Background: Adolescents and young adults (AYA) comprise 50% of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) diagnosed annually. AYA frequently access emergency departments (EDs) for health care. Thus, the ED could be a strategic venue for the diagnosis and treatment of STIs. Objective: Cost-effectiveness analysis examining screening strategies for Chlamydia trachomatis and Neisseria gonorrhea (CT/GC). Design: Decision analytic cost-effectiveness model. Setting: Six pediatric EDs. Participants: AYA 15 to 21 y of age seeking acute care at pediatric EDs. Interventions: 1) Usual care, 2) targeted screening (using a computerized sexual health survey), and 3) universally offered screening. Main Outcomes and Measures: Cost in 2024 US dollars and effectiveness measured as STIs detected and successfully treated. Secondary effectiveness outcome metric: quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). The cost perspective is the direct health care sector, and the time horizon is lifelong. Results: Targeted screening was the most effective and most costly (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio [ICER] of $517 per case detected and successfully treated). In a secondary analysis using QALYs lost for long-term complications of untreated CT/GC, targeted screening had an ICER of $23,320/QALY. In this analysis, usual care was dominated, being more costly and less effective than universally offered screening. In subgroup analyses of female versus male, only cohorts using $/QALY, targeted screening remained highly cost-effective for females ($6,389/QALY) compared with universally offered screening but was not cost-effective in males. Conclusions and Relevance: Targeted screening is a highly cost-effective strategy for detecting and treating STIs in adolescents seeking pediatric ED care compared with universally offered screening, with an ICER of $517 per case detected and treated. When considering quality of life for female- versus male-only subgroups, screening for males becomes less clear.

Background: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) in pregnancy is a major cause of maternal morbidity and mortality, and the use of preventive low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) can be challenging. Clinical guidelines recommend eliciting pregnant individuals’ preferences towards the use of daily injections of LMWH and discussing the best option through a shared decision-making (SDM) approach. Our aim was to identify individuals’ preferences concerning each of the main clinical outcomes, and categorize attributes influencing the use of LMWH during pregnancy. Methods: Design: Convergent mixed-methods. Participants: Pregnant women or those planning a pregnancy with VTE recurrence risk. Intervention: A SDM intervention about thromboprophylaxis with LMWH in pregnancy. Analysis: Quantitatively, we report preference scores assigned to each of the health states. Qualitatively, we categorized preference attributes using Burke’s pentad of motives framework: scene, agent, agency, act, and purpose. We use mixed-method convergent analysis to report findings using side-by-side comparison of concordance/discordance. Results: The least valued health state was to experience a pulmonary embolism (PE), followed by major obstetrical bleeding (MOB), deep vein thrombosis (DVT), and using daily injections of LMWH (valued as closest to a ‘healthy pregnancy’). Women's previous experiences, access to care (scene) and shared decision-making (agent) affected preferences. LMWH's benefits were noted, but substantial drawbacks described (agency). The main goal was avoiding the risk of VTE (purpose). Side-by-side comparisons revealed concordance between motives and DVT and PE health states. Discordance appeared between using daily injections of LMWH and agent- and agency motives and between MOB and the agency motive. Conclusions: Mixed-methods provide a nuanced understanding of women's LMWH preferences, by quantifying health states preferences and exploring attributes qualitatively. Incorporating both methods may improve patient-centered care around preference-sensitive decisions in thromboprophylaxis during pregnancy.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac rhythm disorder and a risk factor for stroke. Randomized trials have demonstrated that anticoagulation can reduce strokes in AF patients. Yet, widespread underutilization of this therapy continues. To address this practice gap, we designed a study to implement and evaluate the effectiveness of a best practice advisory (BPA) for an A trial F ibrillation D ecision S upport T ool (AFDST) embedded within our electronic health record. Methods: Our intervention is provider-facing, focused on decision support. Clinical setting is ambulatory patients being seen by primary care physicians. We prospectively enrolled 608 patients in our health system who are currently receiving less than optimal anticoagulation therapy as determined by the AFDST and randomized them to one of two arms - 1) usual care, in which the AFDST is available for use; or 2) addition of a BPA to the AFDST notifying clinicians that their patient stands to gain signi ficant bene fit from a change in current therapy. Primary outcome was effectiveness of the BPA measured by change to "appropriate thromboprophylaxis " based on the AFDST recommendation at 3 months post-enrollment. Secondary endpoints included Reach and Adoption from the REAIM (Reach, Effectiveness, Adoption, Implementation, & Maintenance) framework for implementation studies. Results: Among 562 patients with a minimum follow-up of 3 months, addition of a BPA to the AFDST resulted in signi ficant improvement in anticoagulation therapy, 5 % (12/248) versus 11 % (33/314) p = 0.02, odds ratio 2.31 (95 % CI, 1.17 -4.87). Conclusions: A BPA added to an AF decision support tool improved anticoagulation therapy among AF patients in a primary care academic health system setting. (c) 2023 Japanese College of Cardiology. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

