Background Cancers of the upper gastrointestinal tract remain a significant cause of morbidity and mortality. Cysteine, known to be involved in a myriad of immuno-modulatory, anti-oxidant, and anti-carcinogenic pathways, has not been investigated in the aetiology of oesophageal or gastric cancers. To examine the relationship between serum cysteine concentration and risk of these cancers we conducted a nested case–cohort study within the General Population Nutrition Intervention Trial in Linxian, China. Methods 498 oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas (OSCCs) and 255 gastric cardia adenocarcinomas (GCAs) were matched by age and sex to 947 individuals from the wider cohort. We calculated HRs and 95% CIs using the case–cohort estimator for the Cox proportional hazards models, stratified on age and sex, with adjustment for potential confounders. Results Higher concentrations of serum cysteine were significantly associated with a lower risk of both OSCC and GCA. For those in the highest quartile of serum cysteine, compared to those in the lowest, the multivariate HRs were 0.70 for OSCC (95% CI 0.51 to 0.98) and 0.59 for GCA (95% CI 0.38 to 0.91). These associations were dose dependent (p for trend=0.006 and 0.008, respectively). These inverse associations were not significantly modified by other risk factors, with the exception of age, where a stronger association was noted among persons in the older age strata. Conclusion Higher serum concentrations of cysteine were associated with a significantly reduced risk of OSCC and GCA. Cysteine should be further investigated for its potential as a chemopreventive agent for upper gastrointestinal cancers.

Standardization, a common approach for controlling confounding in population-studies or data from disease registries, is defined to be a weighted average of stratum specific rates. Typically, discussions on the construction of a particular standardized rate regard the strata as fixed, and focus on the considerations that affect the specification of weights. Each year the data from the SEER cancer registries are analyzed using a weighting procedure referred to as “direct standardization for age.” To evaluate the performance of direct standardization, we define a general class of standardization operators. We regard a particular standardized rate to be the output of an operator and a given data set. Based on the functional form of the operators, we define a subclass of standardization operators that controls for confounding by measured risk factors. Using the fundamental disease probability paradigm for inference, we establish the conclusions that can be drawn from year-to-year contrasts of standardized rates produced by these operators in the presence of unmeasured cancer risk factors. These conclusions take the form of falsifying specific assumptions about the conditional probabilities of disease given all the risk factors (both measured and unmeasured), and the conditional probabilities of the unmeasured risk factors given the measured risk factors. We show the one-to-one correspondence between these falsifications and the inferences made from the contrasts of directly standardized rates reported each year in the Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer. We further show that the “direct standardization for age” procedure is not a member of the class of unconfounded standardization operators. Consequently, it can, and usually will, introduce confounding when confounding is not present in the data. We propose a particular standardization operator, the SCC operator, that is in the class of unconfounded operators. We contrast the mathematical properties of the SCC and the SEER operator (SCA), and present an analysis of SEER cancer registry data that demonstrates the consequences of these differences. We further prove that the SCC operator is a projection operator. We discuss how this property can enable the SCC operator to be developed as a method for comparing nested conditional expectations in the same manner as is currently done with regression methods that control for confounding.

Background Primary liver cancer is a common malignancy with a dismal prognosis. New primary prevention strategies are needed to reduce mortality from this disease. We examined the effects of supplementation with four different combinations of vitamins and minerals on primary liver cancer mortality among 29450 initially healthy adults from Linxian, China.Methods Participants were randomly assigned to take either a vitamin-mineral combination ("factor") or a placebo daily for 5.25 years (March 1986-May 1991). Four factors (at doses one to two times the US Recommended Daily Allowance) - retinol and zinc (factor A); riboflavin and niacin (factor B); ascorbic acid and molybdenum (factor C); and beta-carotene, alpha-tocopherol, and selenium (factor D) - were tested in a partial factorial design. The study outcome was primary liver cancer death occurring from 1986 through 2001. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of liver cancer death with and without each factor. All P values are two-sided.Results A total of 151 liver cancer deaths occurred during the analysis period. No statistically significant differences in liver cancer mortality were found comparing the presence and absence of any of the four intervention factors. However, both factor A and factor B reduced liver cancer mortality in individuals younger than 55 years at randomization (HR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.34 to 1.00, and HR = 0.54, 95% CI = 0.31 to 0.93, respectively) but not in older individuals (HR = 1.06, 95% CI = 0.71 to 1.59, and HR = 1.12, 95% CI = 0.75 to 1.68, respectively). Factor C reduced liver cancer death, albeit with only borderline statistical significance in males (HR = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.47 to 1.02) but not in females (HR = 1.30, 95% CI = 0.72 to 2.37). Cumulative risks of liver cancer death were 6.0 per 1000 in the placebo arm, 5.4 per 1000 in the arms with two factors, and 2.4 per 1000 in the arm with all four factors.Conclusion None of the factors tested reduced overall liver cancer mortality. However, three factors reduced liver cancer mortality in certain subgroups.

