. The proportion of extensive colitis at diagnosis increased over time [24.2%/24.3%/34.9% in cohorts A/B/C, respectively, p = 0.001]. Overall exposure to immunomodulators [11.3%/20.9%/34.4% in cohorts A/B/C, respectively, p <0.001], as well as the probability for biologic therapy initiation increased over time (0%/3.3% [95% CI 2.6-4.0]/13.9% [95% CI 12.1-15.7], p <0.001). There were no statistically significant differences in the cumulative probability of colectomies between cohorts A/B/C: 1.7% [95% CI 1.0-2.4], 2.5% [95% CI 1.9-3.1], and 3.7% [95% CI 2.7-4.7] after 5 years; 3.5% [95% CI 2.5-4.5], 4.2% [95% CI 3.4-5.0], and 4.5% [95% CI 3.3-5.7] after 10 years; and 7.5% [95% CI 6.1-8.9] and 6.3% [95% CI 5.2-7.4] in cohorts A/B after 20 years [log-rank = 0.588]. Extensive colitis (hazard ratio [HR] 2.24, 95% CI 1.55-3.23) and continuous active disease activity [HR 6.36, 95% CI 3.46-11.67] were independent predictors for colectomy. Conclusion No differences in colectomy rates have been observed in the incident UC patients over 40 years despite increasing use of immunomodulators and biologic therapies.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS:The number of population-based studies in ulcerative colitis [UC] from Eastern Europe is limited. Our aim here was to analyse the incidence, prevalence, disease phenotype, treatment strategy, disease course and colectomy rates in a prospective population-based inception cohort including UC patients diagnosed between 2007 and 2018. The present study is a continuation of the Veszprem IBD cohort since 1977. METHODS:In total, 467 UC patients were included [male/female: 236/231; median age at diagnosis: 36 years, IQR: 25-54 years]. Both in-hospital and outpatient records were collected and comprehensively reviewed. The mean length of follow-up was 8.34 ± 3.6 years. Demographic data were derived from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office. RESULTS:The mean incidence rate was 11.02/105 person-years in this 12-year period. Prevalence was 317.79/105 persons in 2015. Disease extent at diagnosis was proctitis [E1] in 22.3%, left-sided colitis [E2] in 43.9% and extensive colitis [E3] in 33.8%. The probability of disease extent progression was 11.6% [SE: 1.8] after 5 years. The distribution of maximal therapeutic steps was 5-ASA in 46.9%, corticosteroids in 16.3%, immunosuppressives in 19.3% and biologicals in 16.5%. The probability of receiving biological therapy after diagnosis was 9.9% [SE: 1.4] at 3 years. The overall colectomy rate was 4.1% in the population. The probability of colectomy was 1.5% [SE: 0.6] at 1 year, 3.6% [SE: 0.9] at 5 years and 4.4% [SE: 1.0] at 10 years. CONCLUSIONS:The incidence of UC was high in Hungary, similar to high-incidence areas in Western Europe. Treatment strategies are in line with the biological era. The probability of progressing to proximal disease, and the medium- and long-term colectomy rates were both lower compared with data from Western European centres.

Abstract Background The number of epidemiological population-based studies on unclassified inflammatory bowel disease (IBD-U) patients are very limited. The present study is a continuation of the Veszprem IBD population based cohort with a follow-up of the incidence and disease course of IBD-U since 1977. Our aim was to evaluate incidence, prevalence, disease course, time to biological therapy and surgery rates in a prospective population-based database of incident IBD-U patients diagnosed between 1977 and 2018, with follow-up until 2020. Methods Both in-hospital and outpatient records were collected. The source of age- and gender-specific demographic data was derived from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office. Medical therapy, time to first biological therapy, disease progression, and colectomy was registered. Results Data of 119 incident IBD-U patients were analyzed (male/female: 55/64; median age at diagnosis: 34 years(y) (IQR: 24-47)). Adjusted mean incidence rate was 0.76 (CI95%: 0.63-0.9) /105 person-years in the total study period, and 0.96 (CI95%: 0.79-1.16) /105 person-years between 1990-2018. Disease extent at diagnosis was proctitis in 7.6%, one-sided colitis (left-sided colitis, or isolated right-sided colitis) in 36.1%, and extensive (pancolitis) in 56.3%. The probability of progression in colonic disease extent was 6.7% (SE:2.3) at 3 years, 10.3% (SE:2.8) at 5 years and 15.3% (SE:3.4) at 10 years. Figure 1. The probability of developing terminal ileitis, thus disease classification change – Crohn’s disease was 2.6% (SE:1.5) at 5 years and 3.5% (SE:1.7) at 10 years. Figure 2. Perianal disease developed in 5% (n=6) of all patients during the total follow-up. The probability of receiving biological therapy in patients diagnosed after the year 2000 (n=62), was 15.5% (SE:4.8) at 5 years, and 19.4% (SE:5.3) at 10 years. Figure 3. The overall resective surgery rate was 16.8% at the end of follow-up. Segment resection was performed in 5.0% of the patients, and 11.8% underwent subtotal- or total colectomy. The cumulative probability of resective surgery was 7.6% (SE:2.4) at 1 year, 9.3% (SE:2.7) at 5 years, 13.5% (SE:3.3) at 10 years, and 18.5% (SE:3.9) at 20 years. Figure 4. Conclusion Initial disease phenotype was severe in most cases of IBD-U and colonic progression is substantial over time. Disease classification change to Crohn’s disease with development of terminal ileitis or perianal disease was low. High rates of biological therapy and surgery are suggestive of a severe disease course of IBD-U.

