The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic triggered the perils of misinformation over social media. By amplifying the spreading speed and popularity of trustworthy information, influential social media users have been helping overcome the negative impacts of such flooding misinformation. In this article, we use the COVID-19 pandemic as a representative global health crisisand examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on these influential users’ subjective well-being (SWB), one of the most important indicators of mental health. We leverage X (formerly known as Twitter) as a representative social media platform and conduct the analysis with our collection of 37,281,824 tweets spanning almost two years. To identify influential X users, we propose a new measurement called user bridging performance (UBM) to evaluate the speed and wideness gain of information transmission due to their sharing. With our tweet collection, we manage to reveal the more significant mental sufferings of influential users during the COVID-19 pandemic. According to this observation, through comprehensive hierarchical multiple regression analysis , we are the first to discover the strong relationship between individual social users’ subjective well-being and their bridging performance. We proceed to extend bridging performance from individuals to user subgroups. The new measurement allows us to conduct a subgroup analysis according to users’ multilingualism and confirm the bridging role of multilingual users in the COVID-19 information propagation. We also find that multilingual users not only suffer from a much lower SWB in the pandemic, but also experienced a more significant SWB drop.
We propose a new deep learning cascade prediction model CasSIM that can simultaneously achieve two most demanded objectives: popularity prediction and final adopter prediction . Compared to existing methods based on cascade representation, CasSIM simulates information diffusion processes by exploring users’ dual roles in information propagation with three basic factors: users’ susceptibilities , influences and message contents . With effective user profiling, we are the first to capture the topic-specific property of susceptibilities and influences. In addition, the use of graph neural networks allows CasSIM to capture the dynamics of susceptibilities and influences during information diffusion. We evaluate the effectiveness of CasSIM on three real-life datasets and the results show that CasSIM outperforms the state-of-the-art methods in popularity and final adopter prediction.
The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic triggers infodemic over online social media, which significantly impacts public health around the world, both physically and psychologically. In this paper, we study the impact of the pandemic on the mental health of influential social media users, whose sharing behaviours significantly promote the diffusion of COVID-19 related information. Specifically, we focus on subjective well-being (SWB), and analyse whether SWB changes have a relationship with their bridging performance in information diffusion, which measures the speed and wideness gain of information transmission due to their sharing. We accurately capture users’ bridging performance by proposing a new measurement. Benefiting from deep-learning natural language processing models, we quantify social media users’ SWB from their textual posts. With the data collected from Twitter for almost two years, we reveal the greater mental suffering of influential users during the COVID-19 pandemic. Through comprehensive hierarchical multiple regression analysis, we are the first to discover the strong relationship between social users’ SWB and their bridging performance.
We validate whether social media data can be used to complement social surveys to monitor the public’s COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. Taking advantage of recent artificial intelligence advances, we propose a framework to estimate individuals’ vaccine hesitancy from their social media posts. With 745,661 vaccine-related tweets originating from three Western European countries, we compare vaccine hesitancy levels measured with our framework against that collected from multiple consecutive waves of surveys. We successfully validate that Twitter, one popular social media platform, can be used as a data source to calculate consistent public acceptance of COVID-19 vaccines with surveys at both country and region levels. In addition, this consistency persists over time although it varies among socio-demographic sub-populations. Our findings establish the power of social media in complementing social surveys to capture the continuously changing vaccine hesitancy in a global health crisis similar to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Vaccine hesitancy is considered as one main cause of the stagnant uptake ratio of COVID-19 vaccines in Europe and the US where vaccines are sufficiently supplied. A fast and accurate grasp of public attitudes toward vaccination is critical to addressing vaccine hesitancy, and social media platforms have proved to be an effective source of public opinions. In this paper, we describe the collection and release of a dataset of tweets related to COVID-19 vaccines. This dataset consists of the IDs of 2,198,090 tweets collected from Western Europe, 17,934 of which are annotated with the originators' vaccination stances. Our annotation will facilitate using and developing data-driven models to extract vaccination attitudes from social media posts and thus further confirm the power of social media in public health surveillance. To lay the groundwork for future research, we not only perform statistical analysis and visualization of our dataset, but also evaluate and compare the performance of established text-based benchmarks in vaccination stance extraction. We demonstrate one potential use of our data in practice in tracking the temporal changes in public COVID-19 vaccination attitudes.
