Increases in the frequency and severity of forest disturbances over recent decades have raised concerns regarding the future health and functioning of forest ecosystems. Previous ground- and remote-sensing-based studies have quantified disturbance impacts and recovery, but we have limited understanding of the immediate impacts and short-term recovery of seedling density and live biomass across broad geographic regions. We quantified short-term impacts and recovery of seedling density and live biomass stocks following different disturbances (fire, harvest, and insect/disease) in forests of the conterminous United States (U.S.) using nationwide forest inventory data and a remote-sensing-based burn-severity product. Harvest and fire were the most common forms of severe (stand-replacing) disturbance in the eastern and western U.S., respectively. Insect/disease disturbances were common in both regions but were rarely stand-replacing. In the West, live tree aboveground biomass (AGB) was substantially lower following severe fire compared to other severe disturbances, although multiple disturbance agents (e.g., drought and insects) may interact to affect fire severity and its impacts. Furthermore, most conifer forests in the West impacted by large, severe fire remained classified as stand age zero with low seedling density (< 400/ha) for at least 10 years post-fire, indicating sparse and delayed regeneration. Our results show that in the western U.S., forests recover slowly from large, severe fire, and the short-term impacts of fire are more severe than other types of episodic disturbance. Given the ongoing intensification of wildfire regimes in the western U.S., these findings imply a threat to forest carbon stocks and other ecosystem services.
In the United States, ecosystems regularly experience wildfires and as fire seasons lengthen, fires are becoming a more important disturbance. While all types of disturbance have impacts on the carbon cycle, fires result in immediate emissions into the atmosphere. To assist managers in assessing wildland fire impacts, particularly on federally managed land, we developed estimates of area burned and related emissions for a 21-year period. These estimates are based on wildland fires defined by the interagency Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity database; emissions are simulated through the Wildland Fire Emissions Inventory System; and the classification of public land is performed according to the US Geological Survey’s Protected Areas Database of the United States. Wildland fires on federal land contributed 62 percent of all annual CO2 emissions from wildfires in the United States between 2001 and 2021. During this period, emissions from the forest fire subset of wildland fires ranged from 328 Tg CO2 in 2004 to 37 Tg CO2 in 2001. While forest fires averaged 38 percent of burned area, they represent the majority—59 to 89 percent of annual emissions—relative to fires in all ecosystems, including non-forest. Wildland fire emissions on land belonging to the federal government accounted for 44 to 77 percent of total annual fire emissions for the entire United States. Land managed by three federal agencies—the Forest Service, the Bureau of Land Management, and the Fish and Wildlife Service—accounted for 93 percent of fire emissions from federal land over the course of the study period, but year-to-year contributions varied.
Forest inventory data are useful for determining forest stand structure, growth, and change. Among the information collected on forest inventory plots by the USDA Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis Program, attributes characterizing various types of disturbance provide researchers a means of selecting plots specifically affected by disturbances, such as fire. We determine the performance of three of these attributes as indicators of recent fires on forest inventory plots of the United States by comparing them to independent records of wildland fire occurrence. The indicators are plot-level observations of fire effects on (1) general site appearance, (2) tree mortality, and (3) damage to live trees. Independent spatial layers of wildland fire perimeters provide an approach to test indicator performance and identify characteristics of fires that may affect detection. The sensitivities of indicators are generally higher in the West relative to the East. Detection rates exceed 90 percent for the Pacific Coast forests but seldom reach 80 percent in the East. Among the individual indicators, site appearance has higher identification rates than tree indicators for fires in the Pacific Coast, Great Plains, North, and South regions. Tree mortality is the most important single indicator for identifying Rocky Mountain fires. Tree damage is more important than tree mortality in the South; otherwise, the tree damage indicator is of relatively lower importance, particularly where high-severity fires are common, and tree survival is low. The rate of detection by the indicators is affected by the severity of the fire or the recency of the fire. The joint effect of severity and recency influence all three indicators for the Pacific Coast and Rocky Mountain fires, as well as the site appearance indicator in the South. Only a small proportion of fires are clearly missed by all three of the indicators.