Background: Stroke is the leading cause of death in Linxian, China. Although there is evidence of DNA damage in experimental stroke, no data exist on DNA repair and stroke in human populations.Aim: To assess the risk of stroke conferred by polymorphisms in the DNA repair genes, XRCC1, XPD23 and APE/ref-1 in a cohort of individuals originally assembled as subjects in two cancer prevention trials in Linxian, China.Methods: The subjects for this prospective study were sampled from a cohort of 4005 eligible subjects who were alive and cancer free in 1991 and had blood samples available for DNA extraction. Using real-time Taqman analyses, all incident cases of stroke (n = 118) that developed from May 1996, and an age-and a sex-stratified random sample (n = 454) drawn from all eligible subjects were genotyped. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate relative risks (RRs) and 95% CIs.Results: No association was observed between polymorphisms in APE/ref-1 codon 148 and XRCC1*6 codon 194, and stroke. Polymorphisms in XRCC1*10 codon 399 were associated with a significantly reduced risk of stroke (RR 0.59, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.96, p = 0.033), whereas XPD23 codon 312 was associated with a significantly increased risk of stroke (RR 2.18, 95% CI 1.14 to 4.17, p = 0.010).Conclusions: Polymorphisms in DNA repair genes may be important in the aetiology of stroke. These data should stimulate research on DNA damage and repair in stroke.

We prospectively examined the relation between pretrial serum vitamin D status and risk of oesophageal and gastric cancers among subjects who developed cancer over 5.25 years of follow-up, including 545 oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas (ESCC), 353 gastric cardia adenocarcinomas, 81 gastric noncardia adenocarcinomas, and an age- and sex-stratified random sample of 1105 subjects. The distribution of serum 25(OH)D was calculated using the known sampling weights. For the cohort as a whole, the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile concentrations of 25(OH)-vitamin D were 19.6, 31.9, and 48.7 nmol l−1, respectively, and we found that higher serum 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with monotonically increasing risk of ESCC in men, but not in women. Comparing men in the fourth quartile of serum 25(OH)D concentrations to those in the first, we found a hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval (CI)) of 1.77 (1.16–2.70), P trend=0.0033. The same comparison in women had a HR (95% CI) of 1.06 (0.71–1.59), P trend=0.70. We found no associations for gastric cardia or noncardia adenocarcinoma. Among subjects with low vitamin D status, higher serum 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with significantly increased risk of ESCC in men, but not in women. Further refinements of the analysis did not suggest any factors, which could explain this unexpected result.

Among 185 cases of gastric cancer and 200 controls in Linxian, China, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) seropositivity was not associated with increased risk of gastric cancer. High EBV nuclear antigen titres were associated with longer survival in cardia cancer cases, possibly due to chance.