Abstract Background Data from population-based studies investigating the time trends in environmental and socio-economical factors associated with IBD is lacking. We aimed to assess time trends in environmental and socio-economical factors over 40 years of different therapeutic eras in patients with IBD from a prospective population-based inception cohort from Veszprem County, Western Hungary. Methods Patients from the incident IBD cohort were included between January 1,1977 and December 31,2020. Environmental and socio-economical factors, including an area of living, educational and type of employment, smoking status, appendectomy, and contraceptive drug use, were evaluated in three eras based on the different therapeutic strategies in IBD:cohort-A, 1977-1995 (pre-biologic/pre-immunomodulators era); cohort-B,1996-2008 (immunomodulator era); and cohort-C,2009-2020 (biological era). Results A total of 2,240 incident patients diagnosed with IBD were included [UC 61.2%, male 51.2%, the median age at diagnosis: 35 years (IQR 29-49)]. There was a significant increase in IBD incidence over time in both CD and UC1-2. A higher proportion of patients with active smoking in CD compared to UC, and the rates of smoking significantly decreased over time in CD; 60.2%, 49.9%, and 38.6% in cohorts A, B and C (p<0.001). In UC patients, the rates were lower and stable; 15.4%, 15.4%, and 14.5% in cohort A,B and C, respectively (p=0.981). The use of the contraceptive drug was more common in CD than UC, and the rates were stable; 23.7%,26.6%, and 23.7% in cohorts A, B and C (p=0.950). In UC patients, the appendectomy rates before diagnosis decreased over time; 6.4%, 5.5%, and 2.3% in cohorts A, B and C (p=0.013). No significant changes in the distribution of IBD population between geographic areas [municipal area: UC; 59.8%/64.8%/62.5% (p=0.309) vs. CD; 62.5%/62.0%/59.0% (p=0.636), in cohort A/B/C]. However, fewer percentages of IBD patients who achieved primary school as maximal education level (32.2%,21.9% and 11.7% in cohorts A,B, and C, p <0.001) as well as less physical work employment (53.4%,51.3%, and 42.3% in cohorts A,B and C, p=0.001) were observed in both UC and CD. (Reference 1.Gonczi L et al. Colitis. 2022 Sep 10:jjac132 Ref 2. Kurti Z et al. Crohns Colitis. 2022 Sep 19:jjac142) Conclusion This is one of the first long-term, prospective population-based cohorts investigating the time trends of socio-economical and environmental factors associated with IBD over 4 decades, including less primary school as maximal education level and less physical work employment. Results from this study highlight that the association between time trends of known environmental/socio-economic factors and IBD incidence is complex.