Sequestration of carbon on forest land is a common and practical component within many climate action plans developed by state or municipal governments. Initial planning often identifies the general magnitude of sequestration expected given the scope of the project. Because age plays a key role in forest carbon dynamics, we summarize both the carbon stock and accumulation rates in live trees by age class and region, allowing managers and policymakers to assess the influence of forest age class structure on forest carbon storage as represented in current inventories. State-level information is provided in supplementary tables. Average regional aboveground live tree carbon stocks (represented on a per area basis) range from 11.6 tC/ha in the Great Plains to 130 tC/ha in the Pacific Northwest West (west-side of Cascades) and increase with age in all regions, although in three regions carbon stock declined in the oldest age class. Regional average annual net change in live aboveground tree carbon varies from a low of − 0.18 tC /ha/yr in the Rocky Mountain South region to a high value of 1.74 tC/ha/yr in Pacific Northwest West. In all regions except Rocky Mountain South, accumulation rates are highest in the younger age classes and decline with age, with older age classes in several western regions showing negative rates. In the Southeast and Pacific Northwest West, intermediate age classes exhibit lower rates, likely due to harvesting activity. Aboveground live tree carbon stocks increase and rates of average change decrease with age with few exceptions; this pattern holds when examining hardwood and softwood types individually. Because multiple forest management objectives are often considered and tradeoffs need to be assessed, we recommend considering both measures—standing stock and average annual change—of carbon storage. The relative importance of each component depends on management and policy objectives and the time frame related to those objectives. Harvesting and natural disturbance also affect forest carbon stock and change and may need to be considered if developing projections of potential carbon storage. We present forest carbon summaries at a scale and scope to meet information needs of managers and policymakers.
BackgroundForests are significant terrestrial biomes for carbon storage, and annual carbon accumulation of forest biomass contributes offsets affecting net greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The immediate loss of stored carbon through fire on forest lands reduces the annual offsets provided by forests. As such, the United States reporting includes annual estimates of direct fire emissions in conjunction with the overall forest stock and change estimates as a part of national greenhouse gas inventories within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Forest fire emissions reported for the United States, such as the 129 Tg CO2 reported for 2022, are based on the Wildland Fire Emissions Inventory System (WFEIS). Current WFEIS estimates are included in the Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2022 published in 2024 by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. Here, we describe WFEIS the fire emissions inventory system we used to address current information needs, and an analysis to confirm compatibility of carbon mass between estimated forest fire emissions and carbon in forest stocks.ResultsThe summaries of emissions from forests are consistent with previous reports that show rates and interannual variability in emissions and forest land area burned are generally greater in recent years relative to the 1990s. Both emissions and interannual variability are greater in the western United States. The years with the highest CO2 emissions from forest fires on the 48 conterminous states plus Alaska were 2004, 2005, and 2015. In some years, Alaska emissions exceed those of the 48 conterminous states, such as in 2022, for example. Comparison of forest fire emission to forest carbon stocks indicate there is unlikely any serious disconnect between inventory and fire emissions estimates.ConclusionsThe WFEIS system is a user-driven approach made available via a web browser. Model results are compatible with the scope and reporting needs of the annual national greenhouse gas inventories.
As a signatory to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the United States has reported an inventory of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and removals by sector, as defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), since the mid-1990s (U.S. EPA 2023). In 2021, United States net GHG emissions increased by more than 6.8 percent relative to 2020 net emissions, which had decreased substantially from previous years and was due, in large part, to the global pandemic. Forest land, harvested wood products (HWP), woodlands, and urban trees within the land sector collectively continue to represent the largest net carbon sink in the United States, offsetting the equivalent of more than 12.4 percent of total (i.e., gross) GHG emissions in 2021 (U.S. EPA 2023). Estimates of GHG emissions and removals are compiled by U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), Forest Service researchers and partners and are based primarily on National Forest Inventory (NFI) data collected and maintained by the Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Program within the Forest Service. This resource bulletin provides an overview of the status and trends of GHG emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands in the grassland category, HWP, and urban trees in settlements in the United States from 1990 to 2021. The estimates for the United States summarized here are based on the compilation reported in the “Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry” chapter of the U.S. EPA (2023) submission to the UNFCCC. Most of the national scale estimates are also developed and reported at the individual State level (fig. 1) for the entire 1990–2021 time series and are available in a published research dataset (Walters et al. 2023). This report also includes regional carbon stock and stock change estimates by broad ownership category (i.e., private or public land) and National Forest System region.
In the United States (US), forest ecosystems are the largest terrestrial carbon sink, offsetting the equivalent of >12 % of economy-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions annually. In the Western US, wildfires have shaped much of the landscape by changing forest structure and composition, increasing tree mortality, impacting forest regeneration, and influencing forest carbon storage and sequestration capacity. Here, we used remeasurements of >25,000 plots from the US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program and auxiliary information (e.g., Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity) to characterize the role of fire along with other natural and anthropogenic drivers on estimates of carbon stocks, stock changes, and sequestration capacity on forest land in the Western US. Several biotic (e.g., tree size, species, and forest structure) and abiotic factors (e.g., warm climate, severe drought, compound disturbances, and anthropogenic interventions) influenced post-fire tree mortality and regeneration and had concomitant impacts on carbon stocks and sequestration capacity. Forest ecosystems in a high severity and low frequency wildfire regime had greater reductions in aboveground biomass carbon stocks and sequestration capacity compared to forests in a low severity and high frequency fire regime. Results from this study can improve our understanding of the role of wildfire along with other biotic and abiotic drivers on carbon dynamics in forest ecosystems in the Western US.
