Counterfactual explanations are widely used to communicate how inputs must change for a model to alter its prediction. For a single instance, many valid counterfactuals can exist, which leaves open the possibility for an explanation provider to cherry-pick explanations that better suit a narrative of their choice, highlighting favourable behaviour and withholding examples that reveal problematic behaviour. We formally define cherry-picking for counterfactual explanations. We then study to what extent an external auditor can detect such manipulation. Even with full procedural access, cherry-picked explanations can remain difficult to distinguish from non-cherry-picked explanations, because the multiplicity of valid counterfactuals and flexibility in the explanation specification provide sufficient degrees of freedom to mask deliberate selection. We demonstrate empirically that this variability often exceeds the effect of cherry-picking on standard counterfactual quality metrics. We therefore argue that safeguards should prioritise ex ante standardisation over the use of metrics ex post. Without these safeguards, explanations can become a tool for obfuscation rather than transparency.
Understanding the decisions made and actions taken by increasingly complex AI system remains a key challenge. This has led to an expanding field of research in explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), highlighting the potential of explanations to enhance trust, support adoption, and meet regulatory standards. However, the question of what constitutes a "good" explanation is dependent on the goals, stakeholders, and context. At a high level, psychological insights such as the concept of mental model alignment can offer guidance, but success in practice is challenging due to social and technical factors. As a result of this ill-defined nature of the problem, explanations can be of poor quality (e.g. unfaithful, irrelevant, or incoherent), potentially leading to substantial risks. Instead of fostering trust and safety, poorly designed explanations can actually cause harm, including wrong decisions, privacy violations, manipulation, and even reduced AI adoption. Therefore, we caution stakeholders to beware of explanations of AI: while they can be vital, they are not automatically a remedy for transparency or responsible AI adoption, and their misuse or limitations can exacerbate harm. Attention to these caveats can help guide future research to improve the quality and impact of AI explanations.
As Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in applications such as travel assistance and purchasing support, they are often required to make subjective choices on behalf of users in settings where no objectively correct answer exists. We study LLM decision-making in a travel-assistant context by presenting models with choice dilemmas and analyzing their responses using multinomial logit models to derive implied willingness to pay (WTP) estimates. These WTP values are subsequently compared to human benchmark values from the economics literature. In addition to a baseline setting, we examine how model behavior changes under more realistic conditions, including the provision of information about users' past choices and persona-based prompting. Our results show that while meaningful WTP values can be derived for larger LLMs, they also display systematic deviations at the attribute level. Additionally, they tend to overestimate human WTP overall, particularly when expensive options or business-oriented personas are introduced. Conditioning models on prior preferences for cheaper options yields valuations that are closer to human benchmarks. Overall, our findings highlight both the potential and the limitations of using LLMs for subjective decision support and underscore the importance of careful model selection, prompt design, and user representation when deploying such systems in practice.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) finds widespread application across various domains, but it sparks concerns about fairness in its deployment. The prevailing discourse in classification often emphasizes outcome-based metrics comparing sensitive subgroups without a nuanced consideration of the differential impacts within subgroups. Bias mitigation techniques not only affect the ranking of pairs of instances across sensitive groups, but often also significantly affect the ranking of instances within these groups. Such changes are hard to explain and raise concerns regarding the validity of the intervention. Unfortunately, these effects remain under the radar in the accuracy-fairness evaluation framework that is usually applied. Additionally, we illustrate the effect of several popular bias mitigation methods, and how their output often does not reflect real-world scenarios.
