This study evaluated soluble serum proteins as biomarkers to subset patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) treated with chemotherapy±cediranib, a vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) signalling inhibitor (VEGFi). Exploring biomarkers at pre- and on-treatment may identify patient subgroups showing clinical benefit on cediranib combination. Two hundred and seven serum proteins were analysed in 588 mCRC patients at pre- and on-treatment with chemotherapy (FOLFOX/CAPOX)±cediranib 20 mg. Patients were enrolled in the phase III trial HORIZON II. We correlated baseline biomarker signatures and pharmacodynamic (PD) biomarkers with PFS and OS. We identified a baseline signature (BS) of 47 biomarkers that included VEGFA, VEGFD, VEGFR2, VEGFR3 and TIE-2, which defined two distinct subgroups of patients. Patients treated with chemotherapy plus cediranib who had ‘high’ BS had shorter PFS (HR=1.82, P=0.003) than patients with ‘low’ BS. This BS did not correlate with PFS of the patients treated with chemotherapy plus placebo. In addition, we identified a profile of 16 PD proteins on treatment associated with PFS (HR=0.58, P<0.001) and OS (HR=0.52, P<0.001) in patients treated with chemotherapy plus cediranib. This PD profile did not correlate with PFS and OS in patients treated with chemotherapy plus placebo. Serum proteins may represent relevant biomarkers to predict the outcome of patients treated with VEGFi-based therapies. We report a BS and PD biomarkers that may identify mCRC patients showing increased benefit of combining cediranib with chemotherapy. These exploratory findings need to be validated in future prospective studies.

The prognostic/predictive value of potential vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) signalling biomarkers was evaluated retrospectively using samples from two randomized Phase III studies (HORIZON II and III) investigating cediranib in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Baseline levels of VEGF, soluble VEGF receptor-2 (sVEGFR-2) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were measured in plasma/serum samples collected from patients participating in HORIZON II (n=860; FOLFOX/XELOX plus cediranib 20 mg (n=502) or placebo (n=358)) and HORIZON III (n=1422; mFOLFOX6 plus cediranib 20 mg (n=709) or bevacizumab (n=713)). Median biomarker baseline levels determined cutoff values for the patient subgroups. Baseline data were available for 88–97% of patients/study (>2000 patients). In both the studies, high baseline VEGF and CEA were associated with worse outcomes for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) independent of treatment (HORIZON II OS: VEGF, hazard ratio (HR)=1.35 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.12–1.63); CEA, HR=1.63 (1.36–1.96); HORIZON III OS: VEGF, HR=1.32 (1.12–1.54); CEA, HR=1.50 (1.29–1.76)). sVEGFR-2 was not prognostic for PFS/OS. Baseline VEGF and CEA were not predictive for PFS/OS outcome to cediranib treatment; low sVEGFR-2 was associated with a trend towards improved cediranib effect in HORIZON II. Baseline VEGF and CEA levels were treatment-independent prognostic biomarkers for PFS and OS in both the studies.

BACKGROUND:The prognostic and predictive value of multiple serum biomarkers was evaluated using samples from a randomised phase III study (HORIZON II) investigating chemotherapy with or without cediranib in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).METHODS:Baseline levels of 207 protein markers were measured in serum samples from 582 HORIZON II (FOLFOX/XELOX plus cediranib 20 mg (n=330) or placebo (n=252)) patients. Median baseline values of each biomarker were used to categorise patients as high or low. Markers were then assessed for their association with efficacy, defined by progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). A generalised boosted regression model identified markers of particular interest.RESULTS:Correlation of protein levels with PFS and OS suggested that multiple factors had a prognostic value, independent of treatment arm, including IL-6, IL-8, C-reactive protein (CRP), ICAM-1 and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). Among the angiogenesis regulators, low levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), VEGF-D, VEGFR-1, VEGFR-3, NRP1 and Tie-2 correlated with better outcome.CONCLUSION:This large data set generated using serum samples from mCRC patients treated with chemotherapy and VEGF inhibitors, defines baseline characteristics for 207 serum proteins. Multiple prognostic factors were identified that could be disease related or predict which patients derive most benefit from 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based chemotherapy, meriting further exploration in prospective studies.

OBJECTIVE To investigate the variability between different high-field scanners in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) measurement of knee cartilage volume in healthy female volunteers. METHODS Five volunteers had both knees scanned using three different MRI scanners. Cartilage volume in each compartment was measured from the images by image segmentation. The data were analysed using analysis of variance models. RESULTS The mean total cartilage volume of the 10 knees scanned at three different centres was 16.15, 16.40 and 15.63 ml for the Siemens, GE and Philips scanners respectively. Small systematic differences were seen in the total knee cartilage volume results. CONCLUSIONS Although there were small systematic differences in knee cartilage volume, the three MRI scanners gave broadly similar results.

The purpose was to evaluate the inter-visit, inter-observer and intra-observer variation of quantitative and qualitative tendon examinations in vivo for a cohort of asymptomatic volunteers. Eleven healthy male subjects were recruited. The following tendons were assessed by ultrasonography: Achilles tendon, patellar tendon, triceps tendon, extensor pollicis longus, flexor carpi radialis and supraspinatus. For each tendon a quantitative measurement of tendon size was made at a predefined anatomical location. Two experienced sonologists, blind to one another's findings, evaluated each of the tendons independently. Each tendon was evaluated on two occasions 1 week apart. No difference was found to be attributed to variation in tendon size between visits. Inter-observer variation was a source of error with intra-subject, inter-visit measurements proving more reproducible. There was some significant variation between observers. This variation was more marked with some tendon measures than others. Inter-observer variation for triceps, flexor carpi radialis and supraspinatus was most marked. Minimum detectable change in tendons varied from 13 to 57% depending on the plane of scanning and the tendon being examined. Good reproducibility of quantitative tendon measurements can be achieved within a study using two observers by following a defined scanning protocol. However, it is recommended that the same observer perform serial assessments. The data allow minimal detectable changes in tendon size to be calculated.