This archive contains research data collected and/or funded by Forest Service Research and Development (FS R&D), U.S. Department of Agriculture. It is a resource for accessing both short and long-term FS R&D research data, which includes Experimental Forest and Range data. It is a way to both preserve and share the quality science of our researchers.
Downed woody material (DWM) is a unique part of the forest carbon cycle serving as a pool between living biomass and subsequent atmospheric emission or transference to other forest pools. Thus, DWM is an individually defined pool in national greenhouse gas inventories. The diversity of DWM carbon drivers (e.g., decay, tree mortality, or wildfire) and associated high spatial variability make this a difficult-to-predict component of forest ecosystems. Using the now fully established nationwide inventory of DWM across the United States (US), we developed models, which substantially improved predictions of stand-level DWM carbon density relative to the current national-reporting model ('previous' model, here). The previous model was developed from published DWM carbon densities prior to the NFI DWM inventory. Those predictions were tested using NFI DWM carbon densities resulting in a poor fit to the data (coefficient of determination, or R-2 = 0.03). We present new random forest (RF) and stochastic gradient boosted (SGB) regression models to prediction DWM carbon density on all NFI plots and spatially on all forest land pixels. We evaluated various biotic and abiotic regression predictors, and the most important were standing dead trees, long-term annual precipitation, and long-term maximum summer temperature. A RF model scored best for expanding predictions to NFI plots (R-2 = 0.31), while an SGB model was identified for DWM carbon predictions based on purely spatial data (i.e., NFI-plot-independent, with R-2 = 0.23). The new RF model predicts conterminous US DWM carbon stocks to be 15% lower than the previous model and 2% higher than NFI data expanded according to inventory design-based inference. The new NFI data-driven models not only improve the predictions of DWM carbon density on all plots, they also provide flexibility in extending these predictions beyond the NFI to make spatially explicit and spatially continuous estimates of DWM carbon on all forest land in the US. Published by Elsevier B.V.
Search this collection of freely available full text articles on the science behind sustainable management of forests and rangelands, restoration of native plants, wildlife, fish and ecosystems, protecting against wildfires and invasive species, and improving the resilience of our lands in the face of climate change.
Background With the introduction of the Trillion Trees Initiative and similar programs, forests’ ability to absorb carbon dioxide is increasingly in the spotlight. Many states have mandates to develop climate action plans, of which forest carbon is an important component, and planners need current information on forest carbon stocks and rates of change at relevant spatial scales. To this end, we examine rates of average annual change in live aboveground tree carbon in different forest type groups and provide state-wide and regional summaries of current live tree carbon stock and rates of change for the forests of the conterminous United States. Forest carbon summaries are presented in a format designed to meet the needs of managers, policymakers, and others requiring current estimates of aboveground live tree carbon at state and regional scales. Results Regional average aboveground live tree carbon stocks (represented on a per area basis) are generally between 40 and 75 tC/ha but range from 12.8 tC/ha in the Great Plains to 130 tC/ha in the Pacific Northwest West (west-side of Cascades). Regional average annual change in live aboveground tree carbon varies from a low of − 0.18 mtC/ha/y in the Rocky Mountain South to a high value of 1.74 mtC/ha/y in Pacific Northwest West. For individual states, carbon per unit area varies widely, from a low of 11.9 tC/ha in Nevada to a high of 96.4 tC/ha in Washington, with half the states falling between 50 and 75 tC/ha. Rates of average annual change in live aboveground tree carbon vary from a high of 1.82 tC/ha/y in Mississippi to a low of − 0.47 tC/ha/y in Colorado. Conclusions Aboveground live tree carbon stocks and rates of average annual change vary by forest type within regions. While softwood forest types currently exhibit a higher rate of increase in the amount of carbon in aboveground live tree biomass, the current standing stock of carbon per unit area does not consistently follow this pattern. For this reason, we recommend computing and considering both measures -standing stock and average annual change—of carbon storage. The relative importance of each component will depend on management and policy objectives and the time frame related to those objectives. Harvesting and natural disturbance also affect forest carbon stock and change and may need to be considered if developing projections of potential carbon storage.