OBJECTIVE:Low-dose computed tomography has been proven to reduce mortality, yet utilization remains low. The purpose of this study is to identify factors that impact the utilization of lung cancer screening. METHODS:We performed a retrospective review of our institution's primary care network from November 2012 to June 2022 to identify patients who were eligible for lung cancer screening. Eligible patients were 55 to 80 years of age and current or former smokers with at least a 30 pack-year history. Analyses were performed on the screened populations and patients who met eligibility criteria but were not screened. RESULTS:A total of 35,279 patients in our primary care network were current/former smokers aged 55 to 80 years. A total of 6731 patients (19%) had a 30 pack-year or more cigarette history, and 11,602 patients (33%) had an unknown pack-year history. A total of 1218 patients received low-dose computed tomography. The utilization rate of low-dose computed tomography was 18%. The utilization rate was significantly lower (9%) if patients with unknown pack-year history were included (P < .001). The utilization rates between primary care clinic locations were significantly different (range, 18% vs 41%, P < .05). Utilization of low-dose computed tomography on multivariate analysis was associated with Black race, former smoker, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, bronchitis, family history of lung cancer, and number of primary care visits (all P < .05). CONCLUSIONS:Lung cancer screening utilization rates are low and vary significantly on the basis of patient comorbidities, family history of lung cancer, primary care clinic location, and accurate documentation of pack-year cigarette history. The development of programs to address patient, provider, and hospital-level factors is needed to ensure appropriate lung cancer screening.

Background Venous thromboembolism (VTE) in pregnancy is a major cause of maternal morbidity and death. The use of low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH), despite being the standard of care to prevent VTE, comes with some challenges. Shared decision-making (SDM) interventions are recommended to support patients and clinicians in making preference-sensitive decisions. The quality of the SDM process has been widely assessed with the decisional conflict scale (DCS). Our aim is to report participants’ perspectives of each of the components of an SDM intervention (DASH-TOP) in relation to the different subscales of the DCS. Methods Design: A convergent, parallel, mixed-methods design. Participants: The sample consisted of 22 health care professionals, students of an Applied Clinical Research in Health Sciences (ICACS) master program. Intervention: We randomly divided the participants in three groups: Group 1 received one component (evidence -based information), Group 2 received two components (first component and value elicitation exercises), and Group 3 received all three components (the first two and a decision analysis recommendation) of the SDM intervention. Analysis: For the quantitative strand, we used a non-parametric test to analyze the differences in the DCS subscales between the three groups. For the qualitative strand, we conducted a content analysis using the decisional conflict domains to deductively categorize the responses. Results Groups that received more intervention components experienced less conflict and better decision-making quality, although the differences between groups were not statistically significant. The decision analysis recommendation improved the efficacy with the decision-making process, however there are some challenges when implementing it in clinical practice. The uncertainty subscale showed a high decisional conflict for all three groups; contributing factors included low certainty of the evidence-based information provided and a perceived small effect of the drug to reduce the risk of a VTE event. Conclusions The DASH-TOP intervention reduced decisional conflict in the decision -making process, with decision analysis being the most effective component to improve the quality of the decision. There is a need for more implementation research to improve the delivery of SDM interventions in the clinical encounter.

BACKGROUND:Congenital lung malformations (CLMs) are being detected more frequently during pregnancy. There is controversy regarding the optimal treatment for an asymptomatic child with prenatally diagnosed CLMs. Due to the paucity of information from clinical trials, we developed decision analytic models to compare two treatment strategies for such patients-elective surgical resection versus expectant management.METHODS:We built decision analytic models stratified by lesion size. We used data from English language literature identified through PubMed searches along with estimates from expert opinions of surgical colleagues. We analyzed results for two hypothetical asymptomatic 6-month-old children with CLMs; one has a large lesion occupying more than 50% of the involved lobe, while the other has a small lesion occupying less than 50% of the involved lobe. We used quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) to measure effectiveness.RESULTS:For an asymptomatic child with a small or large lesion, expectant management resulted in a small gain of 0.09 or 0.15 QALYs, respectively. Sensitivity analyses showed that surgical resection would be preferred if the probability of remaining asymptomatic was low.CONCLUSIONS:In contrast to current practice, expectant management may be a better alternative for asymptomatic children born with CLMs. More longitudinal studies are required to improve the accuracy of the model.

