The entry inhibitor Bulevirtide (BLV) was recently approved in Europe for treatment of chronic hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection, which is considered the most severe viral hepatitis infection. Theory indicates that models that account for free virus and infected cells, but do not include target cell dynamics (historically called the two-equation model) are limited to predicting a monophasic viral decline for antiviral agents that act only to block viral entry/infection. We investigated herein a recently published two-equation type model against clinical data obtained from patients with HDV treated with BLV monotherapy for up to 96 weeks using non-linear mixed effects modelling (NLME). We found that (i) although the model parameters had a relative standard error (RSE) <50% suggesting that they were 'precisely estimated', the fits failed to reproduce the non-monophasic HDV kinetic patterns observed in most patients leading to incorrect predictions of the duration of treatment needed to reach a theoretical cure boundary, defined as less than 1 virion in the entire patient extracellular body fluid. (ii) The model cannot explain viral breakthrough, and (iii) the model wrongly predicts that viral load will remain at the same level once treatment is stopped. Lastly, we showed that including target cell dynamics in the model can explain not only monophasic viral decline during treatment but also non-monophasic HDV decline patterns such as biphasic, flat-partial response and viral breakthrough. Including target cell dynamics also predicts a viral rebound once BLV is stopped as observed in clinical studies.

BackgroundStudies show satisfaction with telemedicine, but there is limited data regarding changes in provider practices and clinical outcomes. We sought to evaluate the impact of telehealth on patient-provider communications between visits and clinical outcomes in patients with cirrhosis during the COVID-19 pandemic.MethodsSingle-center retrospective study of cirrhotic patients seen outpatient in 2019 and 2020 was conducted. Clinical characteristics, provider practices, and clinical outcomes were obtained. Provider practices included medication adjustments, labs ordered, and patient communication. Clinical outcomes included ED visits, hospitalizations, and mortality.ResultsTotally, 1395 patients were included with a mean age of 61, 51% female, and 73% Caucasian. The median baseline model for end-stage liver disease (MELD-Na) score was 10. During 2019 there were no telehealth visits. In 2020, 37% of clinic visits were telehealth and 64% of patients had at least one telehealth visit. The rate of medication changes significantly decreased in 2020. There was no significant difference in number of clinic visits, labs ordered, emergency department visits, hospitalizations, or intensive care unit (ICU) stays between 2019 and 2020. In 2020, the rate of telephone contacts and patient messages significantly increased. Compared to 2019, the odds of death were 2.6 times higher in 2020.ConclusionWhen a majority of cirrhotic patients had a telehealth visit, patients had similar rates of emergency department visits, hospitalizations, and ICU stays, but a higher rate of mortality compared to patients with in-person visits. Telehealth was associated with more patient contact between visits, increasing communication demands on providers.

Global elimination of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) remains difficult without an effective vaccine. Since injection drug use is the leading cause of hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission in Western Europe and North America, people who inject drugs (PWID) are an important population for testing HCV vaccine effectiveness in randomized-clinical trials (RCTs). However, RCTs in PWID are inherently challenging. To accelerate vaccine development, controlled human infection (CHI) models have been suggested as a means to identify effective vaccines. To bridge the gap between CHI models and real-world testing, we developed an agent-based model simulating a two-dose vaccine to prevent CHC in PWID, representing 32,000 PWID in metropolitan Chicago and accounting for networks and HCV infections. We ran 500 trial simulations under 50 and 75% assumed vaccine efficacy (aVE) and sampled HCV infection status of recruited in silico PWID. The mean estimated vaccine efficacy (eVE) for 50 and 75% aVE was 48% (SD +/- 12) and 72% (SD +/- 11), respectively. For both conditions, the majority of trials (similar to 71%) resulted in eVEs within 1 SD of the mean, demonstrating a robust trial design. Trials that resulted in eVEs >1 SD from the mean (lowest eVEs of 3 and 35% for 50 and 75% aVE, respectively), were more likely to have imbalances in acute infection rates across trial arms. Modeling indicates robust trial design and high success rates of finding vaccines to be effective in real-life trials in PWID. However, with less effective vaccines (aVEs similar to 50%) there remains a higher risk of concluding poor vaccine efficacy due to post-randomization imbalances.