Background Few population-based studies have investigated the long-term colectomy rates of ulcerative colitis (UC). The present study is a continuation of the Veszprem IBD population based cohort with a follow-up of the incidence and disease course for over 40 years. We aimed to assess the colectomy rates over 40 years of different therapeutic eras in a prospective population-based inception cohort from Veszprem Province, Western Hungary. Methods Patient inclusion lasted between January1,1977 and December31, 2018. Patient follow-up ended December 31,2020. Both in-hospital and outpatient records were collected and comprehensively reviewed at diagnosis and during clinical follow-up. Disease extension was evaluated based on the Montreal classification. Colectomy rates and disease course were examined in three different eras based on the time of UC diagnosis; cohort-A(1977-1995),cohort-B(1996-2008), and cohort C(2009-2018). Results Data of 1,370 incident UC patients were analyzed (male/female: 702/668; median age at diagnosis: 37 years(y) [IQR: 26-51]), with a median of 17y (IQR 9-24) follow-up. Table 1. The overall colectomy rate was 76/1,370 patients during the total follow-up. The proportion of extensive colitis at diagnosis increased over time (24.2% / 24.3% / 34.9% in cohorts A/B/C; p=0.001). Overall immunosuppressive therapy exposure was increasing in the cohorts (11.3% / 20.9% / 34.4%; p<0.001), as well as the probability of biological therapy initiation within 5 years of diagnosis (0.0±0% / 3.3±0.7% / 13.9±1.8%; pLogRank<0.001). Figure 1. There was no significant difference in the cumulative probability of proximal disease progression from proctitis (E1) to left-sided colitis/extensive colitis (E2/E3) or from left-sided colitis (E2) to extensive colitis (E3) over time in cohorts A, B, and C (Long-rank=0.482). Figure 2. The cumulative probability of colectomy in the total population was 4.1±0.6% after 10 years, 6.3±0.8% after 20 years, and 8.8±1.2% after 30 years. There were no statistically significant differences in the cumulative probability of colectomies between cohorts A/B/C: 1.7±0.7% / 2.2±0.6% / 3.7±1.0% after 5 years; 3.5±1.0% / 3.9±0.8% / 4.5±1.2% after 10 years; and 6.9±1.4% / 5.3±1.0% (cohorts A/B) after 20 years [pLogRank=0.447]. Figure 3. Extensive disease (HR 2.3;95%CI 21.60-3.37) and continuous uncontrolled disease activity (HR 6.89;95%CI 4.15-11.46) were independent predictors for colectomy. Table 2. Conclusion No differences in proximal disease progression and colectomy rates have been observed in the incident UC patients over 40 years despite increasing use of immunomodulators and biological therapies.

Abstract Background Few population-based studies have investigated the long-term surgery rates of Crohn’s disease (CD). The present study is a continuation of the Veszprem IBD population based cohort with a follow-up since 1977. Our aim was to analyze the long-term disease course and surgery rates over different therapeutic eras in a prospective population-based database from Veszprem Province, including incident CD patients. Methods Patient inclusion was between January 1, 1977 and December 31, 2018; follow-up ended December 31, 2020. Both in-hospital and outpatient records were collected and comprehensively reviewed at diagnosis and during clinical follow-up. Surgery rates were examined in three different eras based on time of diagnosis: cohort-A, 1977-1995; cohort-B, 1996-2008; and cohort-C, 2009-2018. Results Data of 946 incident CD patients were analyzed (male/female: 496/450; median age at diagnosis:28 years(y) [IQR: 22-40]), with a median of 15y(IQR 9-21) follow-up.Table 1. Overall immunosuppressive therapy use was increasing by time (48.0%/62.4%/65.5%), as well as the probability of biological therapy initiation within 5 years of diagnosis (0.0±0%/7.3±1.2%/22.7±2.2%) in cohorts A/B/C. Figure 1. The cumulative probability of disease behavior progression in patients with luminal (B1) behavior into stenosing or penetrating phenotype (B2/B3) was 27.1±5.3%/ 21.5±2.5%/ 11.3±2.2% in cohorts A/B/C after 5 years (pLogRank<0.001). Figure 2. The cumulative probability of resective surgery in the total population was 34.2±1.6% after 10 years, 44.9±2.0% after 20 years, and 61.9±4.2% after 30 years. The cumulative probability of first resective surgery between cohorts A/B/C were as follows: 28.7±3.7%/ 26.3±2.1%/ 28.1±2.4% after 5 years; 39.4±4.0%/ 32.6±2.2%/ 33.0±2.7% after 10 years; and 54.5±4.1%/ 41.4±2.6% (cohorts A/B) after 20 years. There were no statistically significant differences in surgery rates between the cohorts overall [pLogRank=0.055], however a notable decrease in long-term (20y) surgery rates was observed comparing cohorts B and C vs. cohort A.Figure 3. A cox-regression multivariate analysis showed that stenosing or penetrating disease (B2/B3) behavior (HR 4.52; 95%CI 3.60-5.68; p<0.001) and ileal (L1) location at diagnosis (HR 1.30; 95%CI 1.05-1.61; p=0.016) were independent predictors of resective surgery.Table 2. Conclusion Disease behavior progression decreased, however no differences in resective surgery risk at 5 and 10 years from diagnosis have been observed in incident CD patients despite the increasing use of immunosuppressives and biologicals in this population based cohort. However, a decrease is shown in long term (20y) surgery risk comparing the earliest cohort to latter ones with higher immunosuppressive and biological use.

