Outcome of high vs. low normalized AREG expression according to molecular tumor characteristics by univariate Cox regression for overall and progression-free survival.

Median AREG (A) and EGFR (B) expression and their 95% confidence interval (95% CI, grey shaded). Median AREG expression was lower in right- compared to left-sided primary tumor locations, while only tumors located in caecum, ascending colon, hepatic flexure and descending colon showed low EGFR expression. The red dashed lines mark the pre-specified threshold values 0.5 for AREG and 22.5 for EGFR expression.

Data distribution of amphiregulin (AREG) and epiregulin (EREG) mRNA expression in the three randomized controlled trials FIRE-1, CIOX and FIRE-3. Logarithmic mRNA expression of AREG (A) was parametric distributed and could be normalized to a homogenous collective on which consistent threshold values could be applied (B). Logarithmic mRNA expression of EREG was non-parametric distributed (C) and could not be normalized to a homogenous collective (D)

Forest plot of individual trial analysis of high versus low amphiregulin (AREG) mRNA expression dichotomized by median and 3rd quartile showing (A) hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for overall survival and (B) hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for progression-free survival

Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses for overall and progression-free survival in all patients.

Outcome according to high vs. low unnormalized AREG expression in all patients and subgroups

Normalized AREG expression according to baseline characteristics.

Staining intensities of immunohistochemial EGFR expression, A: weak staining intensity (+1); B: moderate staining intensity (+2); C: strong staining intensity (+3). A score containing the percentage of stained cells (0 - 100 %) multiplied with staining intensity (+1 to +3) was generated, a threshold value of 22.5 score points was established previously to distinguish EGFR positive and negative tumors.

Background: Primary progressive aphasia (PPA) may present with three distinct clinical sybtypes: semantic variant PPA (svPPA), nonfluent/agrammatic variant PPA (nfvPPA), and logopenic variant PPA (lvPPA). Objective: The aim was to examine the utility of the German version of the Repeat and Point (R&P) Test for subtyping patients with PPA. Method: During the R&P Test, the examiner reads out aloud a noun and the participants are asked to repeat the word and subsequently point to the corresponding picture. Data from 204 patients (68 svPPA, 85 nfvPPA, and 51 lvPPA) and 33 healthy controls were analyzed. Results: Controls completed both tasks with >90% accuracy. Patients with svPPA had high scores in repetition (mean=9.2±1.32) but low scores in pointing (mean=6±2.52). In contrast, patients with nfvPPA and lvPPA performed comparably in both tasks with lower scores in repetition (mean=7.4±2.7 for nfvPPA and 8.2±2.34 for lvPPA) but higher scores in pointing (mean=8.9±1.41 for nfvPPA and 8.6±1.62 for lvPPA). The R&P Test had high accuracy discriminating svPPA from nfvPPA (83% accuracy) and lvPPA (79% accuracy). However, there was low accuracy discriminating nfvPPA from lvPPA (<60%). Conclusion: The R&P Test helps to differentiate svPPA from 2 nonsemantic variants (nfvPPA and lvPPA). However, additional tests are required for the differentiation of nfvPPA and lvPPA.

Background: XELAVIRI compared sequential (Arm A) versus initial (Arm B) irinotecan in combination with fluoropyrimidine plus bevacizumab in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer, trial identification: NCT01249638. In the full analysis set of the study, non-inferiority of time to failure of strategy (TFS) was not shown. The present analysis was performed to evaluate the effect of gender on treatment outcome and tolerability. Methods: The study end-points overall response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), TFS and overall survival (OS) were evaluated in female versus male patients and in molecular subgroups (i.e. RAS mutational status). Interaction of treatment and gender was tested by likelihood ratio tests. Results: In total, 281 male and 140 female patients (n = 421) were evaluated. Among the male patients, the ORR was 33.6% without and 58.3% with initial irinotecan (P < 0.001). PFS (hazard ratio [HR] 0.54; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.42-0.69; P < 0.001) and OS (HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.47-0.85; P = 0.002) were also significantly better with initial irinotecan. Among the female patients, the ORR was 42.7% in Arm A and 43.1% in Arm B, PFS was similar (HR 1.09; 95% CI 0.76-1.55; P = 0.649) without and with initial irinotecan. A strong trend for inferior outcome with regard to OS with initial irinotecan was observed (HR 1.46; 95% CI 0.95-2.24; P = 0.081) and the trend reached significance in the multivariate analysis (HR 1.78; 95% CI 1.08-2.95; P = 0.02). Formal interaction of treatment and gender was observed for ORR (P = 0.018), PFS (P = 0.002) and OS (P = 0.001). Treatment-related adverse events were not significantly different between male and female patients. Conclusions: The present analysis suggests that gender interacts with efficacy of initial irinotecan when used in combination with fluoropyrimidines and bevacizumab. Although male patients derived a significant and clinically meaningful benefit from initial combination chemotherapy, this was not observed in female patients. (C) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Body weight loss is frequently regarded as negatively related to outcomes in patients with malignancies. This retrospective analysis of the FIRE‐3 study evaluated the evolution of body weight in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). FIRE‐3 evaluated first‐line FOLFIRI (folinic acid, fluorouracil and irinotecan) plus cetuximab or bevacizumab in mCRC patients with RAS ‐WT tumors (ie, wild‐type in KRAS and NRAS exons 2‐4). The prognostic and predictive relevance of early weight loss (EWL) regarding patient outcomes and treatment side effects were evaluated. Retrospective data on body weight during first 6 months of treatment were evaluated (N = 326). To correlate with efficacy endpoints and treatment side effects, patients were grouped according to clinically significant EWL ≥5% and <5% at Month 3. Age constituted the only significant predictor of EWL following a linear relationship with the corresponding log odds ratio ( P = .016). EWL was significantly associated with the incident frequencies of diarrhea, edema, fatigue, nausea and vomiting. Further, a multivariate analysis revealed EWL to be an independent negative prognostic factor for overall survival (32.4 vs 21.1 months; hazard ratio [HR]: 1.64; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.13‐2.38; P = .0098) and progression‐free survival (11.8 vs 9.0 months; HR: 1.72; 95% CI = 1.18‐2.5; P = .0048). In conclusion, EWL during systemic treatment against mCRC is significantly associated with patient age. Patients exhibiting EWL had worse survival and higher frequencies of adverse events. Early preventative measures targeted at weight maintenance should be evaluated, especially in elderly patients being at highest risk of EWL.