Purpose: To compare pathologic tumor necrosis rates after locoregional therapies (LRTs) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prior to liver transplantation and evaluate radiologic-pathologic correlation along with posttransplant HCC recurrence. Materials and Methods: Consecutive patients with solitary HCC bridged or downstaged with LRT from 2010 to 2022 were included. LRTs were transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), radioembolization (yttrium-90 [90Y]), ablation, and stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT). Upfront combination therapy options were TACE/ablation and TACE/SBRT. Subsequent therapy crossover due to local recurrence was allowed. Posttreatment imaging closest to the time of transplant, explant histopathologic necrosis, and tumor recurrence after transplant were reviewed. Results: Seventy-three patients met inclusion criteria, of whom 5 (7%) required downstaging. 90Y alone (n = 36) and multimodal therapy (pooled upfront combination and crossover therapy, n = 23) resulted in significantly greater pathologic necrosis compared with TACE alone (n = 14; P = .01). High dose 90Y radiation segmentectomy (>= 190 Gy; n = 27) and TACE/ ablation (n = 7) showed highest rates of complete pathologic necrosis (CPN)-63% (n = 17) and 71% (n = 5), respectively. Patients with CPN had a mean lesion size of 2.5 cm, compared with 3.2 cm without CPN (P = .04), irrespective of LRT modality. HCC recurrence was more common in patients without CPN (16%, 6/37) than in those with CPN (3%, 1/36; P = .11). Using Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS), a nonviable imaging response was 75% sensitive and 57% specific for CPN. Conclusions: Radiation segmentectomy and multimodal therapy significantly improved CPN rates compared with TACE alone. A LI-RADS treatment response of nonviable did not confidently predict CPN.

Serum HBV-RNA is proposed to be a circulating marker of cccDNA transcriptional activity in hepatocytes. The combination of tenofovir-disoproxil-fumarate (TDF) and pegylated-interferon-alpha-2a (pegIFN) with nucleic-acid polymer (NAP) treatment was associated with a relatively high rate of functional cure (FC) 48 weeks after discontinuation of all therapy. We aim to characterize HBV RNA kinetics under TDF and pegIFN ± NAP combination therapies. Forty participants with chronic HBV in the REP401 phase-II clinical trial received 48 weeks of triple combination therapy with NAPs, pegIFN, and TDF. For 20 participants, triple combination therapy (TDF + pegIFN + NAPs) followed 24 weeks of TDF. For 20 other participants, triple combination therapy followed 24 weeks of TDF monotherapy and 24 weeks of dual therapy (TDF + pegIFN). The Abbott RUO assay for HBV RNA (LLoQ = 1.65 logU/mL) was performed every 4 weeks. Previously unrecognized HBV RNA kinetic patterns were identified with dual/triple therapy including (i) no change (ii) an increase followed by a new elevated plateau (only under dual therapy) and (iii) a transient increase followed by a spontaneous decline. All participants establishing a new elevated HBV RNA plateau level experienced a subsequent monophasic decline following the introduction of NAPs. Failure to reach HBV RNA LLoQ by 16 weeks of triple therapy had a negative predictive value of 100% for FC. The median HBV RNA half-life for participants in the virological-rebound group was significantly (p = 0.01) longer than in the partial and FC groups (5.7 vs 2.7 weeks, respectively). Achieving partial/functional cure is associated with a shorter HBV RNA half-life, which could reflect faster inactivation of cccDNA transcriptional activity.

Background & Aims: Bulevirtide (BLV) was approved for the treatment of compensated chronic hepatitis D virus (HDV) infection in Europe in 2020. However, research into the effects of the entry inhibitor BLV on HDV-host dynamics is in its infancy. Methods: Eighteen patients with HDV under nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment for hepatitis B, with compensated cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension, received BLV 2 mg/day. HDV RNA, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) were measured at baseline, weeks 4, 8 and every 8 weeks thereafter. A mathematical model was developed to account for HDV, HBsAg and ALT dynamics during BLV treatment. Results: Median baseline HDV RNA, HBsAg, and ALT were 4.9 log IU/ml [IQR: 4.4-5.8], 3.7 log IU/ml [IQR: 3.4-3.9] and 106 U/L [IQR: 81-142], respectively. During therapy, patients fit into four main HDV kinetic patterns: monophasic (n = 2), biphasic (n = 10), flat -partial response (n = 4), and non -responder (n = 2). ALT normalization was achieved in 14 (78%) patients at a median of 8 weeks (range: 4-16). HBsAg remained at pre-treatment levels. Assuming that BLV completely (-10 0%) blocks HDV entry, modeling indicated that two HDV-infected cell populations exist: fast HDV clearing (median t1/2 = 13 days) and slow HDV clearing (median t1/2 = 44 days), where the slow HDV-clearing population consisted of -1% of total HDV-infected cells, which could explain why most patients exhibited a non-monophasic pattern of HDV decline. Moreover, modeling explained ALT normalization without a change in HBsAg based on a non-cytolytic loss of HDV from infected cells, resulting in HDV-free HBsAg-producing cells that release ALT upon death at a substantially lower rate compared to HDV-infected cells. Conclusion: The entry inhibitor BLV provides a unique opportunity to understand HDV, HBsAg, ALT, and host dynamics. Impact and implications: Mathematical modeling of hepatitis D virus (HDV) treatment with the entry inhibitor bulevirtide (BLV) provides a novel window into the dynamics of HDV RNA and alanine aminotransferase. Kinetic data from patients treated with BLV monotherapy can be explained by hepatocyte populations with different basal HDV clearance rates and noncytolytic clearance of infected cells. While further studies are needed to test and refine the kinetic characterization described here, this study provides a new perspective on viral dynamics, which could inform evolving treatment strategies for HDV. (c) 2023 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL). This is an open access article under the CC BY -NC -ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