As a signatory to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the United States has reported an economy-wide inventory of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and removals since the mid-1990s (U.S. EPA 2021). Forest land, harvested wood products (HWP), woodlands, and urban trees within the land sector collectively represent the largest net carbon (C) sink in the United States, offsetting more than 11 percent of total GHG emissions in 2019 (U.S. EPA 2021). Estimates of GHG emissions and removals are compiled by U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Forest Service researchers and are based primarily on National Forest Inventory (NFI) data collected and maintained by the Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program within the Forest Service. This report provides an overview of the status and trends of GHG emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands in the grassland category, HWP, and urban trees in settlements in the United States from 1990 to 2019. The estimates for the United States summarized here are based on the compilation reported in the
As a signatory to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), the United States has been reporting an economy-wide Inventory of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and removals since the mid-1990s (US EPA 2020). Forest land, harvested wood products (HWPs), and urban trees within the land sector collectively represent the largest net carbon (C) sink in the United States, offsetting more than 11 percent of total GHG emissions annually (US EPA 2020). Estimates of GHG emissions and removals are compiled by U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) Forest Service researchers and are based primarily on National Forest Inventory (NFI) data collected and maintained by the Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program within the USDA Forest Service. This report--the second in a new series of annual updates--provides an overview of the status and trends of GHG emissions and removals from forest land, woodlands in the grassland category, HWPs, and urban trees in settlements in the United States from 1990 to 2018. The estimates for the United States summarized here are based on the compilation reported in the Land Use, Land-Use Change, and Forestry chapter of the US EPA (2020) submission to the UNFCCC. New in this report, most of the national scale estimates are also reported by individual U.S. state (Fig. 1) and are available online for the entire 1990-2018 time series (see appendix).
Forest land in the United States offsets more than 11% of total domestic greenhouse gas emissions each year through growth of live woody biomass and accumulation of carbon in trees, dead organic matter, and harvested wood products. Forest lands owned and managed by various agencies of the U.S. government cover 77 million hectares, which is 29% of U.S. forest land and an estimated 33%, or 17.2 Pg C, of forest carbon stocks. Here, we summarize forest inventory-based estimates of forest carbon stocks and indications of carbon stock change on forest lands managed by agencies within the U.S. federal government. Within the conterminous USA, the proportion of forest land that is federally owned is higher in the West representing two-thirds of forest carbon stocks; in the East, federal lands represent 9% of forest carbon. The majority of federal forests and forest carbon are managed by the U.S. Forest Service (13.8 Pg C), but 20% of federal forest carbon stocks, or 3.5 Pg C, are managed by other federal agencies (e.g., National Park Service, Bureau of Land Management). We also briefly review some broad characteristics of the forest inventory that affect forest carbon reported for the USA as included in greenhouse gas inventories such as for United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change reporting.
Land use and management activities have a substantial impact on carbon stocks and associated greenhouse gas emissions and removals. However, it is challenging to discriminate between anthropogenic and non-anthropogenic sources and sinks from land. To address this problem, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change developed a managed land proxy to determine which lands are contributing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and removals. Governments report all emissions and removals from managed land to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change based on this proxy, and policy interventions to reduce emissions from land use are expected to focus on managed lands. Our objective was to review the use of the managed land proxy, and summarize the criteria that governments have applied to classify land as managed and unmanaged. We found that the large majority of governments are not reporting on their application of the managed land proxy. Among the governments that do provide information, most have assigned all area in specific land uses as managed, while designating all remaining lands as unmanaged. This designation as managed land is intuitive for croplands and settlements, which would not exist without management interventions, but a portion of forest land, grassland, and wetlands may not be managed in a country. Consequently, Brazil, Canada and the United States have taken the concept further and delineated managed and unmanaged forest land, grassland and wetlands, using additional criteria such as functional use of the land and accessibility of the land to anthropogenic activity. The managed land proxy is imperfect because reported emissions from any area can include non-anthropogenic sources, such as natural disturbances. However, the managed land proxy does make reporting of GHG emissions and removals from land use more tractable and comparable by excluding fluxes from areas that are not directly influenced by anthropogenic activity. Moreover, application of the managed land proxy can be improved by incorporating additional criteria that allow for further discrimination between managed and unmanaged land.
Innovation has always been the driving force behind humanity's success at conquering our environment and in advancing our social agendas. In that ongoing effort, it is the acquisition and utilization of energy and the transportation afforded by that energy that has allowed us to advance and create better and more fulfilling lifestyles. This paper looks at the genesis of innovation in the United States and how the U.S.'s progression to a global powerhouse occurred due to both the human and environmental resources created as a result of the survival instincts associated with innovation. If this nation, and those that are mirroring it, are going to continue to make economic and social improvements and advancements, then the leaders and innovators of the world are going to play a critical part in that effort, and energy will power those improvements.