Background and Aims The number of prospective population-based studies on Crohn's disease[CD] is still limited from Eastern Europe. The present study is a continuation of the Veszprem IBD cohort. Our aim was to analyse incidence, prevalence, disease phenotype, treatment strategy, disease course, and surgical outcomes in a prospective population-based inception cohort including CD patients diagnosed between 2007 and 2018. Methods A total of 421 consecutive inception patients were included [male/female:237/184; mean age at diagnosis: 33.3 +/- 16.2years]. Both in-hospital and outpatient records were collected and comprehensively reviewed. Demographic data were derived from the Hungarian Central Statistical Office. Results Mean incidence rate was 9.9 [95% CI: 9.0-10.9]/10(5) person-years in this 12-year period. Prevalence rate was 236.8 [95% CI: 220.8-252.8] in 2015; 17.6% and 20.0% of the patients had stenosing[B2] and penetrating[B3] disease behavior at diagnosis,respectively. The probability of disease behaviour progression from luminal to B2/B3 phenotype was 14.7% (standard error [SE]: 2.2) at 5 years after diagnosis. Distribution of maximal therapeutic steps during the total follow-up (8.5 years [8.5y], standard deviation [SD]: 3.3) was 5-aminosalicylic acid [5-ASA] in 15.7%, corticosteroids in 14.3%, immunosuppressives in 42.5%, and biologic therapy in 26.2%. The probability of receiving biologictherapy after diagnosis was 20.9% [SE: 2.0] at 5 years. The probability of first resective surgery was 20.7% [SE: 2.0] at 1 year, 26.1% [SE: 2.2] at 5 years, and 30.7% [SE: 2.4] at 10 years. The perianal surgery rate was 31.3% among patients with perianal involvement. Conclusions The incidence of CD in Hungary was high, similar to high-incidence areas in Western Europe. Treatment strategies are reflecting the biologic era. Disease behaviour progression was lower, as well as long-term [10y] surgery rates decreasing compared with data from previous decades.

Abstract Background Limited data are available on the incidence and risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in ulcerative colitis (UC) from population-based studies in Eastern Europe. We aimed to identify the long-term incidence trends and predictors of CRC in a prospective population-based inception cohort from Veszprem, Western Hungary. Methods Patient inclusion for the inception cohort was between January 1,1977 and December 31,2018, and follow-up ended December 31,2020. The risk of CRC was estimated using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs). Age-and gender-specific CRC rates of the background population were derived from the National Cancer Registry. Results A total of 1,370 incident UC patients were included [male:51.2%, median age at diagnosis:37years). During a median follow-up of 17 years(IQR9-24), CRC was diagnosed in 41 UC patients(2.99%), equaling 1.76/1000 person-year(py).Median age at CRC diagnosis was 59(IQR:50.0-67.5) years. Overall SIR of CRC was 2.02(CI95%:10.1-12.1). SIRs were higher in extensive colitis (SIR:3.77, CI95%:2.41-5.91). The cumulative probability of CRC at 10-,20 and 30 years was 0.9% (95%CI0.6-1.2), 3.5%(95%CI2.8-4.2), and 6.5%(95%CI5.4-7.6), and there was no difference in the risk of CRC over different decades of UC diagnosis in a Kaplan Meier analysis(Log-rank=0.693). In multivariate analyses, co-existing PSC(HR4.19;95%CI1.72-10.20), colonic dysplasia(3.42;95%CI1.04-11.26), and extensive colitis (HR2.15;95%CI1.29-3.60) were identified as a significant predictor for CRC. Conclusion We report an increased CRC risk in UC patients with a standardized incidence ratio of approximately 2 folds, with a stable CRC risk over four decades. Disease extent, co-existing PSC and dysplasia were identified as predictors of CRC.