Background Tumor assessments after first-line therapy of RAS wild-type mCRC with cetuximab (cet) versus bevacizumab (bev) in combination with FOLFIRI were evaluated for factors influencing resectability, conversion to resectability, and survival after best response. Methods Conversion to resectability was defined as conversion of initially unresectable to resectable disease at best response as determined by retrospective assessment. Univariate and multivariate logistic models were fitted with resectability at best response as response variable. A Cox model comparing the survival from best response was used to measure the influence of treatment, resectability at best response, and resection. Interaction of resection and treatment arm on survival was tested by likelihood ratio test. Results Overall, 270 patients were evaluable (127 cet-arm, 143 bev-arm). Lung metastases (odds ratio [OR] 0.35, 95% confidence response [CI] 0.19–0.63), BRAF mutation (OR 0.33, 95% CI 0.12–0.82), and elevated alkaline phosphatase (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.18–0.9) before randomization were associated with less chance of successful conversion and were integrated into a nomogram. Early tumor shrinkage (OR 1.86, 95% CI 1.06–3.3; p 0.034) and depth of response (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01–1.03; p < 0.001) were associated with successful conversion therapy. Resection of metastases improved post-best-response survival (hazard ratio 0.53, 95% CI 0.29–0.97; p = 0.039), predominantely in cet-treated patients (interaction test, p = 0.02). Conclusions Conversion to resectability is significantly associated with baseline characteristics that can be used in a nomogram to predict conversion. Moreover, early efficacy parameters (ETS and DpR) are associated with successful conversion therapy. In FIRE-3, resection of metastases was associated with improved post-best response survival, this effect originated predominantly from the cetuximab-based study arm.

Abstract Purpose: Amphiregulin (AREG) and epiregulin (EREG) are ligands of EGFR. Predictive information for anti-EGFR treatment in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) was observed, but data for other agents is limited. Experimental Design: Ligand mRNA expression; RAS, BRAF, PIK3CA mutations; and EGFR expression were assessed by qRT-PCR, pyrosequencing, and IHC, respectively, in mCRC tumor tissue of patients participating in the randomized controlled trials FIRE-1, CIOX, and FIRE-3. Normalized mRNA expression was dichotomized using median and third quartile. Overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were estimated by Kaplan–Meier method including univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Penalized spline regression analysis tested interaction of mRNA expression and outcome. Results: Of 688 patients with available material, high AREG expression was detected in 343 (>median) and 172 (>3rd quartile) patients. High AREG expression was associated with significantly higher OS [26.2 vs. 21.5 months, HR = 0.80; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.68–0.94; P = 0.007], PFS (10.0 vs. 8.1 months, HR = 0.74; 95% CI, 0.63–0.86; P = 0.001), and objective response rate (63.1% vs. 51.6%, P = 0.004) compared to low expression at both threshold values. This effect remained significant in multivariate Cox regression analysis (OS: P = 0.01, PFS: P = 0.002). High AREG mRNA expression interacted significantly with the efficacy of cetuximab compared with bevacizumab (OS: P = 0.02, PFS: P = 0.04) in RAS WT mCRC. Conclusions: High AREG mRNA expression is a favorable prognostic biomarker for mCRC which interacted significantly with efficacy of anti-EGFR treatment.