Study objective: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac rhythm disorder, responsible for 15 % of strokes in the United States. Studies continue to document underuse of anticoagulation therapy in minority populations and women. Our objective was to compare the proportion of AF patients by race and sex who were receiving non-optimal anticoagulation as determined by an Atrial Fibrillation Decision Support Tool (AFDST).Design, setting, and participants: Retrospective cohort study including 14,942 patients within University of Cincinnati Health Care system. Data were analyzed between November 18, 2020, and November 20, 2021.Main outcomes and measures: Discordance between current therapy and that recommended by the AFDST.Results: In our two-category analysis 6107 (41 %) received non-optimal anticoagulation therapy, defined as current treatment category not equal AFDST-recommended treatment category. Non-optimal therapy was highest in Black (42 % [n = 712]) and women (42 % [n = 2668]) and lower in White (39 % [n = 4748]) and male (40 % [n = 3439]) patients. Compared with White patients, unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios of receiving non-optimal anticoagulant therapy for Black patients were 1.13; 95 % CI, 1.02-1.30, p = 0.02; and 1.17; 95%CI, 1.04-1.31, p = 0.01; respectively, and 1.10; 95 % CI 1.03-1.18, p = 0.005; and 1.36; 95 % CI, 1.25-1.47, p < 0.001; for females compared with males.Conclusions and relevance: In patients with atrial fibrillation in the University of Cincinnati Health system, Black race and female sex were independently associated with an increased odds of receiving non-optimal anticoagulant therapy.

BACKGROUND: COPD exacerbations lead to excessive health care utilization, morbidity, and mortality. The Ottawa COPD Risk Scale (OCRS) was developed to predict short-term serious adverse events (SAEs) among patients in the emergency department (ED) with COPD exacerbations. We assessed the utility of the OCRS, its component elements, and other clinical variables for ED disposition decisions in a United States population. METHODS: We compared the OCRS and other factors in predicting SAEs among a retrospective cohort of ED patients with COPD exacerbations. We followed subjects for 30 d, and the primary outcome, SAE, was defined as any death, admission to monitored unit, intubation, noninvasive ventilation, major procedure, myocardial infarction, or revisit with hospital admission. RESULTS: A total of 246 subjects (median 61-y old, 46% male, total admission rate to ward 52%) were included, with 46 (18.7%) experiencing SAEs. Median OCRS scores did not differ significantly between those with and without an SAE (difference: 0 [interquartile range 0-1)]. The OCRS predicted SAEs poorly (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit [H-L GOF] P <^> .001, area under the receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curve 0.519). Three variables were significantly related to SAEs in our final model (H-L GOF P 5 .14, area under the ROC curve 0.808): Charlson comorbidity index (odds ratio [OR] 1.3 [1.1-1.5] per 1-point increase); triage venous PCO2 (OR 1.7 [1.2-2.4] per 10 mm Hg increase); and hospitalization within previous year (OR 9.1 [3.3-24.8]). CONCLUSIONS: The OCRS did not reliably predict SAEs in our population. We found 3 risk factors that were significantly associated with 30-d SAE in our United States ED population: triage PCO2 level, Charlson comorbidity index, and hospitalization within the previous year. Further studies are needed to develop generalizable decision tools to improve safety and resource utilization for this patient population.

Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common significant cardiac rhythm disorder and is a powerful common risk factor for stroke. Randomized trials have demonstrated that anticoagulation can reduce the risk of stroke in patients with AF. Yet, there continues to be widespread underutilization of this therapy. To address this practice gap locally and improve efforts to reduce the risk of stroke for patients with AF in our health system, we have designed a study to implement and evaluate the effectiveness of an Atrial Fibrillation Decision Support Tool (AFDST) embedded within our electronic health record. Methods Our intervention is provider-facing and focused on decision support. The clinical setting is ambulatory patients being seen by primary care physicians. Patients include those with both incident and prevalent AF. This randomized, prospective trial will enroll 800 patients in our University of Cincinnati Health System who are currently receiving less than optimal anticoagulation therapy as determined by the AFDST. Patients will be randomized to one of two arms - 1) usual care, in which the AFDST is available for use; 2) addition of a best practice advisory (BPA) to the AFDST notifying the clinician that their patient stands to gain a significant benefit from a change in their current thromboprophylactic therapy. Results The primary outcome is effectiveness of the BPA measured by change to "appropriate thromboprophylaxis" based on the AFDST recommendation at 3 months post randomization. Secondary endpoints include Reach and Adoption, from the RE-AIM framework for implementation studies. Sample size is based upon an improvement from inappropriate to appropriate anticoagulation therapy estimated at 4% in the usual care arm and >= 10% in the experimental arm. Conclusion Our goal is to examine whether addition of a BPA to an AFDST focused on primary care physicians in an ambulatory care setting will improve "appropriate thromboprophylaxis" compared with usual care. Results will be examined at 3 months post randomization and at the end of the study to evaluate durability of changes. We expect to complete patient enrollment by the end of June 2022.