Since 1986, we have been studying a cohort of individuals from a region in China with epidemic rates of gastric cardia cancer and have conducted numerous two-stage studies to assess the association of various exposures with this cancer. Two-stage studies are a commonly used statistical design. Stage one involves observing the outcomes and accessible baseline covariate information on all cohort members, and stage two involves using the stage one observations to select a subset of the cohort for measurements of exposures that are difficult to obtain. When the outcomes are censored failure times, such as in our studies, the most common designs used are the case-cohort and nested case-control designs. One limitation of both these designs is that the estimators of the cumulative hazards, and hence survivals and absolute risks, are biased when some cases are missing the stage two measurements. In our experience, such missingness is present in virtually all two-stage studies that (like ours) use biological specimens to obtain exposure measurements. In earlier work we derived and characterized the efficiency of a class of nonparametric and a class of semiparametric cumulative hazard estimators that are unbiased regardless of whether or not all cases are measured. In this article we limit the presentation of the mathematical derivation of these two classes to aspects important to study design and analysis. We analyze data from a two-stage study that we conducted on the association of Helicobacter pylori infection with incident gastric cardia cancers. We discuss the substantive reasons why we deliberately sampled only 25% of the available cancer cases. Through simulations, we demonstrate that substantial variation in precision exists between unbiased estimators within each class, and express the origin of these differences in terms of parameters familiar to investigators. We describe how preexistent knowledge about these parameters can be used to increase estimator precision, and detail specific strategies for constructing such estimators. Computer code in R that implements these estimators is available from the authors on request.

Each year, esophageal and gastric cancers cause more than 900,000 deaths worldwide. Human papilloma virus (HPV), especially type 16, has been suggested to have a role in the etiology of esophageal cancer, however, the results of previous seroepidemiological studies have not been consistent. We conducted a large prospective study to examine the association between serum antibodies to HPV 16, HPV 18 and HPV 73 and subsequent development of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (GCA), and gastric noncardia adenocarcinoma (GNCA) in a high-risk population for these cancers in Linxian, China. Case and control subjects for this study were selected from the 29,584 participants of the Linxian General Population Trial. Prediagnostic serum samples from 99 cases of ESCC, 100 cases of GCA, 70 cases of GNCA, and 381 age- and sex- matched controls were selected for this study. The presence of antibodies to HPV virus-like particles was determined by type-specific enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. Fewer than 15% of ESCC, GCA, or GNCA cases were positive for each HPV type, and no significant associations were found. The adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for HPV 16 seropositivity and ESCC, GCA, and GNCA risk were 1.6 (0.8-3.3), 1.3 (0.6-2.8) and 0.4 (0.1-1.6), respectively. The comparable ORs (95% CIs) for HPV 18 were 1.0 (0.4-2.2), 0.9 (0.4-2.1) and 1.5 (0.6-3.4). For HPV 73, these figures were 1.3 (0.6-2.5), 1.2 (0.6-2.3) and 0.9 (0.4-2.1). The results of this study do not support a major role for HPV 16, HPV 18 and HPV 73 in the etiology of esophageal and gastric cancers in Linxian, China.

Fifth AACR International Conference on Frontiers in Cancer Prevention Research, Nov 12-15, 2006 B145 We examined the effect of supplementation with four different combinations of vitamins and minerals on the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality among 29,450 healthy adults from a nutrient-inadequate population in Linxian, China. In accord with a partial factorial design, the participants were randomly assigned to take either a vitamin/mineral combination or a placebo daily for 5 ¼ years. The combinations tested in this trial were: factor A = retinol and zinc; factor B = riboflavin and niacin; factor C = ascorbic acid and molybdenum; factor D = beta-carotene, alpha-tocopherol, and selenium. All doses were 1-2 times US RDAs. HCC deaths (n = 151) identified during the trial period (1986 - 1991) and ten years after the trial ended (1991 - 2001) were the study outcome. No significant differences in HCC death rates were found for any of the four combinations of supplements tested in this study, using log-rank tests (all P-values >0.20), or Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, commune, and other treatments. However, age and sex significantly modified the effects of the supplements. Factor A and factor B significantly reduced the risk of HCC death in individuals younger than 55 years of age at randomization (P = 0.049 and 0.025, respectively) but not in individuals ≥ 55 years of age (P = 0.79 and 0.57, respectively). Factor C marginally significantly reduced the risk of HCC death in males (P = 0.058) but not in females (P = 0.37). Supplementation with combinations of vitamins and minerals at nutrient-repletion levels for 5 ¼ years reduced HCC mortality in certain subgroups of this nutrient-inadequate population in Linxian, China.

