Norwegian Polar Institute

Bromine enrichment has been widely used as a proxy for past sea ice reconstructions. In this study, three firn cores drilled on Holtedahlfonna (Svalbard) were analyzed for trace elements. Excluding a single year data, a positive correlation was observed between and springtime sea ice variability in the potential source region during 2005-2016. Accounting for different sea ice ages, signal resulted significantly correlated only with first-year sea ice, reinforcing its role as a major contributor to springtime gas-phase bromine emissions. Comparisons between Na and Br concentrations in shallow cores and temporally corresponding values in annual snow pits collected at the same site reveal that elemental reallocation similarly affects both chemicals, resulting in a generally stable signal over time. Finally, the negative correlation with the temperature proxy further supports the capability of to capture past climate-change-driven sea ice fluctuations.

Ocean knowledge is crucial for shaping policies that enable sustainable development, adaptation, and well-being at all levels, as everyone—either directly or indirectly—depends on the ocean, which today faces escalating threats from climate change, pollution, and biodiversity loss, pushing us beyond critical planetary boundaries. Ocean indicators are crucial for translating ocean science and data into practical metrics, guidance, and tools informing on the state and health of the ocean that can be directly applied by policymakers, practitioners, and the public. Despite their critical importance, ocean indicators trail behind those for continental areas, limiting effective monitoring and policy integration. Developing reliable, comparable, and regularly updated ocean indicators, backed by a unified international framework, is essential for delivering coherent, actionable insights that can guide global goals and protect the ocean's future. This paper establishes a scientific foundation for ocean indicators through international and multidisciplinary collaboration, presenting defined criteria and a set of pilot indicators for the ocean’s physical, biogeochemical, biodiversity, and ecosystem aspects. The proposed framework offers a solid foundation for generating indicators that not only track the ocean state but also provide outputs for application in informing policy and decision-making.

Bowhead whales were heavily exploited during commercial whaling between the 16th and 20th centuries. Current and near-future climate warming poses a new threat. Assessing bowhead vulnerability to climatic change remains challenging due to insufficient knowledge regarding responses to past climates and pre-whaling population dynamics. We integrate paleogenomics and stable isotopes (δ13C and δ15N) from 206 bowhead fossils from the Atlantic Arctic with paleoclimate and ecological modeling based on 823 radiocarbon-dated fossils, including 140 from this study. We find long-term resilience of bowheads to Holocene environmental perturbations, with no detectable changes in genetic diversity or population structure. Simulated commercial-whaling-driven genetic and fitness changes indicate that population subdivision and loss of genetic diversity are unlikely to be fully realized, despite nearly a century since whaling ceased. Furthermore, even in simulated complete population recovery scenarios, overall fitness did not return to pre-whaling levels, potentially compromising the future resilience of bowhead whales.

Abstract Understanding the coastal zone of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS), where it interacts with the Southern Ocean and warmer air masses, is crucial for predicting Antarctica's influence on the global climate and sea level. This region has multiple tipping mechanisms that could trigger large, rapid, and potentially irreversible changes in the AIS, the Southern Ocean and their global connections in the coming centuries. The AIS remains the largest source of uncertainty in future sea‐level projections. Bed topography beneath the ice shelves and the coastal ice sheet is not yet well documented, and is a major source of this uncertainty. This review assesses current knowledge of the coastal zone and highlights methods to investigate it, including aerogeophysical surveys, ground‐ and ship‐based measurements, satellite observations, and computer modeling. An ensemble analysis of published bed topography data sets identifies significant data gaps and their regional distribution, framed in the context of current ice‐sheet behavior and potential instability. We propose scientific priorities and guidelines for future aerogeophysical surveys, advocating for a comprehensive, coordinated international effort to build a next‐generation data set of Antarctic bed properties. Such an initiative would significantly advance understanding of the role of coastal processes in ice‐sheet dynamics, reducing uncertainties in sea‐level rise projections and improving predictions of future ocean and climate changes.

Climate change is playing a major role in the current global biodiversity crisis. However, despite climate change being most pronounced in the Arctic, its impacts on biodiversity in this region remains largely unknown. Here, we combined three decades of abundance data from various animal groups (from zooplankton to megafauna) and regions in the European Arctic and Greenland to assess recent changes in biodiversity within Arctic coastal communities. Our results support the "borealization" hypothesis in all regions and provide evidence that marine ecosystems in the North Atlantic Arctic are shifting toward a boreal (i.e. cold temperate) state. Arctic endemic species are generally declining in abundance, while boreal species are increasing. These changes in abundance are associated with an average increase in biodiversity (e.g. species richness), although there are important variations among animal groups. This increase might be transient and the long-term implications of the ongoing changes in Arctic coastal biodiversity on ecosystem functioning and services remain uncertain.