Background: Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) offer an alternative to low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) and warfarin for treating cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT). Objective: To determine the cost and effectiveness of DOACs versus LMWH. Design: Cohort-state transition decision analytic model. Data Sources: Network meta-analysis comparing DOACs versus LMWH. Target Population: Adult patients with cancer at the time they develop thrombosis. Time Horizon: Lifetime.Perspective: Health care sector. Intervention: Strategies of 1) enoxaparin, 2) apixaban, 3) edoxaban, and 4) rivaroxaban for treatment of CAT. Outcome Measures: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) in 2022 U.S. dollars per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. Results of Base-Case Analysis: In the base-case scenario, using drug prices from the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs Federal Supply Schedule, apixaban dominated enoxaparin and edoxaban by being less costly and more effective. Rivaroxaban was slightly more effective than apixaban, with an ICER of $493 246. In a scenario analysis using "real-world" drug prices from GoodRx, rivaroxaban was cost-effective with an ICER of $50 053 per QALY. Results of Sensitivity Analysis: Results were highly sensitive to monthly drug costs. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses showed that at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50000 per QALY, apixaban was preferred in 80% of simulations. However, sensitivity analyses also demonstrated that apixaban only remained cost-effective if monthly medication costs were below $530. Above this, rivaroxaban became cost-effective. Limitations: An assumption was made that patients would continue anticoagulation indefinitely unless they suffered a major bleed. Nonmedical costs such as patient and caregiver loss of productivity were not accounted for, and longterm thrombotic complications were not explicitly modeled. Conclusion: The 3 DOACs are more effective and more costeffective than LMWH. The most cost-effective DOAC depends on the relative cost of each of these agents. These are important considerations for treating physicians and health policymakers.

Background: Patients with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) wait roughly 4 years for a kidney transplant. A potential way to reduce wait times is using hepatitis C virus (HCV)-viremic kidneys. Objective: As preparation for developing a shared decision-making tool to assist patients with ESKD with the decision to accept an HCV-viremic kidney transplant, our initial goal was to assess the feasibility of using The Gambler II, a health utility assessment tool, in an ambulatory dialysis clinic setting. Our secondary goals were to collect health utilities for patients with ESKD and to explore whether the use of race-matched versus race-mismatched exemplars impacted the knowledge gained during the assessment process. Methods: We used The Gambler II to elicit utilities for the following ESKD-related health states: hemodialysis, kidney transplant with HCV-unexposed kidney, and transplantation with HCV-viremic kidney. We created race exemplar video clips describing these health states and randomly assigned patients into the race-matched or race-mismatched video arms. We obtained utilities for these 3 health states from each patient, and we evaluated knowledge about ESKD and HCV-associated health conditions with pre- and postintervention knowledge assessments. Results: A total of 63 patients with hemodialysis from 4 outpatient Dialysis Center Inc sites completed the study. Mean adjusted standard gamble utilities for hemodialysis, transplant with HCV-unexposed kidney, and transplantation with HCV-viremic kidney were 82.5, 89, and 75.5, respectively. General group knowledge assessment scores improved by 10 points (P<.05) following utility assessment process. The use of race-matched exemplars had little effect on the results of the knowledge assessment of patients. Conclusions: Using The Gambler II to collect utilities for patients with ESKD in an ambulatory dialysis clinic setting proved feasible. In addition, educational information about health states provided as part of the utility assessment process tool improved patients' knowledge and understanding about ESKD-related health states and implications of organ transplantation with HCV-viremic kidneys. A wide variation in patient health state utilities reinforces the importance of incorporating patients' preferences into decisions regarding use of HCV-viremic kidneys for transplantation.