OBJECTIVES:Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy (SBRT) and Yttrium-90 (Y90) are among the ablative therapies used as treatment options for localized hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). To date, direct comparisons of the 2 modalities' outcomes and costs are lacking. This study aimed to analyze demographic, treatment, and cost information for patients with HCC treated with SBRT and Y90. METHODS:Patients with HCC treated with SBRT or Y90 radioembolization between January 2018 and January 2020 at one institution were retrospectively reviewed. Demographic and treatment data were compared utilizing χ 2 tests. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were applied to compare overall survival and progression-free survival in different treatment groups. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to analyze the unadjusted and adjusted survival differences. Ten SBRT and 10 Y90 patients were randomly selected for Medicare cost analysis. RESULTS:Sixty-three patients received Y90, and 21 received SBRT. On univariable and multivariable analysis, there was no significant difference in overall survival or progression-free survival between the Y90 and SBRT cohorts. SBRT patients had higher American Joint Committee on Cancer staging ( P =0.039), greater tumor size (4.07 vs. 2.96 cm, P =0.013), and greater rates of prior liver-directed therapy (71.4% SBRT vs. 12.7% Y90, P <0.001). The average cost for SBRT was $15,148, and Y90 was $41,360. CONCLUSIONS:SBRT and Y90 are effective therapies in the treatment of HCC, specifically having similar overall survival and progression-free survival. Y90 was found to have a significantly higher cost than SBRT. This study demonstrates the need for prospective studies to assess these modalities in treating HCC.

Designing and carrying out a controlled human infection (CHI) model for hepatitis C virus (HCV) is critical for vaccine development. However, key considerations for a CHI model protocol include understanding of the earliest viral-host kinetic events during the acute phase and susceptibility of the viral isolate under consideration for use in the CHI model to antiviral treatment before any infections in human volunteers can take place. Humanized mouse models lack adaptive immune responses but provide a unique opportunity to obtain quantitative understanding of early HCV kinetics and develop mathematical models to further understand viral and innate immune response dynamics during acute HCV infection. We show that the models reproduce the measured HCV kinetics in humanized mice, which are consistent with early acute HCV-host dynamics in immunocompetent chimpanzees. Our findings suggest that humanized mice are well-suited to support development of a CHI model. In-silico and in-vivo modeling estimates provide a starting point to characterize candidate viruses for testing in CHI model studies.

Recent studies indicate that treatment of chronic hepatitis D virus (HDV) with either pegylated interferon (IFN)λ or pegylated IFNα monotherapy leads to a dramatic decline in HDV RNA. Herein, we investigated the innate antiviral efficacy of IFNλ and IFNα in humanized mice that lack an adaptive immune response. Humanized mice were either co-infected with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and HDV simultaneously, or HDV infection was performed subsequent to HBV infection (i.e., superinfected). After steady viral replication was achieved, mice received either IFNλ (n = 6) or IFNα (n = 7) for 12 (or 13) weeks. Pretreatment median levels of serum HBV DNA (8.8 [IQR:0.2] log IU/ml), HDV RNA (9.8 [0.5] log IU/ml), HBsAg (4.0 [0.4] log IU/ml) and human albumin, hAlb (6.9 [0.1] log ng/mL) were similar between mice treated with IFNα or IFNλ and between those coinfected versus superinfected. Compared to mice treated with IFNλ, mice treated with IFNα had a significantly greater decline in HBV, HDV, and HBsAg levels. In conclusion, IFNα induces stronger inhibition of HBV and HDV than IFNλ in humanized mice that lack an adaptive immune response. Further studies are needed to assess the respective role of the combined innate-and adaptive-immune systems in the treatment of HBV and HDV with IFNα and IFNλ.