As generative AI systems become integrated into real-world applications, organizations increasingly need to be able to understand and interpret their behavior. In particular, decision-makers need to understand what causes generative AI systems to exhibit specific output characteristics. Within this general topic, this paper examines a key question: what is it about the input -the prompt- that causes an LLM-based generative AI system to produce output that exhibits specific characteristics, such as toxicity, negative sentiment, or political bias. To examine this question, we adapt a common technique from the Explainable AI literature: counterfactual explanations. We explain why traditional counterfactual explanations cannot be applied directly to generative AI systems, due to several differences in how generative AI systems function. We then propose a flexible framework that adapts counterfactual explanations to non-deterministic, generative AI systems in scenarios where downstream classifiers can reveal key characteristics of their outputs. Based on this framework, we introduce an algorithm for generating prompt-counterfactual explanations (PCEs). Finally, we demonstrate the production of counterfactual explanations for generative AI systems with three case studies, examining different output characteristics (viz., political leaning, toxicity, and sentiment). The case studies further show that PCEs can streamline prompt engineering to suppress undesirable output characteristics and can enhance red-teaming efforts to uncover additional prompts that elicit undesirable outputs. Ultimately, this work lays a foundation for prompt-focused interpretability in generative AI: a capability that will become indispensable as these models are entrusted with higher-stakes tasks and subject to emerging regulatory requirements for transparency and accountability.
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as autonomous agents that make consumption decisions on behalf of users. This shift raises fundamental questions for consumer theory, which has traditionally modeled humans as the primary decision-makers. In this paper, we introduce LLM Consumer Behavior Theory, a new field of study concerned with analyzing consumer behavior in agentic markets. Drawing on classical and behavioral economics alongside recent advances in Natural Language Processing, we formalize how human preferences are reflected and acted upon by LLM-based agents, and how agent-level decisions aggregate into market demand. We unify previously fragmented literature on LLM decision-making, human behavior simulation, and preference elicitation under a common economic lens, highlighting where assumptions, such as rationality and heterogeneity, may fail in agentic markets. Rather than providing empirical validation, this paper outlines the scope of LLM consumer behavior and identifies open research questions related to alignment, preference representation, and market dynamics.
Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) aims to provide insights into the logic of automated decisions with the goal of promoting fairer, more transparent, and more trustworthy automated decision-making. Despite mounting regulatory pressure, changing consumer expectations, and a growing stream of XAI-related research, few consumer-facing applications of XAI exist. In anticipation of future XAI-enabled products and services, we use ethical foresight analysis to investigate the possible consequences of monetizing explanations. By developing a conceptual artifact we call an explanation platform, we analyze what could happen when digital advertising is fused with XAI. We explore the platform's business and design logic, examine its potential social and ethical impact, and describe several plausible explanation manipulation scenarios and strategies. We find that while XAI monetization could incentivize industry adoption of XAI technology and expand algorithmic recourse across society, it could also lead to corrupted forms of explanations optimized for profit-driven objectives. Overall, our foresight analysis makes the case for the economic and technological feasibility of monetized XAI, but raises concerns about its desirability in liberal democratic societies.
Our online lives generate a wealth of behavioral records -'digital footprints'- which are stored and leveraged by technology platforms. This data can be used to create value for users by personalizing services. At the same time, however, it also poses a threat to people's privacy by offering a highly intimate window into their private traits (e.g., their personality, political ideology, sexual orientation). Prior work has proposed a potential remedy: The cloaking of users' footprints. That is, platforms could allow users to hide portions of their digital footprints from predictive algorithms to avoid undesired inferences. While such an approach has been shown to offer privacy protection in the moment, there are two open questions. First, it remains unclear how well cloaking performs over time. As people constantly leave new digital footprints, the algorithm might regain the ability to predict previously cloaked traits. Second, cloaking digital footprints to avoid one undesirable inference may degrade the performance of models for other, desirable inferences (e.g., those driving desired personalized content). In the light of these research gaps, our contributions are twofold: 1) We propose a novel cloaking strategy that conceals 'metafeatures' (automatically generated higher-level categories) and compares its effectiveness against existing cloaking approaches, and 2) we test the spill-over effects of cloaking one trait on the accuracy of inferences on other traits. A key finding is that the effectiveness of cloaking degrades over times, but the rate at which it degrades is significantly smaller when cloaking metafeatures rather than individual footprints. In addition, our findings reveal the expected trade-off between privacy and personalization: Cloaking an undesired trait also partially conceals other desirable traits.