We examined the effect of supplementation with four different combinations of vitamins and minerals in the prevention of lung cancer mortality among 29,584 healthy adults from Linxian, China. In accord with a partial factorial design, the participants were randomly assigned to take either a vitamin/mineral combination or a placebo for 5.25 years. The combinations tested in this trial were as follows: factor A, retinol and zinc; factor B, riboflavin and niacin; factor C, ascorbic acid and molybdenum; factor D, β-carotene, α-tocopherol, and selenium. Lung cancer deaths (n = 147) identified during the trial period (1986-1991) and 10 years after the trial ended (1991-2001) were the study outcome. No significant differences in lung cancer death rates were found for any of the four combinations of supplements tested in this study, using log-rank tests (all P values are >0.20) or Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, commune, and other treatments. No significant interactions were seen for age, sex, or smoking status. Supplementation with combinations of vitamins and minerals at nutrient-repletion levels for 5.25 years did not reduce lung cancer mortality in this nutrient-inadequate population in Linxian, China. (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2006;15(8):1562–4)

BACKGROUND1,1,1-Trichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethane (DDT) exposure has been demonstrated to cause liver tumors in laboratory rodents. DDT's persistent metabolite and environmental degradation product, 1,1-dichloro-2,2-bis(p-chlorophenyl)ethylene (DDE), has also been associated with liver tumors in laboratory animals. Whether DDT and DDE are associated with hepatocarcinogenesis in humans is not clear.METHODSWe carried out a nested case-control study among the participants of the Nutritional Intervention Trials in Linxian, China. The case group included 168 individuals who developed liver cancer during the trials, and the control group included 385 individuals frequency-matched on age and sex who were alive and well at the end of the study. Serum concentrations of DDT and DDE were measured by gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using multivariable analysis.RESULTSIn multivariable-adjusted models, the risk of developing liver cancer increased with increased serum DDT concentration (OR for quintile 1 versus quintile 5 = 3.8, 95% CI = 1.7 to 8.6, P(trend) = .0024). In contrast, there was no statistically significant association between liver cancer and serum DDE concentration. The association between high serum DDT concentration and liver cancer was stronger among individuals with DDE concentrations below the median value (odds ratio for tertile 3 versus tertile 1 = 3.55, 95% CI = 1.45 to 8.74) than those with concentrations above the median (OR = 1.70, 95% CI = 0.97 to 2.98). A calculation of crude liver cancer risk found that there would be 26 liver cancers per 100 000 persons per year in the lowest quintile of DDT exposure versus 46 liver cancers per 100 000 persons per year in the highest quintile of DDT exposure.CONCLUSIONSDDT may be a risk factor for liver cancer, particularly among persons with lower DDE concentrations. Risk may be particularly increased among persons exposed directly to DDT (resulting in a higher ratio of DDT to DDE) or, alternatively, risk may be associated with individual ability to metabolize DDT to DDE.

In a cohort of 29 584 residents of Linxian, China, followed from 1985 to 2001, we conducted a case–cohort study of the magnitude of the association of Helicobacter pylori seropositivity with cancer risk in a random sample of 300 oesophageal squamous cell carcinomas, 600 gastric cardia adenocarcinomas, all 363 diagnosed gastric non-cardia adenocarcinomas, and a random sample of the entire cohort ( N =1050). Baseline serum was evaluated for IgG antibodies to whole-cell and CagA H. pylori antigens by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Risks of both gastric cardia and non-cardia cancers were increased in individuals exposed to H. pylori (Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals=1.64; 1.26–2.14, and 1.60; 1.15–2.21, respectively), whereas risk of oesophageal squamous cell cancer was not affected (1.17; 0.88–1.57). For both cardia and non-cardia cancers, HRs were higher in younger individuals. With longer time between serum collection to cancer diagnosis, associations became stronger for cardia cancers but weaker for non-cardia cancers. CagA positivity did not modify these associations. The associations between H. pylori exposure and gastric cardia and non-cardia adenocarcinoma development were equally strong, in contrast to Western countries, perhaps due to the absence of Barrett's oesophagus and oesophageal adenocarcinomas in Linxian, making all cardia tumours of gastric origin, rather than a mixture of gastric and oesophageal malignancies.