4026 Background: Amphiregulin ( AREG) and epiregulin ( EREG) were discussed as biomarkers for treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Data from randomized controlled trials (RCT) are limited. Methods: AREG and EREG mRNA expression by RTqPCR in relation to housekeeping genes were available from 688 patients of three RCT (FIRE-1, n = 192, FUFIRI vs. mIrOx; CIOX, n = 113, cetuximab + CAPIRI/CAPOX; FIRE-3, n = 383, FOLFIRI+cetuximab/bevacizumab) and were normalized to their respective range of each trial with median and 3rd quartile as threshold values. Kaplan-Meier estimated overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Cox regression analysis calculated hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). Overall response rate (ORR) was compared by chi square test. Results: Across all trials, high AREG mRNA expression appeared as strong prognostic biomarker for OS, PFS and ORR for all threshold values. In RAS wildtype patients, high AREG expression was associated with better OS and PFS for cetuximab but not bevacizumab treatment. (Table) No effects were seen for epiregulin when all trials were analysed together. Conclusions: High AREG mRNA expression appeared as strong prognostic biomarker in mCRC. Positive predictive information might exist for cetuximab treatment. [Table: see text]

87 Background: A subgroup of RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer patients within the FIRE-3 study consisted of 400 patients. Gaining insight into frequency and effects of weight change among patients treated with FOLFIRI plus either cetuximab or bevacizumab was aim of this analysis. Methods: A subgroup of 400 RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients of the FIRE-3 trial were evaluated. Linear mixed effect models were fitted to explore the mean evolution of weight over time. The presence of a breakpoint at month 1 was investigated by the addition of an adequate parameter into the model. A linear evolution was supposed from month 1. In this exploratory analysis, patients were grouped into cohorts according to weight change using the cut off ≥ 5%. Kaplan-Meier estimations and median survival times were analyzed using log-rank testing. Hazard ratios and corresponding 95% confidence interval from univariate Cox proportional hazards were followed by a multivariate analysis. Results: Patients lost in average 0.75 kg during the first month of treatment, whereas body weight increased hereafter 0.43 kg per month. Of note, patients older than 65 years lost most body weight at month one (1.35kg) and gained least hereafter (0.20kg per month). Within this population a weight loss of ≥ 5% was observed to be an independent prognostic factor for both PFS after 3 months (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.26-2.34, P = 0.001) and OS after 3 months (HR 1.754, 95% CI 1.29-2.39, P < 0.001). This remained significant when adjusted for age, sex, ECOG score, primary tumor side and treatment arm. Conclusions: In the overall RAS wild-type population, weight loss is an independent prognostic factor for survival in patients with RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer patients and may predict the frequency of adverse events. Therefore, we assume that early preventative measures targeted at weight maintenance might contribute to improved outcomes among this population.

Background Seizures are an important comorbidity in Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Conflicting results regarding clinical parameters associated with seizures in AD were previously reported. Data on seizure recurrence risk, a crucial parameter for treatment decisions, are lacking. Methods National Alzheimer’s Coordinating Center data were analyzed. Seizure prevalence in AD and an association with disease duration were investigated. Associations of seizures with age of AD onset and with cognitive and functional performance, and seizure recurrence risk were studied. Results 20,745 individuals were investigated. In AD dementia, seizure recurrence risk was 70.4% within 7.5 months. Seizure history was associated with an earlier age of onset of cognitive symptoms (seizures vs. no seizures: 64.7 vs. 70.4 years; p < 0.0001) and worse cognitive and functional performance (mean MMSE score: 16.6 vs. 19.6; mean CDR-sum of boxes score: 9.3 vs. 6.8; p < 0.0001; adjusted for disease duration and age). Seizure prevalence increased with duration of AD dementia (standardized OR = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.39–1.73, p < 0.0001), rising from 1.51% at 4.8 years to 5.43% at 11 years disease duration. Seizures were more frequent in AD dementia compared to normal controls (active seizures: 1.51% vs. 0.35%, p < 0.0001, OR = 4.34, 95% CI = 3.01–6.27; seizure history: 3.14% vs. 1.57%, p < 0.0001, OR = 2.03, 95% CI = 1.67–2.46). Conclusion Seizures in AD dementia feature an exceptionally high recurrence risk and are associated with a poor course of cognitive symptoms. AD patients are at an increased risk for seizures, particularly in later disease stages. Our findings emphasize a need for seizure history assessment in AD, inform individual therapeutic decisions and underline the necessity of systematic treatment studies of AD-associated epilepsy.

Purpose Although biomarkers for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer exist, the benefit patients with RAS mutated tumors derive from established regimens is unclear. Methods Efficacy of therapeutic strategies available for RAS mutated patients (addition of chemotherapeutic agents and/or anti angiogenic agents) were investigated in fourteen randomized controlled phase III trials at trial level by meta-analysing individual study hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS). Results 6810 of 10,748 patients (63.3%) were available (48.5% RAS wildtype, 51.5% RAS mutated). Across all treatment lines, additional treatment efficacy (chemotherapy and/or anti angiogenic agents) was significantly smaller in RAS mutated compared to wildtype tumors for OS and PFS. In detail, patients with RAS mutated metastatic colorectal cancer derived significant benefit in PFS but not in OS by the addition of either chemotherapy or anti angiogenic agents to the respective comparator. In patients with RAS wildtype metastatic colorectal cancer, PFS and OS were improved by the addition of chemotherapy or anti angiogenic agent. Conclusion The therapeutic benefit of additional substances is less distinct in patients with RAS mutated as compared to RAS wildtype metastatic colorectal cancer, especially with regard to OS.