Abstract Dietary interventions may best be delivered at grocery stores, which offer convenience, accessibility, full food inventories, and increasingly, in-store registered dietitians, online shopping, and delivery services. In collaboration with a large supermarket chain, we conducted a multisite, randomized, controlled trial (N = 247) of two individualized, in-person, dietitian-led, purchasing data-guided, education interventions focused on increasing Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) score (a measure of DASH dietary pattern adherence). At both 3 and 6 months, all study groups had greater DASH adherence. At 3 months, the interventions increased DASH score by 4.7 (95% CI, 0.9, 8.5; p = 0.02), compared with the enhanced control group. In addition, the intervention that included online enhancements (e.g. online shopping, nutrition applications) increased DASH score by 3.8 (95% CI, 0.8, 6.9; p = 0.01) compared to the one without them. This trial demonstrates the efficacy of store-based, dietary interventions as well as modern online shopping tools in increasing DASH adherence.

PURPOSE:The prevalence of chronic diseases is increasing largely due to suboptimal dietary habits. It is not known whether individualized, supermarket-based, nutrition education delivered by registered dietitians, utilizing the advantages of the in-store and online environments, and electronically collected purchasing data, can increase dietary quality.METHODS AND RESULTS:The supermarket and web-based intervention targeting nutrition (SuperWIN) for cardiovascular risk reduction trial is a randomized, controlled dietary intervention study. Adults identified from a primary care network with 1 or more risk factors were randomized at their preferred store to: (1) standard of care plus individualized, point- of-purchase nutrition education; (2) standard of care plus individualized, point- of-purchase nutrition education enhanced with online shopping technologies and training; or (3) standard of care alone. Educational sessions within each store's clinic and aisles, emphasized the dietary approaches to stop hypertension (DASH) diet. The primary assessment was an intention-to-treat comparison on the effects of the dietary interventions on mean change in DASH score (90-point range) from baseline to 3 months (post-intervention). Additional outcomes included blood pressure, lipids, weight, purchasing behavior, food literacy, and intervention feedback. Between April 2019 to February 2021, 267 participants were randomized (20 excluded due to coronavirus disease pandemic). Median age was 58 years, 69% were female, 64% had a college degree, 53% worked full-time, 64% were obese, 73% were treated with blood pressure and 42% with cholesterol medications, and most had low-to-moderate diet quality.CONCLUSION:The SuperWIN trial was designed to provide a rigorous evaluation of the efficacy of 2 novel, comprehensive, supermarket-based dietary intervention programs.

Dietary interventions may best be delivered at supermarkets, which offer convenience, accessibility, full food inventories and, increasingly, in-store registered dietitians, online shopping and delivery services. In collaboration with a large retail supermarket chain, we conducted a multisite supermarket and web-based intervention targeting nutrition trial (no. NCT03895580), randomizing participants (n = 247 (139 women and 108 men)) 2:2:1 to two levels of dietary education (Strategy 1 and Strategy 2) or an enhanced control group that included educational components beyond the routine standard of care. Both Strategies 1 and 2 included individualized, in-person, dietitian-led, purchasing data-guided interventions. Strategy 2 also included online tools for shopping, home delivery, selection of healthier purchases, meal planning and healthy recipes. The primary endpoint was change in dietary approaches to stop hypertension (DASH) score (a measure of adherence to the DASH diet) from baseline to 3 months. The primary endpoint was met because, at 3 months, the DASH score increased by 4.7 more for the combined Strategy 1 and Strategy 2 groups than for the control group (95% confidence interval (CI) (0.9, 8.5), P = 0.02). In a prespecified hierarchical test, at 3 months, DASH score increased by 3.8 more for the Strategy 2 group than for the Strategy 1 group (95% CI (0.8, 6.)9, P = 0.01). This trial demonstrates the efficacy of data-guided, supermarket-based, dietary interventions and modern online shopping tools in improving dietary quality in a free-living, community-based population. The trial also demonstrates the opportunity for academic investigators to collaborate with retailers to design and rigorously test comprehensive healthcare interventions.