Iodine is concentrated by the gastric mucosa, where it may act as an antioxidant. Therefore, iodine deficiency, and its sequelae goiter, may be associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer. We examined the association between self-reported goiter and upper gastrointestinal cancer in a Chinese cohort of 29,584 adults. Using multivariate adjusted Cox models, we found goiter associated with a significantly increased risk of gastric noncardia adenocarcinoma, HR (95% CI) 2.04 (1.01, 4.11) and nonsignificantly with gastric cardia adenocarcinoma, HR (95% CI) 1.45 (0.91, 2.30). We also found a borderline, insignificant increased risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, HR (95% CI) 1.37 (0.97,1.94). Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that iodine deficiency is associated with an increased risk of gastric cancer. Published 2006 Wiley-Liss, Inc.

Esophageal cancer incidence and mortality rates in Linxian, China are among the highest in the world. We examined risk factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), gastric cardia cancer (GCC), and gastric noncardia cancer (GNCC) in a population-based, prospective study of 29,584 adults who participated in the Linxian General Population Trial. All study participants completed a baseline questionnaire that included questions on demographic characteristics, personal and family history of disease, and lifestyle factors. After 15 years of follow-up, a total of 3,410 incident upper gastrointestinal cancers were identified, including 1,958 ESCC, 1,089 GCC and 363 GNCC. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate risks. Increased age and a positive family history of esophageal cancer (including ESCC or GCC) were significantly associated with risk at all 3 cancer sites. Additional risk factors for ESCC included being born in Linxian, increased height, cigarette smoking and pipe smoking; for GCC, male gender, consumption of moldy breads and pipe smoking; and for GNCC, male gender and cigarette smoking. Protective factors for ESCC included formal education, water piped into the home, increased consumption of meat, eggs and fresh fruits and increased BMI; for GCC, formal education, water piped into the home, increased consumption of eggs and fresh fruits and alcohol consumption; and for GNCC, increased weight and BMI. General socioeconomic status (SES) is a common denominator in many of these factors and improving SES is a promising approach for reducing the tremendous burden of upper gastrointestinal cancers in Linxian.

Bloodborne viruses may have spread in rural China during the past 25 years, but population-based prevalence estimates are lacking. We examined the frequency of hepatitis C virus (HCV) and HIV type 1 (HIV-1) among residents of Linxian, a rural community in Henan Province. In 2000, blood was collected from participants (> or = 55 years of age) who had enrolled in a population-based nutritional intervention trial in 1985. We randomly selected 500 participants for HCV testing and 200 participants for HIV-1 testing. For HCV, 48 (9.6%) of 500 participants were positive by enzyme immunoassay and recombinant immunoblot assay (95% confidence interval, 7.0%-12.2%), and prevalence was lowest in the most geographically isolated participants. Among the HCV-infected participants, 42 had a specimen available from 1985, of which 16 (38.1%) were positive for HCV. For HIV-1, 0/200 participants were positive. We conclude that HCV is now a common infection among older adults in Linxian, China.

BACKGROUND:In rodents, zinc deficiency potentiates the effects of certain nitrosamines that act as esophageal carcinogens. Studies of the association between zinc and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in humans have been hampered by plasma zinc homeostasis, which obscures individual differences in total zinc stores, and by the uncertainty regarding zinc bioavailability when estimating dietary zinc intake because phytate from whole grains effectively prohibits zinc absorption. By using baseline tissue biopsy specimens collected in a prospective observational study, we determined the association between incident esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and baseline element concentrations in tissue sections from residents of Linzhou, China, participating in a nutrition intervention trial.METHODS:We used x-ray fluorescence spectroscopy to measure zinc, copper, iron, nickel, and sulfur concentrations in single 5-microm-thick sections from formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded esophageal biopsy specimens collected in 1985 from 60 eventual case and 72 control subjects. Subjects were matched on baseline histology and followed for 16 years. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between each element and risk of incident esophageal cancer. All statistical tests were two-sided.RESULTS:The risk of developing esophageal cancer was much lower for subjects in the highest quartile of esophageal tissue zinc concentration compared with those in the lowest quartile (HR = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.065 to 0.68). The association was statistically significant across quartiles (P(trend) = .015). Individuals in the highest quartile of sulfur concentration had a lower risk of esophageal cancer than individuals in the lowest quartile (HR = 0.29, 95% CI = 0.095 to 0.85), but the association across quartiles was not statistically significant (P(trend) = .081). There was no association between copper, iron, or nickel concentrations and risk of esophageal cancer.CONCLUSION:High tissue zinc concentration was strongly associated with a reduced risk of developing esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. X-ray fluorescence spectroscopy can be used to assess relationships among concentrations of both nutritional and toxic elements and disease risk in banked tissue specimens.