As large language models (LLMs) are shaping the way information is shared and accessed online, their opinions have the potential to influence a wide audience. This study examines who the LLMs view as the most prominent figures across various fields, using prompts in ten different languages to explore the influence of linguistic diversity. Our findings reveal low diversity in responses, with a small number of figures dominating recognition across languages (also known as the "superstar effect"). These results highlight the risk of narrowing global knowledge representation when LLMs retrieve subjective information.
As generative AI systems become increasingly integrated into realworld applications, the need to analyze and interpret their outputs grows in importance. This paper addresses the challenge of assessing whether generative outputs exhibit specific characteristics-such as toxicity, a certain sentiment, or bias. We borrow a concept from the traditional Explainable AI literature- counterfactual explanations- but argue that it needs to be significantly rethought. We propose a flexible framework that extends counterfactual explanations to non-deterministic generative AI systems, specifically in scenarios where downstream classifiers can reveal characteristics of their outputs.
This paper examines how fairness principles differ when evaluating large language model (LLM) outputs in fact-based versus opinion-based contexts, focusing on gender disparities in responses related to notable individuals. Using prompts designed to elicit either factual information (identifying Nobel Prize winners) or subjective judgments (identifying the most accomplished figures in a field), we analyze responses from GPT-4, Claude, and Llama-3. For fact-based tasks, fairness is assessed through correctness and refusal rates, revealing minimal gender disparities when models achieve high accuracy, although refusal patterns can vary by model and gender. For opinion-based tasks, where no single correct answer exists, fairness is operationalized through representational metrics such as demographic parity and disparate impact. Results show substantial gender disparities in opinion-based outputs across all models, with representation shaped by prompt wording (e.g., “important” vs. “prestigious”), subject domain, and inclusion of secondary answers. However, the highly skewed context makes the final assessment about fairness challenging. Our findings highlight that fairness metrics and interpretations must be contextualized by output type. Performance parity is an appropriate goal for fact-based outputs, whereas representational inclusivity is central for opinion-based outputs. Representational inclusivity alone may not be sufficient when the context for the LLM’s task differs from the population. We discuss theoretical implications for fairness evaluation, noting that high performance can mitigate disparities in factual contexts but that opinion-based contexts require more nuanced, values-driven approaches.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) systems are increasingly used in high-stakes domains of our life, increasing the need to explain these decisions and to make sure that they are aligned with how we want the decision to be made. The field of Explainable AI (XAI) has emerged in response. However, it faces a significant challenge known as the disagreement problem, where multiple explanations are possible for the same AI decision or prediction. While the existence of the disagreement problem is acknowledged, the potential implications associated with this problem have not yet been widely studied. First, we provide an overview of the different strategies explanation providers could deploy to adapt the returned explanation to their benefit. We make a distinction between strategies that attack the machine learning model or underlying data to influence the explanations, and strategies that leverage the explanation phase directly. Next, we analyse several objectives and concrete scenarios the providers could have to engage in this behavior, and the potential dangerous consequences this manipulative behavior could have on society. We emphasize that it is crucial to investigate this issue now, before these methods are widely implemented, and propose some mitigation strategies.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) finds widespread applications across various domains, sparking concerns about fairness in its deployment. While fairness in AI remains a central concern, the prevailing discourse often emphasizes outcome-based metrics without a nuanced consideration of the differential impacts within subgroups. Bias mitigation techniques do not only affect the ranking of pairs of instances across sensitive groups, but often also significantly affect the ranking of instances within these groups. Such changes are hard to explain and raise concerns regarding the validity of the intervention. Unfortunately, these effects largely remain under the radar in the accuracy-fairness evaluation framework that is usually applied. This paper challenges the prevailing metrics for assessing bias mitigation techniques, arguing that they do not take into account the changes within-groups and that the resulting prediction labels fall short of reflecting real-world scenarios. We propose a paradigm shift: initially, we should focus on generating the most precise ranking for each subgroup. Following this, individuals should be chosen from these rankings to meet both fairness standards and practical considerations.
