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    Statistika

    Statistika

    JournalISSN 0322-788XeISSN 1804-8765中科院 经济学 4区

    年发文量

    研究主题

    论文(959)

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    1Cluster Analysis of the EU Countries During the Covid-19 Period (2019–2021)
    Andrii Hrabariev, Vasyl Derbentsev, Mykhailo Baraniuk

    This study investigates structural shifts in European Union countries banking system typologies during the COVID-19 period from 2019 to 2021. Using the k-means clustering method (compared with hierarchical agglomerative clustering and Gaussian mixture models) on 10 financial and macroeconomic indicators (e.g., non-performing loans, z-score, GDP growth) at the country level for 25 European Union countries, we identified four distinct clusters with stable typological definitions but evolving country compositions. Comparison of cluster profiles reveals the pandemic period as a structural catalyst, reinforcing the resilience of Nordic Resilience Systems) and Core Stability Systems clusters. Significant compositional shifts occurred: Dynamic Growth Systems absorbed advanced economies, balancing growth and stability, while High Intermediation Systems transformed into a vulnerable typology, marked by high fiscal risk and low stability buffers. These findings highlight structural shifts associated with the pandemic period and differentiated policy responses, and inform regulatory strategies for enhancing EU banking resilience.

    2026
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    2Nowcasting Cost of Living Using Google Trends: the Case of Selected Asian Countries
    Yee Sheng Mak,Siok Kun Sek,Mohsen Ayyash

    This paper examines the cost of living (COL) in six selected Asian countries: Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand. Motivated by rising inflationary pressures and limitations of traditional economic indicators – such as reporting delays and limited granularity – this study explores whether real-time data from Google Trends searches can improve the tracking and prediction of COL patterns in several country-specific settings. The analysis covers the period from 2010 to 2024 and employs Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regression. The results demonstrate that MIDAS models provide superior flexibility and responsiveness by accommodating high-frequency Google Trends data alongside lower-frequency macroeconomic variables. Notably, MIDAS models yield improved predictive accuracy and timeliness in capturing COL dynamics. The findings also highlight the significance of search terms like debt, inflation, and unemployment as behavioural proxies for public economic concerns. This study underscores the potential of integrating search engine data into COL analysis to improve the timeliness and sensitivity of economic monitoring.

    2026
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    3Czech Regional GDP: Challenges and Comprehensive Estimates
    Petr Musil, Jana Fischerová, Jaroslav Kahoun

    Statistical descriptions of regions or even cities are usually more popular with users than those at the national level. Users can more easily identify themselves with regional indicators such as the average wage. However, the production of regional indicators is more demanding in terms of data sources. National statistical institutes mostly do not officially publish all components of regional GDP, but rather select a few, such as gross value added or gross fixed capital formation, due to a lack of data. This paper aims at regional GDP in Czechia in particular to estimate missing components of regional GDP as well as analyse the results. It uncovers difficulties connected with the estimates. In addition, the effect of different regional price levels is assessed, regional indicators are adjusted accordingly. The findings indicate substantial differences in the regional GDP structure as well as notable variations of regional price levels. The analysis is conducted for the year 2020.

    2026
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    4Causal Relationships Between Inflation Uncertainty, Geopolitical Risks, and Inflation: New Insights from Granger Causality-in-quantiles Tests
    Zouheir Mighri

    This study investigates the direction and magnitude of linear and nonlinear Granger causality-in-quantiles between inflation and inflation uncertainty, as well as from global geopolitical risks to inflation in Saudi Arabia over the period January 2008–December 2025. While no causality is detected in the mean, the results reveal significant quantile-dependent relationships. Linear Granger causality-in-quantiles indicates significant bidirectional causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty, with a predominantly positive and significant causal effect running from inflation to its uncertainty across most quantiles, thereby supporting the Friedman (1977) hypothesis. In contrast, nonlinear Granger causality-in-quantiles uncovers state-dependent effects, with inflation uncertainty exerting a significant negative influence on inflation at lower and middle quantiles, thereby supporting the Friedman-Ball hypothesis. Meanwhile, both linear and nonlinear Granger causalityin-quantiles reveal significant causal effects from global geopolitical risk measures to inflation across most quantiles; however, the sign analysis indicates that these effects are unstable and largely insignificant, providing no consistent or robust sign pattern linking external risk factors to inflation dynamics in Saudi Arabia. Robustness checks using the world uncertainty index confirm that global uncertainty has a limited and non-systematic influence on inflation dynamics. Overall, the findings emphasize strong state-dependent and asymmetric effects, with domestic uncertainty playing a central role, while external risk factors contribute marginally to inflation dynamics in Saudi Arabia.

    2026
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    5Composite Index of Health Indicators and Typology of the Mexican States Using and Extending the Performance Interval Approach
    Jesus A. Trevino-Cantu

    This study employs a performance-interval approach to assess health performance across Mexico's 32 states, addressing limitations of traditional single-value indices. Using OECD-selected indicators covering resources, health status, and risks, the methodology calculates a midpoint (MP) for average performance and an amplitude (A) for the balance of internal indicators. Extending this approach, the research develops a typology classifying states based on MP and A values to guide policy. Results reveal significant regional inequalities and institutional fragmentation; for instance, Mexico City exhibits high resource density yet high mortality rates due to its fragmented institutions. The analysis identifies four state groups, ranging from robust systems to those facing severe risks and uncertainty. By capturing internal disparities often obscured by single-value indices, the extended approach incorporates health system fragmentation into a composite index and a typology, as identified analytically in the current literature. The findings suggest that effective policy requires addressing resource scarcity and institutional coordination to reduce health disparities and improve outcomes across regions.

    2026
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    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Anton Kamil20713
    Aceng Komarudin Mutaqin16328
    Wan muhamad amir Ahmad12512
    Nusar Hajarisman11617
    Yayat Karyana1126
    Marketa Arltova962
    Sutawanir Darwis939
    Norizan Mohamed926
    teti sofia yanti5213
    Bambang Widjanarko Otok506

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Aceng Komarudin Mutaqin16328
    Stanislava Hronova1927
    Richard Hindls1918
    Nusar Hajarisman11617
    Jaroslav Sixta1714
    teti sofia yanti5213
    Ondrej Vozar2913
    Anton Kamil20713
    lubos marek712
    Wan muhamad amir Ahmad12512

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