• 学术搜索
  • 科研智能体
    • Research Labs
    • AI 阅读
    • AI 文库
    • 深度研究
    • 学者亮点
  • 学术资源
    • AI2000
    • 期刊/会议
    • 学者库
    • 学术API
      MCP&Skill
    • 溯源树
    • 数据集
  • 知识沉淀
    • 学术空间
订阅小程序
旧版功能
aminer vip
开通会员低至0.73元/天
一次搞定AI科研
立即登录
  • English
  • 联系方式
    Law, probability & risk : a journal of reasoning under uncertainty

    Law, probability & risk : a journal of reasoning under uncertainty

    JournalISSN 1470-8396eISSN 1470-840X中科院 社会学 4区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(454)

    排序
    1Risk-based Optimization of Intelligent Sustainable Multi-Channel Retailing under Carbon Emissions Regulations and Demand Uncertainty
    Biswajit Sarkar,Bikash Koli Dey

    Abstract Growing consumer preference for environmentally conscious brands underscores the importance of sustainable practices in retail. The present study demonstrates the combined impact of carbon regulation policies and customer care service quality on operational efficiency, sustainability, and customer satisfaction within smart multi-channel retailing under an intelligent production process. Owing to the real-world applicability of the model, the demand is considered as a function of advertising, channels’ selling prices, and investment in product greenness. Furthermore, the model incorporates intelligent autonomous inspection to minimize waste generation through proper imperfection detection. Flexibility in the manufacturing process and automation investment increase the profit by 2.36% by reducing waste generation. Numerical experiments and sensitivity analyses ensure enhanced customer care services can increase retail system profitability by 82.13% while advertising and green investment contribute a 57.38% profit increase by increasing product demand. The study’s findings claim that carbon cap-and-trade regulation policy yields the highest profitability. These findings provide remarkable insights for retailers to balance environmental responsibility with economic performance in a multi-channel environment.

    2026
    引用
    AI阅读
    加入学术空间
    2Probabilistic Contamination in Criminal Investigations: How Police Descriptions Distort Judicial Risk Assessment
    Massimiliano Marletta, Salvatore Spagano

    Criminal investigations are structured as sequential processes of information production and transmission. Police authorities generate the first formal description of events, which is then transmitted to prosecutors and, ultimately, relied upon by judges when taking precautionary and adjudicative decisions. While this informational chain is institutionally necessary, it introduces a structural asymmetry: downstream actors rarely assess primary evidence independently, but instead form probabilistic beliefs on the basis of progressively filtered information. This article develops a descriptive probabilistic model of informational dependence in criminal investigations. Rather than treating judicial risk as deviation from an objective probability of guilt or as the result of correlated statistical errors, the model conceptualizes belief formation as a function of nested information sets and institutional belief mappings. Informational distortion arises endogenously from filtering, summarization, and reliance across institutional boundaries, even in the absence of bias or strategic manipulation. The analysis shows how early investigative framing can exert disproportionate influence on precautionary decisions taken under conditions of high uncertainty. As institutional reliance intensifies, judicial beliefs become increasingly sensitive to upstream information, reducing the corrective role of independent assessment. The article concludes by outlining a framework of epistemic decoupling aimed at restoring informational independence and mitigating judicial risk.

    2026
    引用
    AI阅读
    加入学术空间
    3Development and Evaluation of a Goodness-of-fit Test for Comparing Within-Source Distributions of Scores Suitable for Small Sample Sizes
    Janean L. Hanka,Danica M. Ommen, Jack Hietpas,JoAnn Buscaglia,Christopher P. Saunders

    In the forensic source identification problem, two objects (typically from known and questioned sources) are compared; statistical methods using a score function applied to all pairs of objects may be used for this evaluation. Due to the limited number of samples per source typical of forensic data, a usual assumption is that all within-source scores follow the same distribution of scores and, therefore, can be pooled together to estimate a common within-source distribution of scores. However, this may not be a reasonable assumption, and published tests do not work well for the small sample sizes (per source) commonly encountered in forensic science. Here, we propose and develop a test for deciding if two within-source distributions of scores should not be considered statistically similar, which is applicable to small sample sizes. To complement the developed test, we present an ad-hoc strategy for pooling sources that accounts for significant discrepancies between the within-source distributions of scores. We then evaluate the Type I error and power of this test on several univariate and multivariate distributions. Finally, we apply the test to a forensic research data set consisting of micromorphometric measurements of aluminum powders.

    2026
    引用
    AI阅读
    加入学术空间
    4‘Inconclusives’: Divide and Conquer?—commentary on “A Variance Decomposition Approach to Inconclusives in Forensic Black Box Studies” by A. Luby and J. Kadane
    Alex Biedermann

    Abstract This commentary summarizes the novel aspects of the paper by Luby and Kadane, discusses specific points raised by the authors, and presents broader considerations, critical aspects, and remaining problems in the field.

    2026
    引用
    AI阅读
    加入学术空间
    5Comment on “A Variance Decomposition Approach to Inconclusives in Forensic Black Box Studies” by Amanda Luby and Joseph Kadane
    Karen Kafadar,Jordan Rodu, Sydney Campbell-Aaron
    2026
    引用
    AI阅读
    加入学术空间
    立即登录,查看全部 454 篇论文

    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Joseph Y. Halpern5611
    Simon A. Cole3047
    Henry Prakken2734
    H.B. (Bart) Verheij2594
    Colin Aitken24319
    Floris Bex2373
    Franco Taroni22113
    Itiel Dror2113
    Gary Edmond2004
    Joseph L Gastwirth19830

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Joseph L Gastwirth19830
    Colin Aitken24319
    Joseph B. Kadane5417
    Alex Biedermann19114
    Franco Taroni22113
    Christian Dahlman6011
    Weiwen Miao719
    Qing Pan509
    Silvia Bozza1499
    Ronald Meester719

    相关期刊

    Journal of Quantitative Criminology
    Legal And Criminological Psychology
    Science & Justice
    International Journal of Evidence and Proof
    Law and Human Behavior
    Forensic Science Policy & Management: An International Journal
    Rivista di Criminologia, Vittimologia e Sicurezza
    STATISTICS and PUBLIC POLICY
    LAW PROBABILITY & RISK
    Forensic Science International: Synergy