Background Venous thromboembolism (VTE) in pregnancy is an important cause of maternal morbidity and mortality. Low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) is the cornerstone of prophylaxis and treatment of thrombotic events during pregnancy. LMWH has fewer adverse effects than other anticoagulants, does not cross the placenta, and is safe for the fetus. However, the use of LMWH during pregnancy is sensitive to womens’ underlying preferences. The objective of this review is to systematically assess women’s values and preferences research evidence on this topic. Methods We searched four electronic databases from inception to March 2022, and included studies examining values and preferences of using LMWH among pregnant women at risk of VTE. We followed a convergent integrated mixed-methods design to compare and contrast quantitative outcomes (utility and non-utility measures) and qualitative findings. We assessed the certainty of the values and preferences evidence with the GRADE approach for quantitative findings, and with GRADE-CERqual for qualitative evidence. Results were presented in a conjoint display. Results We screened 3,393 references and identified seven eligible studies. The mixed methods analysis resulted in four themes. Datasets confirmed each other in that: 1) the majority of women consider that benefits of treatment outweigh the inconveniences of daily injections; and 2) main concerns around medication are safety and injections administration. Quantitative outcomes expanded on the qualitative findings in that: 3) participants who perceived a higher risk of VTE were more willing to take LMWH. Finally, we found a discrepancy between the datasets around: 4) the amount of information preferred to make the decision; however, qualitative data expanded to clarify that women prefer making informed decisions and receive support from their clinician in their decision-making process. Conclusions We are moderately confident that in the context of pregnancy, using LMWH is preferred by women given its net beneficial balance. Integrating data from different sources of evidence, and representing them in a jointly manner helps to identify patient’s values and preferences. Our results may inform clinical practice guidelines and support shared decision-making process in the clinical encounter for the management of VTE in the context of pregnancy.

Rationale & Objective: Nonadherence to medical regimens increases the risk of graft loss among adolescent and young adult recipients of kidney transplants. Interventions that improve adherence may decrease rejection rates, but their perceived costs are a barrier to clinical implementation. We developed a model to assess the cost-effectiveness of an adherence promotion strategy, the Medication Adherence Promotion System (MAPS). Study Design: Simulation-based. Data sources included published articles indexed in Medline or referenced in bibliographies of relevant English-language articles. Data on costs and outcomes were taken from a single clinical center. Setting & Population: US adolescent patients after their first kidney transplant. Intervention: Usual posttransplant care versus usual care plus MAPS. Outcome: Effectiveness measured in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs measured in 2020 US dollars. Model, Perspective, & Timeframe: Markov state transition decision model. We used a health care system perspective with a lifelong time horizon. Results: In the base-case analysis, MAPS was more effective and less costly than usual care. MAPS cost $9,106 per patient less than usual care and resulted in a gain of 0.32 QALYs. In probabilistic sensitivity analyses, MAPS was cost saving 100% of the time. Extending results to a program level with 100 patients, any adherence promotion intervention similar in effectiveness to MAPS would cost less than $50,000/QALY if the start-up costs were <$2.5 million and annual costs <$188,000. Strategies with costs similar to MAPS that reduce the risk of rejection by as little as 3% would also have similar cost-effectiveness. Limitations: Estimates of components and costs for MAPS were based on a single center. Conclusions: Adherence promotion strategies with costs similar to MAPS can be cost-effective as long as they reduce rejection rates by at least 3%. This model can be applied to study the cost-effectiveness of adherence promotion strategies with varying costs and outcomes.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in primary care patients. Many patients who could benefit from anticoagulation do not receive it. The objective of this study was to describe anticoagulation prescribing by primary care physicians. We conducted an observational study in the Cleveland Clinic Health System among patients with AF and ≥ 1 primary care appointment between 2015 and 2018 and their physicians. We estimated differences in the odds of an eligible patient receiving anticoagulation versus not and a DOAC versus warfarin using two mixed effects logistic regression models, adjusted for patient sociodemographic factors, history of falls or dementia, and CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores. We categorized physicians into prescribing tertiles, based on their adjusted prescribing rate, which we included as predictors in the models. Among 5253 patients, 47% received anticoagulation. Of those, 56% received a DOAC. CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were not associated with anticoagulation prescription. Black race was negatively associated with receiving anticoagulation overall (aOR:0.71; 95%CI:0.56–0.89) and with prescription for a DOAC (aOR:0.65; 95%CI:0.45–0.93). Among 195 physicians, the anticoagulation prescribing rate ranged from 27% to 57% and DOAC rates ranged from 34% to 69%. Physician prescribing tertile was associated with odds of a patient receiving anticoagulation overall (aOR:1.51; 95%CI: 1.13–2.01 for the highest versus lowest tertile), but not DOAC prescriptions. When prescribing anticoagulation, physicians appear not to consider risk of stroke or bleeding but patient race is an important determinant. Seeing a physician with a high anticoagulation prescribing rate was strongly associated with a patient receiving it, suggesting a lack of individualization.