This study examines the use of Large Language Models (LLMs) for retrieving factual information, addressing concerns over their propensity to produce factually incorrect "hallucinated" responses or to altogether decline to even answer prompt at all. Specifically, it investigates the presence of gender-based biases in LLMs' responses to factual inquiries. This paper takes a multi-pronged approach to evaluating GPT models by evaluating fairness across multiple dimensions of recall, hallucinations and declinations. Our findings reveal discernible gender disparities in the responses generated by GPT-3.5. While advancements in GPT-4 have led to improvements in performance, they have not fully eradicated these gender disparities, notably in instances where responses are declined. The study further explores the origins of these disparities by examining the influence of gender associations in prompts and the homogeneity in the responses.
Access to resources strongly constrains the decisions we make. While we might wish to offer every student a scholarship, or schedule every patient for follow-up meetings with a specialist, limited resources mean that this is not possible. Existing tools for fair machine learning ignore these key constraints, with the majority of methods disregarding any finite resource limitations under which decisions are made. Our research introduces the concept of "resource-constrained fairness" and quantifies the cost of fairness within this framework. We demonstrate that the level of available resources significantly influences this cost, a factor that has been overlooked in previous evaluations.
Algorithms used by organizations increasingly wield power in society as they decide the allocation of key resources and basic goods. In order to promote fairer, juster, and more transparent uses of such decision-making power, explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) aims to provide insights into the logic of algorithmic decision-making. Despite much research on the topic, consumer-facing applications of XAI remain rare. A central reason may be that a viable platform-based monetization strategy for this new technology has yet to be found. We introduce and describe a novel monetization strategy for fusing algorithmic explanations with programmatic advertising via an explanation platform. We claim the explanation platform represents a new, socially-impactful, and profitable form of human-algorithm interaction and estimate its potential for revenue generation in the high-risk domains of finance, hiring, and education. We then consider possible undesirable and unintended effects of monetizing XAI and simulate these scenarios using real-world credit lending data. Ultimately, we argue that monetizing XAI may be a double-edged sword: while monetization may incentivize industry adoption of XAI in a variety of consumer applications, it may also conflict with the original legal and ethical justifications for developing XAI. We conclude by discussing whether there may be ways to responsibly and democratically harness the potential of monetized XAI to provide greater consumer access to algorithmic explanations.
In eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI), counterfactual explanations are known to give simple, short, and comprehensible justifications for complex model decisions. However, we are yet to see more applied studies in which they are applied in real-world cases. To fill this gap, this study focuses on showing how counterfactuals are applied to employability-related problems which involve complex machine learning algorithms. For these use cases, we use real data obtained from a public Belgian employment institution (VDAB). The use cases presented go beyond the mere application of counterfactuals as explanations, showing how they can enhance decision support, comply with legal requirements, guide controlled changes, and analyze novel insights.
Black-box machine learning models are used in an increasing number of high-stakes domains, and this creates a growing need for Explainable AI (XAI). However, the use of XAI in machine learning introduces privacy risks, which currently remain largely unnoticed. Therefore, we explore the possibility of an explanation linkage attack , which can occur when deploying instance-based strategies to find counterfactual explanations. To counter such an attack, we propose k -anonymous counterfactual explanations and introduce pureness as a metric to evaluate the validity of these k -anonymous counterfactual explanations. Our results show that making the explanations, rather than the whole dataset, k -anonymous, is beneficial for the quality of the explanations.
David Martens合作论文数Departement Milieu- en Technologiemanagement16