BACKGROUND:Tooth loss has previously been associated with a higher risk of cancer, heart disease, and stroke, but the role of confounding by smoking remains an issue.METHODS:We conducted a cohort study including 29,584 healthy, rural Chinese adults who were participants in a chemoprevention trial from 1986 through 1991 and who have been followed-up through 2001. We categorized tooth loss for each subject as less than or equal to or greater than the median number of teeth lost for other subjects of the same age at baseline. Mortality outcomes were categorized as follows: total death (n = 9362), upper gastrointestinal (GI) cancer death (n = 2625), other cancer death (n = 514), heart disease death (n = 1932), and fatal stroke (n = 2866).RESULTS:Individuals with greater than the age-specific median number of teeth lost had statistically significant 13% increased risk of total death [95% confidence interval (CI) 9-18%], 35% increased risk of upper GI cancer death (95% CI 14-59%), 28% increased risk of heart disease death (95% CI 17-40%), and 12% increased risk of stroke death (95% CI 2-23%), but no significantly increased risk of death from cancer at other sites. These elevated risks were present in male smokers, male non-smokers, and females, nearly all never-smokers.CONCLUSIONS:In this Asian population, tooth loss significantly increased the risk of total death and death from upper GI cancer, heart disease, and stroke. These associations were not limited to tobacco smokers.

BACKGROUND The General Population Nutrition Intervention Trial was a randomized primary esophageal and gastric cancer prevention trial conducted from 1985 to 1991, in which 29,584 adult participants in Linxian, China, were given daily vitamin and mineral supplements. Treatment with "factor D," a combination of 50 microg selenium, 30 mg vitamin E, and 15 mg beta-carotene, led to decreased mortality from all causes, cancer overall, and gastric cancer. Here, we present 10-year follow-up after the end of active intervention. METHODS Participants were assessed by periodic data collection, monthly visits by village health workers, and quarterly review of the Linxian Cancer Registry. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the cumulative effects of four vitamin and mineral supplementation regimens were calculated using adjusted proportional hazards models. RESULTS Through May 31, 2001, 276 participants were lost to follow-up; 9727 died, including 3242 from cancer (1515 from esophageal cancer and 1199 from gastric cancer). Participants who received factor D had lower overall mortality (HR = 0.95, 95% CI = 0.91 to 0.99; P = .009; reduction in cumulative mortality from 33.62% to 32.19%) and gastric cancer mortality (HR = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.79 to 1.00; P = .043; reduction in cumulative gastric cancer mortality from 4.28% to 3.84%) than subjects who did not receive factor D. Reductions were mostly attributable to benefits to subjects younger than 55 years. Esophageal cancer deaths between those who did and did not receive factor D were not different overall; however, decreased 17% among participants younger than 55 (HR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.71 to 0.98; P = .025) but increased 14% among those aged 55 years or older (HR = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.30; P = .047) [corrected]. Vitamin A and zinc supplementation was associated with increased total and stroke mortality; vitamin C and molybdenum supplementation, with decreased stroke mortality. CONCLUSION The beneficial effects of selenium, vitamin E, and beta-carotene on mortality were still evident up to 10 years after the cessation of supplementation and were consistently greater in younger participants. Late effects of other supplementation regimens were also observed.