An information outbreak occurs on social media along with the COVID-19 pandemic and leads to an infodemic. Predicting the popularity of online content, known as cascade prediction, allows for not only catching in advance information that deserves attention, but also identifying false information that will widely spread and require quick response to mitigate its negative impact. Among the various information diffusion patterns leveraged in previous works, the spillover effect of the information exposed to users on their decisions to participate in diffusing certain information has not been studied. In this paper, we focus on the diffusion of information related to COVID-19 preventive measures due to its special role in consolidating public efforts to slow down the spread of the virus. Through our collected Twitter dataset, we validate the existence of the spillover effects. Building on this finding, we propose extensions to three cascade prediction methods based on Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Experiments conducted on our dataset demonstrated that the use of the identified spillover effects significantly improves the state-of-the-art GNN methods in predicting the popularity of not only preventive measure messages, but also other COVID-19 messages.
To address the vaccine hesitancy which impairs the efforts of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign, it is imperative to understand public vaccination attitudes and timely grasp their changes. In spite of reliability and trustworthiness, conventional attitude collection based on surveys is time-consuming and expensive, and cannot follow the fast evolution of vaccination attitudes. We leverage the textual posts on social media to extract and track users' vaccination stances in near real time by proposing a deep learning framework. To address the impact of linguistic features such as sarcasm and irony commonly used in vaccine-related discourses, we integrate into the framework the recent posts of a user's social network neighbours to help detect the user's genuine attitude. Based on our annotated dataset from Twitter, the models instantiated from our framework can increase the performance of attitude extraction by up to 23% compared to state-of-the-art text-only models. Using this framework, we successfully validate the feasibility of using social media to track the evolution of vaccination attitudes in real life. We further show one practical use of our framework by validating the possibility to forecast a user's vaccine hesitancy changes with information perceived from social media.
An information outbreak occurs on social media along with the COVID-19 pandemic and leads to infodemic. Predicting the popularity of online content, known as cascade prediction, allows for not only catching in advance hot information that deserves attention, but also identifying false information that will widely spread and require quick response to mitigate its impact. Among the various information diffusion patterns leveraged in previous works, the spillover effect of the information exposed to users on their decision to participate in diffusing certain information is still not studied. In this paper, we focus on the diffusion of information related to COVID-19 preventive measures. Through our collected Twitter dataset, we validated the existence of this spillover effect. Building on the finding, we proposed extensions to three cascade prediction methods based on Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Experiments conducted on our dataset demonstrated that the use of the identified spillover effect significantly improves the state-of-the-art GNNs methods in predicting the popularity of not only preventive measure messages, but also other COVID-19 related messages.
The outbreak of the COVID-19 led to a burst of information in major online social networks (OSNs). Facing this constantly changing situation, OSNs have become an essential platform for people expressing opinions and seeking up-to-the-minute information. Thus, discussions on OSNs may become a reflection of reality. This paper aims to figure out how Twitter users in the Greater Region (GR) and related countries react differently over time through conducting a data-driven exploratory study of COVID-19 information using machine learning and representation learning methods. We find that tweet volume and COVID-19 cases in GR and related countries are correlated, but this correlation only exists in a particular period of the pandemic. Moreover, we plot the changing of topics in each country and region from 22 January 2020 to 5 June 2020, figuring out the main differences between GR and related countries.
An information outbreak occurs on social media along with the COVID-19 pandemic and leads to infodemic. Predicting the popularity of online content, known as cascade prediction , allows for not only catching in advance hot information that deserves attention, but also identifying false information that will widely spread and require quick response to mitigate its impact. Among the various information diffusion patterns leveraged in previous works, the spillover effect of the information exposed to users on their decision to participate in diffusing certain information is still not studied. In this paper, we focus on the diffusion of information related to COVID-19 preventive measures. Through our collected Twitter dataset, we validated the existence of this spillover effect. Building on the finding, we proposed extensions to three cascade prediction methods based on Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). Experiments conducted on our dataset demonstrated that the use of the identified spillover effect significantly improves the state-of-the-art GNNs methods in predicting the popularity of not only preventive measure messages, but also other COVID-19 related messages.